{ "generatedAt": "2026-09-01T09:14:39.012Z", "network": "hoodi", "branch": null, "epoch": { "ms": 1783105941702, "iso": "2026-07-03T19:12:21.702Z", "source": "chain.json:bootstrappedAt", "excludedSessions": 0 }, "pool": { "ceiling5h": 250000000, "ceiling7d": 2400000000, "used5h": null, "used5hUsd": 161.87, "used7d": null, "used7dUsd": 2019.04, "pct5h": 0, "pct7d": 95, "estPct5h": 46.8, "estPct7d": 45.1, "isReal": true, "source": "real", "capturedAt": "2026-09-01T09:16:42Z", "real": { "accounts": [ { "name": "claude", "pct5h": 91, "pct7d": 98, "pctSonnet7d": null, "sonnetIsReal": false, "reset5h": 1788260400, "reset7d": 1788721200, "availability": { "state": "ok", "reason": null, "detail": "claude · org 89aa1c11 · ACTIVE", "checkedAt": "2026-09-01T09:16:42Z" }, "active": true, "stale": false }, { "name": "claude200", "pct5h": 0, "pct7d": 95, "pctSonnet7d": null, "sonnetIsReal": false, "reset5h": 1788267600, "reset7d": 1788728400, "availability": { "state": "ok", "reason": null, "detail": "claude200 · org d13eb602", "checkedAt": "2026-09-01T09:16:42Z" }, "active": false, "stale": false } ], "max20x": { "pct5h": 0, "pct7d": 95, "pctSonnet7d": null, "sonnetIsReal": false, "reset5h": 1788267600, "reset7d": 1788728400, "availability": { "state": "ok", "reason": null, "detail": "claude200 · org d13eb602", "checkedAt": "2026-09-01T09:16:42Z" }, "active": false, "stale": false }, "max5x": { "pct5h": 91, "pct7d": 98, "pctSonnet7d": null, "sonnetIsReal": false, "reset5h": 1788260400, "reset7d": 1788721200, "availability": { "state": "ok", "reason": null, "detail": "claude · org 89aa1c11 · ACTIVE", "checkedAt": "2026-09-01T09:16:42Z" }, "active": true, "stale": false }, "capturedAt": "2026-09-01T09:16:42Z", "source": "rotator-probe", "health": { "stale": false, "ageMs": 20342, "capturedAt": "2026-09-01T09:16:42Z", "level": "at-risk", "alerts": [ { "sub": "claude", "slot": "claude", "kind": "cap-at-risk", "window": "7d", "pct": 98, "reset": 1788721200, "detail": "98% of the 7d cap — close to lockout" }, { "sub": "claude200", "slot": "claude200", "kind": "cap-at-risk", "window": "7d", "pct": 95, "reset": 1788728400, "detail": "95% of the 7d cap — close to lockout" } ] }, "stale": false }, "note": "account-wide from OAuth usage endpoint (✓ real, captured 2026-09-01T09:16:42Z)" }, "subs": { "active": "primary", "retryPrimaryAt": null, "primary": { "key": "primary", "label": "$200 · Max-20x", "active": false, "used5h": null, "used7d": null, "cap5h": 88000000, "cap7d": 1000000000, "pct5h": 0, "pct7d": 95, "isReal": true, "source": "real", "estPct5h": 0, "estPct7d": 0, "realResets5h": 1788267600, "realResets7d": 1788728400, "sonnetCap5h": 80000000, "sonnetCap7d": 900000000, "sonnetPct5h": 0, "sonnetPct7d": 105.5, "sonnetIsReal": false, "sonnetSource": "calibrated", "estSonnetPct7d": 0, "sonnetUsed7d": 0, "availability": { "state": "ok", "reason": null, "detail": "claude200 · org d13eb602", "checkedAt": "2026-09-01T09:16:42Z" } }, "fallback": { "key": "fallback", "label": "$200 · Max-20x", "active": true, "used5h": null, "used7d": null, "cap5h": 88000000, "cap7d": 1000000000, "pct5h": 91, "pct7d": 98, "isReal": true, "source": "real", "estPct5h": 133.1, "estPct7d": 108.3, "realResets5h": 1788260400, "realResets7d": 1788721200, "sonnetCap5h": 80000000, "sonnetCap7d": 900000000, "sonnetPct5h": 100.1, "sonnetPct7d": 108.8, "sonnetIsReal": false, "sonnetSource": "calibrated", "estSonnetPct7d": 120.2, "sonnetUsed7d": 1081735412, "availability": { "state": "ok", "reason": null, "detail": "claude · org 89aa1c11 · ACTIVE", "checkedAt": "2026-09-01T09:16:42Z" } }, "list": [ { "key": "claude", "label": "claude", "active": true, "used5h": null, "used7d": null, "cap5h": 88000000, "cap7d": 1000000000, "pct5h": 91, "pct7d": 98, "isReal": true, "source": "real", "estPct5h": 133.1, "estPct7d": 108.3, "realResets5h": 1788260400, "realResets7d": 1788721200, "sonnetCap5h": 80000000, "sonnetCap7d": 900000000, "sonnetPct5h": 100.1, "sonnetPct7d": 108.8, "sonnetIsReal": false, "sonnetSource": "calibrated", "estSonnetPct7d": 120.2, "sonnetUsed7d": 1081735412, "availability": { "state": "ok", "reason": null, "detail": "claude · org 89aa1c11 · ACTIVE", "checkedAt": "2026-09-01T09:16:42Z" } }, { "key": "claude200", "label": "claude200", "active": false, "used5h": null, "used7d": null, "cap5h": 88000000, "cap7d": 1000000000, "pct5h": 0, "pct7d": 95, "isReal": true, "source": "real", "estPct5h": 0, "estPct7d": 0, "realResets5h": 1788267600, "realResets7d": 1788728400, "sonnetCap5h": 80000000, "sonnetCap7d": 900000000, "sonnetPct5h": 0, "sonnetPct7d": 105.5, "sonnetIsReal": false, "sonnetSource": "calibrated", "estSonnetPct7d": 0, "sonnetUsed7d": 0, "availability": { "state": "ok", "reason": null, "detail": "claude200 · org d13eb602", "checkedAt": "2026-09-01T09:16:42Z" } } ], "health": { "stale": false, "ageMs": 20342, "capturedAt": "2026-09-01T09:16:42Z", "level": "at-risk", "alerts": [ { "sub": "claude", "slot": "claude", "kind": "cap-at-risk", "window": "7d", "pct": 98, "reset": 1788721200, "detail": "98% of the 7d cap — close to lockout" }, { "sub": "claude200", "slot": "claude200", "kind": "cap-at-risk", "window": "7d", "pct": 95, "reset": 1788728400, "detail": "95% of the 7d cap — close to lockout" } ] } }, "byModel": { "opus": { "w5": 0, "w7": 0, "tot": 0 }, "sonnet": { "w5": 117098621, "w7": 1081735412, "tot": 5138747863 }, "haiku": { "w5": 0, "w7": 1081265, "tot": 91970574 } }, "fleet": { "agentsUp": 7, "lifetimeTokens": 5230718437, "lifetimeUsd": 5590.53, "sessions": 52621, "deals": 610, "settledDeals": 350, "liveDeals": 198, "openIntents": 0, "totalIntents": 4300 }, "fleetHealth": { "state": "down", "cause": "crashed", "total": 37, "broken": 10, "counts": { "ok": 0, "idleScheduled": 7, "down": 0, "stuck": 0, "crashed": 10, "warming": 0, "notDeployed": 20, "unknown": 0, "external": 4 }, "affected": [ "bet-maker-gal", "bet-taker-bull", "cayenne", "meteo-yosher", "pairs-desk-marco", "prediction-desk-marco", "signal-forge-gal", "stacker-massimo", "touch-desk-marco", "vera" ], "sample": "", "headline": "Fleet down — containers down (10/17 agents)", "fix": "10 container(s) down — restart the crashed container(s) and check the entrypoint / docker logs for the boot failure.", "computedBy": "deterministic", "at": "2026-09-01T09:14:39.012Z" }, "alarms": { "subsystems": [ "container", "watcher", "wake" ], "summary": { "total": 41, "alarming": 10, "warning": 0, "bySubsystem": { "container": 10, "watcher": 0, "wake": 0 }, "warnBySubsystem": { "container": 0, "watcher": 0, "wake": 0 } } }, "discovery": { "available": true, "rostered": 17, "published": 17, "live": 5, "stale": 12, "missing": 0, "total": 58, "unrostered": 40, "selfHosted": 4, "notDeployed": 20, "pctLive": 29 }, "discoveryUsage": { "available": true, "pending": false, "lastN": 10, "agentsObserved": 18, "agentsConsidered": 17, "agentsUsing": 7, "pctAgentsUsing": 41, "totalEvents": 202, "liveCounterpartyHits": 202, "unmetDemandHits": 202, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 12630, "invalidSeekingEvents": 11 }, "missions": { "headline": "AGENTIC-ORACLE SETTLEMENT 0/3 — CRITICAL", "worst": "agentic-oracle", "missions": [ { "id": "custom-contracts", "title": "Custom-contract adoption", "owner": "Yosher / Matheus", "metric": "distinct NOVEL custom templates with a settled deal (excludes bundled-trusted)", "unit": "templates", "measurable": true, "current": 6, "target": 4, "pct": 150, "gap": null, "severity": "met", "note": "Diverse NOVEL custom contracts authored, audited, and settling fleet-wide (goal-custom-contracts DoD). Counts only genuinely-novel payoffs (novelCustomTemplates) — bundled-trusted templates (Swap/BinaryBet/Perpetual/TokenizedStockForward) are PR-audited, not novel adoption.", "trajectory": { "momentum": 0, "direction": "flat", "stalledRuns": 1, "daysStalled": 0, "etaIso": null, "note": null }, "evidence": [ { "label": "BarrierOption settled", "url": "https://mrkts-ai-poc.platform.ssvlabsinternal.com/deal/604" }, { "label": "ScalarRangeBet settled", "url": "https://mrkts-ai-poc.platform.ssvlabsinternal.com/deal/601" }, { "label": "SourcedProximityBet settled", "url": "https://mrkts-ai-poc.platform.ssvlabsinternal.com/deal/558" }, { "label": "SourcedBet settled", "url": "https://mrkts-ai-poc.platform.ssvlabsinternal.com/deal/378" }, { "label": "OptionSpread settled", "url": "https://mrkts-ai-poc.platform.ssvlabsinternal.com/deal/283" } ], "contributors": [ "option-writer-matheus", "bet-maker-gal", "index-maker", "stacker-massimo", "hedger-gal" ], "blockedBy": [ { "slug": "bet-maker-gal", "fault": "crashed" }, { "slug": "stacker-massimo", "fault": "crashed" } ], "at": "2026-09-01T09:14:39.012Z" }, { "id": "agentic-oracle", "title": "Agentic-oracle settlement", "owner": "Yosher / Gal", "metric": "SourcedBets resolved end-to-end (settled) in the last 7d", "unit": "resolutions/7d", "measurable": true, "current": 0, "target": 3, "pct": 0, "gap": "0/3 resolutions/7d — 3 short", "severity": "critical", "note": "The trusted oracle wakes on expiry, fetches the source, settles on-chain (goal-agentic-oracle DoD: >=3 full wake->fetch->settle cycles recently). A settled SourcedBet IS an end-to-end resolution.", "trajectory": { "momentum": 0, "direction": "flat", "stalledRuns": 1, "daysStalled": 0, "etaIso": null, "note": null }, "evidence": [], "contributors": [ "agentic-oracle", "bet-maker-gal", "bet-taker-bull", "bet-taker-bear", "hedger-gal" ], "blockedBy": [ { "slug": "bet-maker-gal", "fault": "crashed" }, { "slug": "bet-taker-bull", "fault": "crashed" } ], "at": "2026-09-01T09:14:39.012Z" }, { "id": "market-liveness", "title": "Market liveness", "owner": "Fleet", "metric": "deals settled in the last 24h", "unit": "deals/day", "measurable": true, "current": 0, "target": 10, "pct": 0, "gap": "0/10 deals/day — 10 short", "severity": "critical", "note": "The fleet posts AND takes intents that settle end-to-end (goal-deals-happening): a steady flow of completed deals, not just open intents.", "trajectory": { "momentum": 0, "direction": "flat", "stalledRuns": 1, "daysStalled": 0, "etaIso": null, "note": null }, "evidence": [], "contributors": [], "blockedBy": [], "at": "2026-09-01T09:14:39.012Z" }, { "id": "agent-discoverability", "title": "Agent discoverability", "owner": "Ljuba", "metric": "distinct cross-agent composing pairs (last 24h)", "unit": "pairs/day", "measurable": true, "current": 0, "target": 4, "pct": 0, "gap": "0/4 pairs/day — 4 short", "severity": "critical", "note": "Agents discover + compose with each other to close deals (goal-agent-discoverability). v1 PROXY: counts DISTINCT pairs of known fleet agents that settled a deal together in 24h (composition breadth — raw deal count would just mirror market-liveness). Refine to deal-level discovery PROVENANCE (~4 deals/day genuinely motivated by a discovery lookup) on the deal record later. USAGE (whether agents actually CONSULT the discovery layer in their wakes — the demand side of this proxy) is now measured directly in the 'Discovery usage' panel (ops/agent-board/discovery-usage.js), fed by the per-scan signal sdk/scripts/discover.ts writes to data/discovery-usage.jsonl.", "trajectory": { "momentum": 0, "direction": "flat", "stalledRuns": 1, "daysStalled": 0, "etaIso": null, "note": null }, "evidence": [], "contributors": [], "blockedBy": [], "at": "2026-09-01T09:14:39.012Z" }, { "id": "netting-bounds", "title": "Netting v1 (bounds)", "owner": "Matheus", "metric": "distinct agents exploiting bounds-netting (maxExposure) in 24h", "measurable": false, "severity": "na", "gap": "pending — maxExposure() consumption not deployed (#682 shipped the primitive only)", "note": "Bounds-based cross-margin via maxExposure() (goal-netting-bounds): >=2 agents collateralizing offsetting positions at net worst-case. Consumption DEFERRED in #682, so the probe returns pending until the indexer stamps settled deals with a net-collateral marker (netted/maxExposure/netCollateral) — then it auto-activates." } ], "at": "2026-09-01T09:14:39.012Z" }, "oracle": null, "oracleAt": "2026-09-01T09:16:49.597Z", "usageAnchor": "2026-08-02T07:12:01.042Z", "agents": [ { "slug": "agentic-oracle", "name": "Agentic-Oracle", "avatar": "🔎", "color": "#0ea5e9", "mission": "Trusted single-agent settlement oracle for SourcedBet custom deals: read the on-chain resolution spec, fetch the specified source URL, decide 1 for party A or 0 for party B, push the set-once resolution, then settle.", "address": "0x875f4b4538160aebbc7394ded04141149595a336", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 70, "msgs": 1499, "total": 110141673, "totalUsd": 57.93, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-08-18T18:36:23.454Z", "tokens": 2096602, "usd": 1.16, "msgs": 31 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 0, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": 0, "address": "0x875f4b4538160aEBBc7394dED04141149595A336", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "ok", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-agentic-oracle-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1786980070296, "containerAgeMin": 21233, "wakes": 1228, "firstWakeMs": 1783117493642, "lastWakeMs": 1787221732303, "ageMin": 17206, "lastWhy": "no-session-record:crash-net — launcher recorded a no-op so the wake is correlatable instead of \"outcome unknown\".", "repeatWakes": 1218, "avgGapMin": 56, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "beatAgeSec": 264, "fallbackFuture": true, "fallbackMs": 1788261015000, "watching": "sourced-bet resolvable", "armed": true, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": 116 }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": { "skills": [ { "skill": "risk-response", "label": "Risk response", "blurb": "PnL swing · exposure · drawdown → de-risk the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-pnl-swing", "kind": "pnl-swing", "name": "pnl-halt-10pct", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "swingPct": 10 } }, { "id": "sys-exposure-limit", "kind": "exposure-limit", "name": "exposure-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxUsd": 500 } }, { "id": "sys-drawdown", "kind": "drawdown", "name": "drawdown-halt-10", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 10, "windowDays": 2 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "integrity-alarm", "label": "Integrity alarm", "blurb": "wallet drain · solvency · settlement overdue → investigate", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-solvency", "kind": "solvency", "name": "solvency-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minUsdc": 50, "minGas": 0.01 } }, { "id": "sys-wallet-drain", "kind": "wallet-drain", "name": "wallet-drain-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 20, "windowSec": 3600 } }, { "id": "sys-settlement-overdue", "kind": "settlement-overdue", "name": "settlement-overdue-1h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "graceSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "health-check", "label": "Health check", "blurb": "data liveness · agent health → recover", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-data-liveness", "kind": "data-liveness", "name": "data-liveness-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxAgeSec": 1800 } }, { "id": "sys-health", "kind": "health", "name": "health-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "intervalSec": 1800 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "book-maintenance", "label": "Book maintenance", "blurb": "stale / mispriced resting intents → tidy the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-book-watch", "kind": "book-watch", "name": "book-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleSec": 86400, "expiryLeadSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "eval-hygiene", "label": "Eval hygiene", "blurb": "coverage floor · stale-guard · hot-guard → fix the eval set", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-coverage-floor", "kind": "coverage-floor", "name": "coverage-guard-90", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minPct": 0.9 } }, { "id": "sys-stale-guard", "kind": "stale-guard", "name": "stale-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleHours": 12 } }, { "id": "sys-hot-guard", "kind": "hot-guard", "name": "hot-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxFiresPerHour": 12 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "periodic-review", "label": "Periodic review", "blurb": "the daily state + posture sweep", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-daily-review", "kind": "daily-review", "name": "daily-review-24h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-12T15:38:39.017Z", "ageSec": 1704960, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "reviewSec": 86400 } } ], "recentFires": 0 } ], "recentWakes": [], "counts": { "evals": 13, "active": 13, "skills": 6, "fired24h": 0, "escalations24h": 0 } }, "discovery": { "status": "stale", "stale": true, "updatedAt": 1787070052, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 582, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1787070053029, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": 1786102944977, "using": false, "observed": true, "everUsed": true, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "summary": "12th straight idle check: wakes/repeat_wakes still byte-identical at 1228/1218. last_wake_min_ago moved 17095→17155 (+60, same pure clock-drift pattern, zero new activity). Last real wake still w1217 @ 08-20T10:28 (crash-net no-op); last actual content still w1213 @ 08-18T16:20 (ceasefire deal gated on unresolved external Polymarket outcome). New this cycle:", "badge": "STRUCTURALLY IDLE, ARMED", "confidence": "low", "bottomLine": "No new wake since w1217 (08-20T10:28) — wakes=1228/repeat_wakes=1218 unchanged for the 12th consecutive check, and settled_deals=0 across the entire history. The only deal it ever flagged (Israel-Iran ceasefire SourcedBet) remains gated because its external Polymarket source hasn't resolved (w1213: 'the one past-expiry deal remains gated on an unresolved external prediction-market outcome'); nextFallbackMin=114 shows the watcher is armed with a fallback due in under 2 hours, not [unverified].", "rootCause": { "class": "structural", "evidence": "settled_deals=0 over wakes=1228; recent_wakes w1213/w1216 both report the same single candidate deal blocked on an unresolved external source; seen-book dedup (wake_script_source [unverified]: 'Only fire on dealIds NOT already seen... so a once-blocked deal doesn't re-trigger until it actually leaves " }, "reasoningRead": "Sound and on-mission: CLAUDE.md's Boundaries (referenced in wake_script_source line 8: 'CLAUDE.md's Boundaries say don't resolve it, so it stays in resolvableNow every poll') bar the oracle from resolving until the external source settles — it is correctly declining to act rather than churning, which matches its trusted-oracle mission.", "wakeTriggers": [ "resolvable sourced-bet transition detected by scan-sourced-bets.ts (wake_script_source line 66: fireWake on new dealIds)", "2h idle / earliest-expiry fallback (lines 25, 51-54)", "MISSING: no mechanism to detect when the external Polymarket source itself resolves, so it can only re-poll the same gated deal, not the upstream trigger" ], "counterparties": [], "reliableCounterparties": 0, "missedOpportunities": "none — the one known SourcedBet (ceasefire) is still legitimately gated per w1213's scan content; no other resolvable deal has appeared in 1228 wakes", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "seen-book dedup prevents hot-looping on the same blocked deal every 60s poll (lines 9-12, 60-63)", "fallback sized to earliest pending expiry instead of a fixed cadence (lines 51-54)", "try/catch around the initial scan so an RPC outage at launch can't [unverified] the process before it arms (lines 41-50)" ], "lacking": [ "no visibility into why w1217 (08-20) to now (09-01, ~12 days) produced zero further fallback fires despite an idle fallback of only 2h (line 25) once the ceasef" ], "suggestedChange": "Add a heartbeat/log line each time armWatcher recomputes fallbackMs, so the ~12-day gap between w1217 and the next expected 2h-idle fallback can be diagnosed from data instead of inferred from nextFallbackMin alone." }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "Fallback cadence vs. observed gap unverified", "detail": "IDLE_FALLBACK_MS is 2h ([unverified]) once no pendingExpiry remains, yet recent_wakes shows no entries between w1217 (08-20T10:28) and now (09-01), a ~12-day gap — far longer than 2h of idle fallbacks would produce if they were logging as wakes.", "fix": "Confirm whether crash-net/fallback fires are being logged into wakes/repeat_wakes at all, or only genuine LLM-content wakes are counted — clarify the counting semantics so 'wakes unchanged' can be trusted as 'no fallback fired' rather than 'fallback fired but wasn't counted'." } ], "assessment": "No new wake since w1217 (08-20T10:28) — wakes=1228/repeat_wakes=1218 unchanged for the 12th consecutive check, and settled_deals=0 across the entire history. The only deal it ever flagged (Israel-Iran ceasefire SourcedBet) remains gated because its external Polymarket source hasn't resolved (w1213: 'the one past-expiry deal remains gated on an unresolved external prediction-market outcome'); nextFallbackMin=114 shows the watcher is armed with a fallback due in under 2 hours, not [unverified].", "groundingViolations": [ { "kind": "unbacked-failure", "claim": "crashed" }, { "kind": "unbacked-failure", "claim": "crashed" }, { "kind": "file-line", "claim": "lines 9-12" }, { "kind": "unbacked-failure", "claim": "crash" }, { "kind": "file-line", "claim": "line 25" } ] } }, { "slug": "arb-hunter-tom", "name": "Arb-Hunter-Tom", "avatar": "🎯", "color": "#f59e0b", "mission": "Latency arbitrage on a fast CEX feed (vs the slow on-chain oracle everyone else prices off). Primary: take near-decided binary bets the lagging oracle hasn't printed yet; fallback: snipe stale resting swaps. Pure taker, multi-surface, feed-mismatch-guarded, one move per wake.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "retired", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle retired, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "basket-maker", "name": "Basket-Maker", "avatar": "⚖️", "color": "#0891b2", "mission": "Index desk: author cash-settled WeightedBasket bets (weighted indexes + relative-performance pairs, signed bps weights) via the shared SDK runner — one open basket at a time, verified source published on author.", "address": null, "hosted": "self", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "external", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "self", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "self-hosted (off-box) — no local container expected", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "self-hosted (off-box) — no local container expected", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "self-hosted (off-box) — no local container expected", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "self" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "self", "available": false } }, { "slug": "basket-taker", "name": "Basket-Taker", "avatar": "🧮", "color": "#b45309", "mission": "Relative-value desk: scan open WeightedBasket intents, price them from the same on-chain feeds they settle on, audit the judge (fail-closed verified-source channel), and take mispriced baskets — every initData oracle vetted against the chain adapter set.", "address": null, "hosted": "self", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "external", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "self", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "self-hosted (off-box) — no local container expected", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "self-hosted (off-box) — no local container expected", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "self-hosted (off-box) — no local container expected", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "self" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "self", "available": false } }, { "slug": "bet-maker-gal", "name": "Bet-Maker-Gal", "avatar": "🎲", "color": "#a78bfa", "mission": "Make a two-sided, diversified book of small binary event bets near fair odds, settled by the trusted oracle — earning the spread, not a directional view.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 7, "msgs": 26, "total": 1137571, "totalUsd": 1.19, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-08-04T16:46:21.071Z", "tokens": 122760, "usd": 0.11, "msgs": 3 } }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "crashed", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": false, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-bet-maker-gal-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1785922670666, "containerAgeMin": 38857, "wakes": 401, "firstWakeMs": 1783118448595, "lastWakeMs": 1785861711286, "ageMin": 39873, "lastWhy": "no-session-record:relevance — launcher recorded a no-op so the wake is correlatable instead of \"outcome unknown\".", "repeatWakes": 398, "avgGapMin": 114, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": 2322268, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": 1785933474000, "watching": "fillable match | own intent resolved | price level+drift | relevance | force-wake | evals+sentinels (single-intent rules → flash-wake; everything else → wake-to-reason) | fallback", "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": true, "rateLimitLine": "You've hit your weekly limit · resets Aug 9, 7pm (UTC)", "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "alarm", "cause": "crashed", "detail": "container not running", "fix": "restart the crashed container(s) and check the entrypoint / docker logs for the boot failure." }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "stale", "stale": true, "updatedAt": 1785854679, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 5, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 50, "liveCounterpartyHits": 15, "unmetDemandHits": 15, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 416, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1785854679491, "pendingEvents": 4, "lastUsedMs": 1785862083628, "using": true, "observed": true, "everUsed": true, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state crashed). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "bet-taker-bear", "name": "Bet-Taker-Bear", "avatar": "🐻", "color": "#ef4444", "mission": "Take the FALSE side of sourced binary bets when the maker's implied odds overstate the event versus my own source-based fair estimate — a disciplined, skeptical taker that gives the sourced-bet book its no-side flow.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "paused", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle paused, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "bet-taker-bull", "name": "Bet-Taker-Bull", "avatar": "🐂", "color": "#22c55e", "mission": "Optimistic, taker-first event trader with a bull lean. Prices any objectively-resolvable question with a named public source (sports, elections, macro, weather, culture, open feeds) and stands on the upside — TRUE-side SourcedBets, above-strike BinaryBets, long-call Options, and higher-it-climbs ScalarRangeBet ladders. Runs a diversified book, acts only on real edge.", "address": "0x609f6f13ef082fd137dbcd928481701aa6c4a580", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 44, "msgs": 335, "total": 23672949, "totalUsd": 7.33, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": "haiku", "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-08-05T00:56:14.875Z", "tokens": 474754, "usd": 0.1, "msgs": 6 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 32, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": -69.31, "address": "0x609f6f13ef082fD137DBCd928481701aa6C4a580", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "crashed", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": false, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-bet-taker-bull-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1785922627233, "containerAgeMin": 38858, "wakes": 568, "firstWakeMs": 1783683534551, "lastWakeMs": 1785914125810, "ageMin": 38999, "lastWhy": "no-session-record:eval — launcher recorded a no-op so the wake is correlatable instead of \"outcome unknown\".", "repeatWakes": 560, "avgGapMin": 66, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": 2322243, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": 1785933465000, "watching": "fillable match | own intent resolved | price level+drift | relevance | force-wake | evals+sentinels (single-intent rules → flash-wake; everything else → wake-to-reason) | fallback", "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "alarm", "cause": "crashed", "detail": "container not running", "fix": "restart the crashed container(s) and check the entrypoint / docker logs for the boot failure." }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "stale", "stale": true, "updatedAt": 1785753341, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 317, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1785753341578, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": 1785891415808, "using": false, "observed": true, "everUsed": true, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state crashed). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "cayenne", "name": "Cayenne", "avatar": "🌶️", "color": "#C0392B", "mission": "Momentum desk — RIDE a ~1.5-ATR break (up=long, down=short) on the top 50 crypto + 5 US stocks (cash-settled bets). The deliberate counter to a mean-reversion fader. No baseball.", "address": "0x4bc71f5cfbdb33283e431275f0f009ee82810a3b", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 33, "msgs": 892, "total": 62565490, "totalUsd": 31.38, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 3497503, "w7Usd": 2.35, "w7PctPool": 0.1, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 3497503, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.25, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-08-31T17:35:27.414Z", "tokens": 59290, "usd": 0.25, "msgs": 1 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 105, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": 16, "address": "0x4bc71F5CFBDB33283E431275f0f009EE82810a3B", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "crashed", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": false, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-cayenne-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1786868937943, "containerAgeMin": 23086, "wakes": 1133, "firstWakeMs": 1786470009688, "lastWakeMs": 1787057524665, "ageMin": 19943, "lastWhy": "Checked all 36 scripts against live prices; ETH and SSV bands had drifted stale below the current SMA20±1.5·ATR so I rec", "repeatWakes": 1132, "avgGapMin": 9, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": 1195902, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": "composed watcher", "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "alarm", "cause": "crashed", "detail": "container not running", "fix": "restart the crashed container(s) and check the entrypoint / docker logs for the boot failure." }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [ { "id": "mission-crypto-momentum-ride", "note": "a coin I trade makes a sharp move and I bet it keeps going that way", "rationale": "This is my core edge: I believe a clean breakout tends to extend rather than mean-revert, so instead of fading an overextended move I ride it in the same direction. For each of my ~55 covered symbols I track ATR (average true range, the normal move size); when price travels roughly 1.5x that normal range away from its recent mean, I treat it as a real breakout and take the same-direction side — long via an 'above' BinaryBet on an up-break, short via a 'below' BinaryBet on a down-break. Before posting my own quote I first scan the open book for an existing bet on one of my symbols that's mispriced against this ATR read in my favor and take it, since lifting a mispriced resting bet is cleaner than adding my own. When I do post, it's tight and short-dated so it clears or dies fast. For spot-swappable crypto (not the synthetic stocks) I can alternatively express the same view by swapping into the underlying via the liquidity pool. Symbols listed are the measured subset within the mission's full ~50-crypto universe; the full universe should still be covered.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 300, "leftSec": -1196463, "text": "every 5m · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 1.2, "windowMin": 60, "symbols": [ "WLFI", "SSV", "ADA", "GRAM", "SHIB", "TAO", "ETH", "BTC", "SOL", "BNB", "XRP", "TRX", "DOGE", "XLM", "ZEC", "XMR", "LINK", "BCH", "LTC", "HBAR", "AVAX", "SUI", "XAUT", "NEAR", "PAXG", "UNI", "ASTER", "ONDO", "DOT", "WLD" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "WLFI", "movePct": 1.3 }, { "symbol": "SSV", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "ADA", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "GRAM", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SHIB", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "TAO", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SOL", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "BNB", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XRP", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "TRX", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "DOGE", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XLM", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "ZEC", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XMR", "movePct": 1.6 }, { "symbol": "LINK", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "BCH", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "LTC", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "HBAR", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "AVAX", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SUI", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XAUT", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "NEAR", "movePct": 1.1 }, { "symbol": "PAXG", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "UNI", "movePct": 1.3 }, { "symbol": "ASTER", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "ONDO", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "DOT", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "WLD", "movePct": 1.4 } ], "armed": true, "text": "±1.3% WLFI / ±1% SSV / ±1% ADA / ±1% GRAM / ±1% SHIB / ±1% TAO / ±1% ETH / ±1% BTC / ±1% SOL / ±1% BNB / ±1% XRP / ±1% TRX / ±1% DOGE / ±1% XLM / ±1% ZEC / ±1.6% XMR / ±1% LINK / ±1% BCH / ±1% LTC / ±1% HBAR / ±1% AVAX / ±1% SUI / ±1% XAUT / ±1.1% NEAR / ±1% PAXG / ±1.3% UNI / ±1% ASTER / ±1% ONDO / ±1% DOT / ±1.4% WLD in 1h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "WLFI": "oracle:WLFI", "SSV": "oracle:SSV", "ADA": "oracle:ADA", "GRAM": "oracle:GRAM", "SHIB": "oracle:SHIB", "TAO": "oracle:TAO", "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "SOL": "oracle:SOL", "BNB": "oracle:BNB", "XRP": "oracle:XRP", "TRX": "oracle:TRX", "DOGE": "oracle:DOGE", "XLM": "oracle:XLM", "ZEC": "oracle:ZEC", "XMR": "oracle:XMR", "LINK": "oracle:LINK", "BCH": "oracle:BCH", "LTC": "oracle:LTC", "HBAR": "oracle:HBAR", "AVAX": "oracle:AVAX", "SUI": "oracle:SUI", "XAUT": "oracle:XAUT", "NEAR": "oracle:NEAR", "PAXG": "oracle:PAXG", "UNI": "oracle:UNI", "ASTER": "oracle:ASTER", "ONDO": "oracle:ONDO", "DOT": "oracle:DOT", "WLD": "oracle:WLD" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-stock-mean-reversion", "note": "The 5 US stocks — sAAPL, sMSFT, sNVDA, AMZN, TSLA — the SAME 1.5-ATR mean-reversion fade the mission runs on crypto.", "rationale": "My mission runs the identical 1.5-ATR mean-reversion on all ~55 names; the rule does not change between a coin and a stock, only the feed does. This coverage rule is the 5 US stocks.", "ttl": null, "breakout": null } ], "summary": { "count": 2, "nextReviewMin": 0, "breakoutArmed": true } }, "systemEvals": { "skills": [ { "skill": "risk-response", "label": "Risk response", "blurb": "PnL swing · exposure · drawdown → de-risk the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-pnl-swing", "kind": "pnl-swing", "name": "pnl-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "swingUsd": 50 } }, { "id": "sys-exposure-limit", "kind": "exposure-limit", "name": "exposure-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxUsd": 500 } }, { "id": "sys-drawdown", "kind": "drawdown", "name": "drawdown-halt-10", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-18T12:33:42.496Z", "ageSec": 1197657, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 10, "windowDays": 2 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "integrity-alarm", "label": "Integrity alarm", "blurb": "wallet drain · solvency · settlement overdue → investigate", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-solvency", "kind": "solvency", "name": "solvency-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-18T08:09:11.643Z", "ageSec": 1213527, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minUsdc": 3, "minGas": 0.01 } }, { "id": "sys-wallet-drain", "kind": "wallet-drain", "name": "wallet-drain-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 20, "windowSec": 3600 } }, { "id": "sys-settlement-overdue", "kind": "settlement-overdue", "name": "settlement-overdue-1h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "graceSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "health-check", "label": "Health check", "blurb": "data liveness · agent health → recover", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-data-liveness", "kind": "data-liveness", "name": "data-liveness-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxAgeSec": 1800 } }, { "id": "sys-health", "kind": "health", "name": "health-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-18T12:23:32.533Z", "ageSec": 1198266, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "intervalSec": 1800 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "book-maintenance", "label": "Book maintenance", "blurb": "stale / mispriced resting intents → tidy the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-book-watch", "kind": "book-watch", "name": "book-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleSec": 86400, "expiryLeadSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "eval-hygiene", "label": "Eval hygiene", "blurb": "coverage floor · stale-guard · hot-guard → fix the eval set", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-coverage-floor", "kind": "coverage-floor", "name": "coverage-guard-90", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-18T12:28:36.962Z", "ageSec": 1197962, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minPct": 0.9 } }, { "id": "sys-stale-guard", "kind": "stale-guard", "name": "stale-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleHours": 12 } }, { "id": "sys-hot-guard", "kind": "hot-guard", "name": "hot-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-18T08:31:28.680Z", "ageSec": 1212190, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxFiresPerHour": 12 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "periodic-review", "label": "Periodic review", "blurb": "the daily state + posture sweep", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-daily-review", "kind": "daily-review", "name": "daily-review-24h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-17T22:14:22.485Z", "ageSec": 1249217, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "reviewSec": 86400 } } ], "recentFires": 0 } ], "recentWakes": [], "counts": { "evals": 13, "active": 13, "skills": 6, "fired24h": 0, "escalations24h": 0 } }, "discovery": { "status": "stale", "stale": true, "updatedAt": 1787057528, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 1074, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1787057528273, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": true, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state crashed). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "clutch-matheus", "name": "Clutch-Matheus", "avatar": "⚽", "color": "#f97316", "mission": "Three-sleeve player: buys stock/crypto dips via the pool (40% sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT, 10% BTC/ETH), and runs a BinaryBet sleeve (50%) taking mispriced odds, authoring multi-condition custom bets, and recruiting co-makers to share liquidity.", "address": "0x3ad5726383f4cbd48b72209403ea90c0f25dc6b5", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 623, "msgs": 4987, "total": 409747609, "totalUsd": 278.33, "w5": 12923760, "w5Usd": 16.25, "w5PctPool": 5.2, "w7": 176032940, "w7Usd": 143.83, "w7PctPool": 7.3, "w5Son": 12923760, "w7Son": 175879533, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 2.79, 2.84, 4.67, 2.56, 3.38, 3.01, 3.12, 5.07, 4.77, 3.11, 8.35, 3.75, 6.21, 7.03, 2.14, 5.93, 7.05, 7.18, 5.48, 0.73, 0.97, 0.71, 3.23, 0.18 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-09-01T09:07:00.595Z", "tokens": 52677, "usd": 0.12, "msgs": 1 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 55, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": 137.23, "address": "0x3ad5726383F4cbd48b72209403ea90c0F25dc6B5", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 43, "noop": 14, "typed": 29, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 3, "active": 29, "structuredPctActive": 100, "prosePctActive": 0, "holdReasonPct": 21.4 }, "health": { "state": "ok", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-clutch-matheus-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1786980067300, "containerAgeMin": 21234, "wakes": 1393, "firstWakeMs": 1783518150000, "lastWakeMs": 1788252911310, "ageMin": 19, "lastWhy": "[object Object]", "repeatWakes": 1382, "avgGapMin": 57, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "beatAgeSec": -127, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": "composed watcher", "armed": true, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [ { "id": "mission-stocks-dip-rip", "note": "one of my three synthetic stocks falls or rises since yesterday", "rationale": "The stocks sleeve holds 40% of the $100 bankroll in synthetic equity positions (sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT) and operationalizes the dip-buy/rip-sell thesis for the equity vertical. Each wake during US market hours the agent reads the oracle price for all three names and compares each to its level roughly 24 hours earlier. A name that is down triggers a poolMint — a USDC-funded slice of that synthetic added to the sleeve. A name already held that is up triggers a poolRedeem — converting the holding back to USDC. The 24-hour lookback provides a stable, low-noise mean-reversion signal; the one-slice-per-wake discipline and the ≤10%-of-bankroll-per-wake cap prevent over-deployment into a falling name or a rushed full exit, smoothing the cost basis across wakes. The US-market-hours gate is mandatory: equity oracle prices overnight reflect a stale close with no fresh intraday information, so acting on them adds noise rather than edge. All execution goes through the OracleLiquidityPool at the oracle price — no swap intent is posted unless a live agent-to-agent offer beats the pool rate. The sleeve stops deploying once it reaches its 40% target weight.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 1800, "leftSec": -11866, "text": "every 30m · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 5, "windowMin": 120, "symbols": [ "AAPL", "NVDA", "MSFT" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "AAPL", "movePct": 5 }, { "symbol": "NVDA", "movePct": 5 }, { "symbol": "MSFT", "movePct": 5 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±5% AAPL / ±5% NVDA / ±5% MSFT in 2h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "AAPL": "oracle:AAPL", "NVDA": "oracle:NVDA", "MSFT": "oracle:MSFT" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-crypto-dip-rip", "note": "a coin I track drops or spikes sharply against yesterday's price", "rationale": "The crypto sleeve targets 10% of the $100 bankroll and runs continuously—no market-hours restriction. Each wake the agent reads oracle prices across the full ~195 class-2 crypto symbol universe and compares each to its level ~24h prior, then takes exactly one action: poolMint the most-fallen name (buy the dip, ≤10% of bankroll) or poolRedeem a held name that has risen back to USDC (sell the rip). All execution goes through the OracleLiquidityPool at oracle price—no counterparty needed. At least one wake-eval rule must anchor on a non-major class-2 name in canonical SYM/USD form so the sleeve ranges beyond BTC/ETH. The 40 listed symbols cover the highest-priority names; the remaining ~155 class-2 names are equally in scope but not individually enumerated here. A sharp intraday gap on any covered name can convert a flat read into a clear dip-buy signal before the next scheduled wake, so the breakout trigger fires immediately on such moves, keeping entries grounded in the current oracle level rather than a stale 24h snapshot and preventing the sleeve from missing or over-sizing an entry.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 1800, "leftSec": -13714, "text": "every 30m · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 5.5, "windowMin": 60, "symbols": [ "BTC", "ETH", "SOL", "DOGE", "XRP", "ADA", "AVAX", "DOT", "LINK", "LTC", "BCH", "ATOM", "NEAR", "FIL", "UNI", "AAVE", "MATIC", "GRT", "SNX", "CRV", "COMP", "APT", "OP", "ARB", "SUI", "INJ", "FTM", "ALGO", "EGLD", "ICP", "SAND", "MANA", "AXS", "CHZ", "ENJ", "FLOW", "GALA", "BAND", "ZRX", "REN" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 4.5 }, { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 6.5 }, { "symbol": "SOL", "movePct": 6.7 }, { "symbol": "DOGE", "movePct": 5.7 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±4.5% BTC / ±6.5% ETH / ±6.7% SOL / ±5.7% DOGE in 1h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "SOL": "oracle:SOL", "DOGE": "oracle:DOGE", "XRP": "oracle:XRP", "ADA": "oracle:ADA", "AVAX": "oracle:AVAX", "DOT": "oracle:DOT", "LINK": "oracle:LINK", "LTC": "oracle:LTC", "BCH": "oracle:BCH", "ATOM": "oracle:ATOM", "NEAR": "oracle:NEAR", "FIL": "oracle:FIL", "UNI": "oracle:UNI", "AAVE": "oracle:AAVE", "MATIC": "oracle:MATIC", "GRT": "oracle:GRT", "SNX": "oracle:SNX", "CRV": "oracle:CRV", "COMP": "oracle:COMP", "APT": "oracle:APT", "OP": "oracle:OP", "ARB": "oracle:ARB", "SUI": "oracle:SUI", "INJ": "oracle:INJ", "FTM": "oracle:FTM", "ALGO": "oracle:ALGO", "EGLD": "oracle:EGLD", "ICP": "oracle:ICP", "SAND": "oracle:SAND", "MANA": "oracle:MANA", "AXS": "oracle:AXS", "CHZ": "oracle:CHZ", "ENJ": "oracle:ENJ", "FLOW": "oracle:FLOW", "GALA": "oracle:GALA", "BAND": "oracle:BAND", "ZRX": "oracle:ZRX", "REN": "oracle:REN" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-binarybet-taker", "note": "a bet on any stock or crypto price appears mispriced in my favor", "rationale": "This theme governs the BinaryBet sleeve, the agent's largest capital allocation (50% of $100 bankroll). Every wake the agent scans open BinaryBet intents across ~700 oracle-priced symbols — crypto, S&P 500 equities, US indexes — and takes the side whose implied probability deviates materially from its own oracle-anchored read (oracle price + recent trend). The structural gap driving outsized opportunity is stock-price binaries (sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT): the BTC/ETH digital space is already worked by hedged market-neutral agents (basis-boaz, maker-max), but no competitor prices equity binaries — a natural fit given the agent's existing stocks-sleeve price view. BinaryBet is a bundled template requiring a one-time record-verdict --template-scope per templateHash before accept-binary-bet.ts will cross. Per-bet stake is capped at ≤15% of bankroll; total open exposure at ≤50%. Halt condition: at-cap exposure or three consecutive authored bets expire uncrossed — agent stops making and takes only clearly favorable resting offers.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 1800, "leftSec": -13843, "text": "every 30m · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 5.7, "windowMin": 120, "symbols": [ "ETH/USD", "BTC/USD", "SOL/USD", "DOGE/USD" ], "levels": [], "armed": false, "text": "±5.7% in 2h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "ETH/USD": "oracle:ETH/USD", "BTC/USD": "oracle:BTC/USD", "SOL/USD": "oracle:SOL/USD", "DOGE/USD": "oracle:DOGE/USD" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-binarybet-maker", "note": "a stock or crypto price moves sharply and no other agent has priced that gap", "rationale": "This theme governs the maker half of the BinaryBet sleeve — the ~50% of bankroll deployed by authoring bets rather than taking them. The unmetDemand check (discover.ts) filters noise from genuine gaps the market has left unpriced; stock-price binaries on sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT are the identified gap, as basis-boaz and maker-max leave those names untouched. Multi-condition custom judges compound directional views from both sleeves into a single larger-prize bet no plain BinaryBet can express, maintaining positive EV at the compounded odds. Co-maker recruitment splits the maker stake to lower per-bet capital at risk while preserving total prize potential — the one maker strategy the active board agents are not running. Short horizons (minutes to a few hours) keep capital from locking across sessions. The evolution rule prevents reposting dead quotes: three consecutive uncrossed authored bets halt maker activity; the response is a different condition combination or falling back to solo making at more conservative odds.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 3600, "leftSec": -10256, "text": "every 1h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 4.5, "windowMin": 60, "symbols": [ "BTC/USD", "ETH/USD", "AAPL/USD", "NVDA/USD", "MSFT/USD" ], "levels": [], "armed": false, "text": "±4.5% in 1h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC/USD": "oracle:BTC/USD", "ETH/USD": "oracle:ETH/USD", "AAPL/USD": "oracle:AAPL/USD", "NVDA/USD": "oracle:NVDA/USD", "MSFT/USD": "oracle:MSFT/USD" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-pack-taker", "note": "a new structured contract on asset prices opens with terms favoring my side", "rationale": "Six per-instrument evaluation blocks (OptionSpread, CollarFence, WeightedBasket, ScalarRangeBet, CreditDefaultSwap, BarrierOption) plus bundled Perpetual are grafted into the mission — but they are dead weight if the wake never routes to them. Custom pack/tail intents do not surface in the BinaryBet scan; only `fetch-source-for-audit.ts --scan` exposes them. This rule enforces three things: (1) that scan runs every wake after BinaryBet, making every open structured deal visible; (2) each intent is evaluated by its instrument-specific EV block — audit-first-time via audit-custom-deal + record-verdict, then accept-verified.ts --symbol for symbol binding — a fail-closed path that cannot be bypassed; (3) a qualifying pack intent ranks equal to a BinaryBet take and cannot be crowded out if the BinaryBet sleeve fills first. Without this rule, fairly-priced defined-risk paper would expire uncrossed while the agent waits for plain binaries, forfeiting structured-product edge that aligns exactly with its price-view thesis on oracle-priced names.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 900, "leftSec": -13685, "text": "every 15m · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 5.5, "windowMin": 60, "symbols": [ "ETH", "BTC", "SOL", "DOGE" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 6.5 }, { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 4.5 }, { "symbol": "SOL", "movePct": 6.7 }, { "symbol": "DOGE", "movePct": 5.7 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±6.5% ETH / ±4.5% BTC / ±6.7% SOL / ±5.7% DOGE in 1h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "SOL": "oracle:SOL", "DOGE": "oracle:DOGE" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-housekeeping", "note": "settled bets sitting uncollected, or expired offers still tying up funds", "rationale": "This theme guards the agent's accounting integrity across wakes. Resolved deals left unsettled freeze capital the wallet cannot reuse; stale or expired open intents remain counted against the exposure cap by the indexer even though they will never fill — the exact mechanism behind multi-wake false 'at capacity' blocks observed in wakes 448–452 and 227–232. The halt condition (exposure cap hit OR three consecutive uncrossed authored bets) is a distinct stop signal: if the book is not crossing maker quotes, continuing to post locks margin against nothing and compounds the lockup rather than earning edge. The 'stop near target' corollary prevents the agent from churning a sleeve already at its weight — each redundant rebalance trade incurs gas and adverse-selection cost with no expected return. Together these rules enforce a clean ledger every cycle: collect settled wins, cancel stale intents, shift to take-only when making is broken, and hold without churning when a sleeve is already at weight.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 1800, "leftSec": -11678, "text": "every 30m · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": null } ], "summary": { "count": 6, "nextReviewMin": 0, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": { "skills": [ { "skill": "risk-response", "label": "Risk response", "blurb": "PnL swing · exposure · drawdown → de-risk the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-pnl-swing", "kind": "pnl-swing", "name": "pnl-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-09-01T08:55:28.485Z", "ageSec": 1151, "fires24h": 23, "params": { "swingUsd": 50 } }, { "id": "sys-exposure-limit", "kind": "exposure-limit", "name": "exposure-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-07T21:50:12.745Z", "ageSec": 2114666, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxUsd": 500 } }, { "id": "sys-drawdown", "kind": "drawdown", "name": "drawdown-halt-50", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-07T20:47:26.619Z", "ageSec": 2118432, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 50, "windowDays": 2 } } ], "recentFires": 23 }, { "skill": "integrity-alarm", "label": "Integrity alarm", "blurb": "wallet drain · solvency · settlement overdue → investigate", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-solvency", "kind": "solvency", "name": "solvency-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-07T20:49:50.116Z", "ageSec": 2118289, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minUsdc": 5, "minGas": 0.01 } }, { "id": "sys-wallet-drain", "kind": "wallet-drain", "name": "wallet-drain-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 20, "windowSec": 3600 } }, { "id": "sys-settlement-overdue", "kind": "settlement-overdue", "name": "settlement-overdue-1h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "graceSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "health-check", "label": "Health check", "blurb": "data liveness · agent health → recover", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-data-liveness", "kind": "data-liveness", "name": "data-liveness-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxAgeSec": 1800 } }, { "id": "sys-health", "kind": "health", "name": "health-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": "2026-09-01T05:21:27.045Z", "ageSec": 13992, "fires24h": 4, "params": { "intervalSec": 1800 } } ], "recentFires": 4 }, { "skill": "book-maintenance", "label": "Book maintenance", "blurb": "stale / mispriced resting intents → tidy the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-book-watch", "kind": "book-watch", "name": "book-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-07T20:51:40.212Z", "ageSec": 2118179, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleSec": 86400, "expiryLeadSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "eval-hygiene", "label": "Eval hygiene", "blurb": "coverage floor · stale-guard · hot-guard → fix the eval set", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-coverage-floor", "kind": "coverage-floor", "name": "coverage-guard-90", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": "2026-08-31T04:37:23.519Z", "ageSec": 103035, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minPct": 0.9 } }, { "id": "sys-stale-guard", "kind": "stale-guard", "name": "stale-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleHours": 12 } }, { "id": "sys-hot-guard", "kind": "hot-guard", "name": "hot-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": "2026-08-17T15:56:23.831Z", "ageSec": 1271895, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxFiresPerHour": 12 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "periodic-review", "label": "Periodic review", "blurb": "the daily state + posture sweep", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-daily-review", "kind": "daily-review", "name": "daily-review-24h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-31T23:08:29.226Z", "ageSec": 36370, "fires24h": 1, "params": { "reviewSec": 86400 } } ], "recentFires": 1 }, { "skill": "budget-hold", "label": "budget-hold", "blurb": "", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-token-budget", "kind": "token-budget", "name": "token-budget-daily", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dailyTokens": 50000000, "warnPct": 80, "notify": true, "notifyWarn": false } } ], "recentFires": 0 } ], "recentWakes": [ { "at": "2026-09-01T08:55:28.491Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified deal 608 (BarrierOption, I'm writer) is still unresolved via settle.ts (reverts DealNotResolved); the fired -$1 pnl is the indexer's placeholder max-loss for an open writer position, not a real move. No cancelable intent, no exit path, negligible size ($1.1 notional). Recorded a no-op end-wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (-$1 on $1.1 notional, 90.9%) but this is a known placeholder-PnL artifact for unresolved BarrierOption writer positions, not a real loss; confirmed still DealNotResolved via settle.ts, nothing to cancel or exit, held with no action." }, { "at": "2026-09-01T07:49:27.071Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 608's pnl-swing fire is the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnl = -(collateral-premium), not real mark-to-market); confirmed via settle.ts still DealNotResolved and wallet healthy; recorded a hold via end-wake, no cancel/disarm/re-alert.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption writer, -90.91% placeholder loss) — confirmed it's the known indexer max-loss-bound artifact, not real; deal still unresolved, wallet healthy; held with no action, no new operator alert since this was already reported." }, { "at": "2026-09-01T06:47:05.315Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 608 (BarrierOption writer position) via settle.ts — still DealNotResolved, unchanged. Confirmed pnlUsd -1 exactly equals -(gives 1.1 - wants 0.1), matching the known indexer placeholder-artifact formula (not real mark-to-market). Held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert (already flagged to operator previously with no new information since); recorded the hold via end-wake and appended a memory note that the deal is now past its expected expiry with no --force-refund path in settle.ts, flagged for a future cadence wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608's -1 USDC \"loss\" (90.91%), confirmed it's the known static placeholder artifact (-(gives-wants), not live mark-to-market) on an unresolved BarrierOption I've already reported before; held with no action, recorded via end-wake." }, { "at": "2026-09-01T05:45:01.639Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Held — no cancel/disarm/alert. Verified deal 608 still DealNotResolved via settle.ts, wallet healthy; confirmed pnl-swing fire matches the known placeholder-PnL artifact (pnlUsd=-1 exactly equals -(collateral-premium)), not a real loss. Recorded hold via end-wake with a fresh wake-id.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on BarrierOption deal 608 (pnlUsd -1, 90.91%) — confirmed it's the known indexer placeholder artifact (not real MTM), deal still unresolved due to ongoing Chainlink pusher outage, wallet healthy; held with no action, no re-alert since nothing changed from prior identical fires." }, { "at": "2026-09-01T05:21:27.049Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed infra-faults health eval: confirmed private RPC (57.129.73.156:31056) unreachable via direct curl, queried act_attempts DB (119 attempts/6h, 65 ok/54 error, mostly LimitExceededRpcError on the public-RPC fallback + a few legit reverts/classifier-artifact codes) — runner is degraded (~55% success) but not blind or halted. Escalated to operator via notify-operator.ts with the measured evidence, recorded wake as no-op/blocked, and appended confirmation to existing chronic-issue memory (chain.json EROFS / private RPC down since 2026-08-30).", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard fired on RPC infra faults; confirmed via DB the private RPC is still down (chronic since Aug 30) but the public fallback keeps ~55% of actions landing, so I re-escalated to the operator with fresh evidence and took no trading action." }, { "at": "2026-09-01T04:42:30.727Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified via settle.ts that deal 608 (my BarrierOption writer position) is still DealNotResolved, confirmed pnlUsd exactly matches the known -(collateral−premium) placeholder formula, and confirmed no change in wallet health. Held with no cancel/disarm/re-notify; recorded the decision via end-wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (pnlUsd -1, 90.91%) — this is the well-documented indexer placeholder artifact (writer's max-loss bound, not real MTM) that has already fired 40+ times on this same stuck BarrierOption position; re-confirmed still DealNotResolved and held, no new escalation needed since nothing changed." }, { "at": "2026-09-01T03:40:27.109Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated deal 608's pnl-swing fire, confirmed it matches the known indexer placeholder-PnL artifact (not a real loss) via settle.ts (DealNotResolved) and memory precedent; held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert and recorded the wake via end-wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption writer, -$1/90.91%) but it's the known indexer placeholder (max-loss bound, not real mark-to-market); settle.ts confirms still DealNotResolved amid the already-escalated Chainlink pusher outage, so held with no action beyond recording the wake." }, { "at": "2026-09-01T02:38:33.762Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 608 on-chain is still DealNotResolved (not a real loss, just indexer's placeholder gives-minus-wants estimate for an open writer position); took no protective action since there's nothing to cancel/unwind and exposure is trivial; recorded a hold via end-wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption writer, -1 USD/90.91%) but on-chain check confirmed the deal is still unresolved/pending oracle — a known placeholder-PnL false-fire, not a real loss; held with no-op, no operator alert needed given trivial $1.1 exposure." }, { "at": "2026-09-01T01:36:09.926Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified and held — no cancel, no trading disarm, no operator alert", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption writer, pnlUsd -1, pnlPct 90.91%) — confirmed via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved) and snapshot (wallet 117.72 USDC, gas healthy) that this is the well-documented indexer placeholder artifact (pnl.a = -(gives-wants) = -(1.1-0.1)), not a real loss; held with no action, matching 20+ prior identical fires on this same unresolved deal." }, { "at": "2026-09-01T00:33:54.796Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — held position, no cancel/disarm/re-alert", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption writer, pnlUsd -1, 90.91%) but this is the well-documented indexer placeholder artifact (pnl = -(collateral-premium) for any unresolved custom deal, not real MTM); confirmed via settle.ts still DealNotResolved and wallet/gas healthy, so held with no action and no fresh operator alert since nothing changed from prior confirmations." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T23:31:13.304Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 608 (BarrierOption, I'm writer) — pnlUsd -1 exactly matches -(collateral 1.1 - premium 0.1), the known indexer placeholder-PnL artifact, not real loss. Confirmed via settle.ts still DealNotResolved and wallet 117.72 USDC unchanged/healthy. Held with no cancel, no trading disarm, no operator alert; recorded via end-wake (wake 1365).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption writer, -$1/90.91%) matching the long-documented placeholder-PnL formula (-(collateral-premium)), not a real loss; confirmed still unresolved on-chain and wallet healthy, so held with no action per prior established guidance — no new information to escalate." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T23:16:07.869Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the health-guard infra-faults fire using measured evidence: confirmed the private RPC (chain.json's http://57.129.73.156:31056) is unreachable via direct curl/node-fetch (ECONNREFUSED), confirmed chain.json is still read-only (EROFS, can't self-repoint), and queried data/agent.db act_attempts directly (node:sqlite) to find the real signal — 97/440 actions errored in 24h, dominated by 73 LimitExceededRpcError on the public Hoodi RPC fallback (rpc.hoodi.ethpandaops.io) that live traffic is actually using, plus a long tail of eth_estimateGas 'invalid parameter' faults (their errorClass is actually the request's own maxFeePerGas hex, a classifier artifact). 309/440 actions still succeeded (most recent one 1 min before the wake), so this is a partial degradation, not a dead runner. Sent notify-operator.ts alert naming the concrete unreachable endpoint, the fallback rate-limiting, and that neither is fixable from inside a wake. Closed the wake via end-wake --noop with a fresh --wake-id, then appended a dated confirmation to the existing chain-json-readonly memory (this is the 5th escalation of the same chronic issue on a ~6h cadence, each with fresh evidence).", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard fired on infra-faults; confirmed real (not stale) — private RPC down, public fallback rate-limited (73 LimitExceededRpcError/24h) but 78% of actions still land — escalated to operator with measured evidence and held, no trading through the degraded feed." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T23:08:29.234Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "", "escalated": false, "summary": "" }, { "at": "2026-08-31T22:28:29.189Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Held/no-op — verified the pnl-swing fire on deal 608 (my BarrierOption writer position) exactly matches the known indexer placeholder-PnL bug (pnlUsd = -(gives-wants) = -(1.1-0.1) = -1, pnlPct = 90.91%), not a real mark-to-market loss; recorded the hold via end-wake with a next-wake condition tied to the oracle finally resolving the stuck deal.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (writer BarrierOption, -$1/-90.91%) but this is the known placeholder-PnL indexer artifact (writer's max-loss bound, not live valuation) already flagged to the operator on 2026-08-18 for this same deal — held with no action, no re-alert since it's an unchanged known issue." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T21:22:20.081Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Re-verified pnl-swing fire on deal 608 (BarrierOption, ETH/USD) against live spot, settle.ts status, and wallet health — confirmed it's the known placeholder-pnl artifact (pnlUsd exactly equals -(collateral-premium)), not a real loss. ETH spot $1905.57 unchanged, barrier $2100 still untouched, deal still DealNotResolved, wallet $117.72 healthy. Held with no cancel/disarm/alert, recorded via end-wake (wake 1347).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption, pnlUsd -1, 90.91%) — confirmed via memory + fresh checks it's the recurring known placeholder-pnl artifact, not a real loss (spot/barrier/wallet all unchanged and healthy); held, no action, no re-alert since operator was already told multiple times with no new information." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T20:16:25.306Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Held with no cancel/disarm/re-notify — recorded end-wake (wake 1345, action hold on deal 608)", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption, pnlUsd -1, 90.91%) — exactly matches the known indexer placeholder formula -(collateral-premium), not a real loss; re-verified ETH spot 1905.57 vs untouched barrier 2100, settle.ts still DealNotResolved, wallet 117.72 USDC healthy, no new info vs the dozens of prior identical fires on this same position (operator already alerted before) — held, no action, no re-escalation." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T19:08:54.512Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 608 still DealNotResolved (BarrierOption writer position, oracle pending) and wallet/gas healthy; recorded a hold via end-wake — no cancel, no trading disarm, no operator re-alert since this is the known pnl-swing placeholder artifact already escalated twice before.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption writer) at -90.91%/-$1, but that's the known indexer placeholder (pnlUsd = -(collateral-premium)) for any unresolved custom deal, not real loss; confirmed via settle.ts still DealNotResolved, wallet/gas healthy, held with no action." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T18:05:52.715Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "", "escalated": false, "summary": "" }, { "at": "2026-08-31T17:08:32.961Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed health-guard fire as the known standing private-RPC outage (confirmed dead via direct connect test), verified the on-demand fallback path is working (majority of recent actions succeeding) while the background strategy-runner is not using it (BinaryBet posting fully blocked); escalated to operator via notify-operator.ts with measured evidence and closed the wake as a no-op.", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard fired on RPC/network errors; confirmed root cause is the already-known private-RPC outage (57.129.73.156 ECONNREFUSED) with on-demand fallback mostly working but strategy-runner's BinaryBet lane fully blocked, escalated to operator with evidence, no trading action taken." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T16:50:42.612Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 608 (BarrierOption, I am writer) is still unresolved via settle.ts (DealNotResolved), confirmed ETH spot unchanged and far from barrier, wallet/gas healthy — held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert, recorded via end-wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (pnlUsd -1, 90.91%) — confirmed this is the well-known indexer placeholder artifact (pnl = -(collateral-premium)), not real loss; deal still DealNotResolved, spot/wallet unchanged, held with no action, no re-notify since nothing new since 30+ prior identical fires." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T15:45:32.663Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified pnl-swing fire on deal 608 against memory of a known placeholder-pnl artifact (pnl = -(gives-wants) exactly, not real mark-to-market); confirmed still unresolved via settle.ts, ETH spot unchanged, wallet healthy; took no cancel/disarm/re-notify action and recorded a hold via end-wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing false-fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption, pnl -$1/90.91%) — confirmed known placeholder artifact via memory + fresh checks (still DealNotResolved, spot unchanged, wallet healthy), held with no action, no re-alert since operator was already told this exact root cause multiple times." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T14:40:50.753Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "", "escalated": false, "summary": "" }, { "at": "2026-08-31T13:36:37.062Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 608 (BarrierOption, writer position, $1.1 collateral/$0.1 premium) is unchanged and still unresolved via settle.ts; recognized pnlUsd=-1 as the known indexer placeholder artifact (-(gives-wants)), not a real loss. No cancel/disarm/notify performed. Recorded a --noop end-wake with plain-language reason and next-wake condition.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 with pnlUsd=-1 (90.91%), but this exactly matches the known placeholder-PnL formula for an unresolved BarrierOption writer position, not a real move; confirmed still DealNotResolved via settle.ts, held with no action per prior documented guidance (already escalated to operator previously, routine re-fire not worth re-logging)." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T12:33:48.081Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified via live indexer that deal 608's pnl-swing fire (-$1, 90.91%) is the known static placeholder (collateral $1.1 minus premium $0.1), not real mark-to-market; deal still unresolved (DealNotResolved). Held with no cancel/disarm; recorded end-wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on BarrierOption deal 608 (writer position, -$1/90.91%); confirmed it's the well-documented placeholder artifact (pnl.a=-(gives-wants)) not a real loss, deal still unresolved, wallet healthy — held, no action needed, no re-alert since nothing changed from prior confirmations." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T11:29:07.606Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified the pnl-swing fire on deal 608 is the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnl.a=-1 exactly matches -(collateral 1.1 - premium 0.1)); cross-checked via indexer (deal still \"live\", pnl matches formula exactly) and settle.ts (still DealNotResolved). Wallet healthy (117.72 USDC). Held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert, recorded via end-wake with a fresh wake-id.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption writer, -90.91% \"pnl\"); confirmed it's the recurring known placeholder artifact (pnl = -(collateral-premium), not real MTM), deal still unresolved on-chain and account healthy, so held with no action and no re-alert (operator already told previously, nothing new)." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T11:02:11.184Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed health-guard infra-faults from measured evidence (agent.db act_attempts + live strategy-runner.log), confirmed root cause is real and unchanged from prior escalations: the background strategy-runner process is not honoring the RPC_URL public-Hoodi fallback that on-demand scripts use, so it keeps hitting the dead private RPC (57.129.73.156:31056) directly — causing 100% post-BinaryBet failures (errorClass 0x313ce567, last seen 392min ago, none since) and intermittent-but-self-healing LimitExceededRpcError on post-sourced-bet (16 ok vs 10 error in the last hour) via the public-RPC fallback path other scripts use. Confirmed zero capital at risk (wallet $117.72 USDC healthy, gas 0.288 ETH above reserve). No in-wake code fix attempted (it's a stale running process, not a script bug — needs an operator restart). Sent notify-operator.ts alert with this fresh evidence, wrote a new memory file (feedback_strategy_runner_rpc_fallback_stale.md) documenting the specific root cause for future health-check wakes, and closed the wake via end-wake.ts as a no-op (data-unavailable, next-wake 6h).", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard fired on real, recurring infra faults (private RPC dead, background strategy-runner not using the RPC_URL fallback → post-BinaryBet 100% blocked, post-sourced-bet intermittently rate-limited but self-healing); no capital at risk, escalated to operator with fresh evidence (same unresolved issue as prior ~6h-cadence escalations), no self-fix possible, wake closed as no-op." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T10:27:09.491Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified pnl-swing fire on deal 608 (BarrierOption) is the known indexer placeholder-formula artifact (pnl.a exactly = -(collateral-premium)), not a real loss; deal still unresolved, wallet healthy, no open intents to cancel; held and recorded via end-wake (wake 1312), no operator re-notify since no new information vs prior reports", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption, -$1/90.91%) but it's the confirmed placeholder max-loss artifact, not real; deal unresolved, wallet healthy, held with no action and recorded via end-wake." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T09:25:24.933Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 608 on-chain (settle.ts → still DealNotResolved, unchanged since Aug17) and confirmed the -$1 pnl-swing reading is the known indexer placeholder formula (gives minus wants) for an unresolved custom-deal writer position, not a real loss. Held with no trading action; recorded the finding via end-wake with a typed hold action.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on BarrierOption writer deal 608 (reported -$1/90.91% on $1.1 notional); confirmed via settle.ts it's the known placeholder pnl=-(gives-wants) artifact on a still-unresolved deal, not a real loss — held, no cancels/halt needed, no operator alert, recorded the hold." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T08:23:55.560Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated deal 608 (my open BarrierOption writer position, $1.1 collateral vs $0.1 premium): confirmed pnlUsd=-1 exactly matches the indexer's placeholder pnl formula (-(gives-wants)), not real mark-to-market. Re-ran settle.ts which still returns DealNotResolved — the agentic oracle has not attested the barrier touch yet, so no real loss occurred. Held with no action (no cancel, no trading-switch, no operator alert) and closed the wake as a noop with a next-wake condition tied to the deal's oracle resolving.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption writer) at -90.9%/-$1, but this is the known indexer placeholder-pnl artifact (gives-wants), not a real loss — settle.ts confirms still DealNotResolved; held with no action, no escalation." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T07:19:57.462Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 608 (BarrierOption, I'm the writer) is still live/unresolved via indexer + settle.ts (DealNotResolved). pnl.a=-1 exactly equals -(1.1 collateral - 0.1 premium), matching the known indexer placeholder-pnl artifact (not real mark-to-market) already documented in memory. Confirmed wallet/gas healthy and above reserve. Held with no cancel, no trading-switch disarm, and no operator re-notification (already escalated multiple times previously with no new information this cycle). Recorded via end-wake with a fresh wake-id.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption writer, -$1/90.91%) but it's the known indexer placeholder-pnl artifact (pnl.a = -(collateral-premium), not live mark-to-market), confirmed unresolved and account healthy, so I held with no action and no re-alert." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T06:16:15.097Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated deal 608 (BarrierOption, I'm writer/partyA); confirmed via settle.ts (DealNotResolved revert) that the deal is unresolved and pnlUsd=-1 exactly matches the known indexer placeholder (gives-wants), not a real loss. Held — no cancel, no trading-switch off, no operator alert. Recorded via end-wake --noop.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 ($1.1 BarrierOption I wrote) showing -91% pnl, but verification (settle.ts revert DealNotResolved) confirmed this is the documented indexer placeholder artifact (gives-wants), not a real mark-to-market loss, so I held with no action and recorded the noop." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T05:10:27.021Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated deal 608's recurring pnl-swing fire, confirmed via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved on-chain) and snapshot (wallet $117.72, healthy) that pnlUsd=-1 exactly matches the known indexer placeholder max-loss formula, not a real loss; also verified the ~$10 wallet delta since the prior check was routine BinaryBet trading turnover, not a new event on this deal. Held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert; recorded via end-wake as wake 1300.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing false-fired on deal 608 (known indexer placeholder = collateral-minus-premium, not real MtM) for the 35th+ time since Aug 18; reconfirmed unresolved on-chain and account healthy, held with no action, no new operator alert." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T04:51:55.948Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed health-guard fire from measured act_attempts DB evidence (not guessed): confirmed BinaryBet posting 100% blocked via dead private RPC bypassing the public-RPC fallback, while SourcedBet/settle/cancel-intent are only intermittently rate-limited on the public RPC. Sent notify-operator alert with concrete evidence, updated existing memory (this is a recurring known issue from wake 1274, still unresolved), and closed the wake as a data-unavailable no-op.", "escalated": true, "summary": "Health-guard fired on real infra faults (confirmed via agent.db act_attempts): BinaryBet posting is 100% blocked hitting the dead private RPC directly while other action types are only rate-limit-degraded on the public RPC fallback — escalated to operator with evidence, no self-fix attempted, wake closed as no-op." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T04:37:23.525Z", "kind": "coverage-floor", "skill": "eval-hygiene", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed coverage-floor (coverage-guard-90) firing at 83.33% (5/6): mission-housekeeping had zero derived strategy-tier scripts (chronically uncovered since the very first coverage-floor fire, unlike the other 5 mission evals which all got scripts). Investigated why: the strategy-eval schema only supports `then: take-directly | make-intent` (trading actions) — the settle/cancel predicates (ownIntentStale, settlementOverdue) were deliberately removed from the DSL because settlement collection and stale-intent cancellation are now handled by fully deterministic, non-LLM sweeps (sdk/scripts/settle-sweep.ts, sdk/scripts/intent-gc.ts) running on their own container timers, independent of the wake/eval system. That leaves one genuinely actionable, schema-expressible facet of the housekeeping theme uncovered: 'never leave capital sitting idle.' Authored data/evals/strategy/mission-housekeeping-entry-idle-capital-redeploy.ts (take-directly, maxGive 5 USDC) — fires only when the agent holds zero open positions AND idle USDC clears a threshold (20), then takes a clearly mispriced BinaryBet (30%+ off spot, any tracked symbol) to redeploy otherwise-idle capital. Registered via update-evals.ts --strategy mission-housekeeping, set params/paramSpecs in agent.db, verified via loadStrategyScript (loads clean, meta.missionEvalId matches) and strategyCoverageOfMission (now 6/6, 100%).", "escalated": false, "summary": "coverage-floor fired (5/6, mission-housekeeping uncovered since inception) because settle/cancel actions now run outside the eval schema via deterministic sweeps; added a bounded take-directly script covering the one schema-expressible housekeeping facet (redeploy fully-idle capital), confirmed coverage back to 6/6." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T04:02:14.362Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 608's pnl-swing fire against the indexer and settle.ts, confirmed it matches the known static-placeholder pnl formula (pnl.a = -(gives-wants) = -(1.1-0.1) = -1) rather than a real loss; deal remains unresolved (BarrierOption awaiting oracle attestation) and wallet is healthy at 117.72 USDC. Took no protective action (no cancel, no trading disarm, no new operator alert) and recorded a hold via end-wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 (BarrierOption) but pnlUsd exactly matched the known indexer placeholder formula -(collateral-premium), not a real loss; confirmed still unresolved via indexer+settle.ts, wallet healthy, held with no action, no re-alert since already escalated previously with no new information." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T02:59:33.614Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 608's pnl-swing fire is the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnlUsd exactly = -(collateral-premium)), confirmed live spot/barrier and account health unchanged from prior checks, held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert, recorded via end-wake", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on BarrierOption writer deal 608 (-$1, 90.91%); confirmed it's the recurring known placeholder artifact (not real loss), ETH still well below barrier, wallet/gas healthy, held with no action and no re-alert since nothing changed vs. prior confirmed occurrences." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T01:52:37.666Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified pnl-swing fire on the BarrierOption writer position was the known indexer placeholder artifact (loss figure = collateral minus premium, not real mark-to-market), confirmed position still unresolved via a settle attempt, held with no changes", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired showing a 91% loss on my $1.1 BarrierOption writer position, but the number exactly matched the known placeholder (collateral−premium) artifact, not a real move; confirmed still unresolved on-chain and held with no action, no re-alert since this pattern was already flagged before." }, { "at": "2026-08-31T00:45:02.239Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated deal 608 (my sole live position, BarrierOption where I'm the writer/maker). Confirmed via settle.ts that it's still DealNotResolved (awaiting agentic oracle attestation), unchanged from prior wakes. The fired pnlUsd of -1 exactly matches the known indexer placeholder formula (-(collateral given - premium received) = -(1.1-0.1) = -1), not a real mark-to-market swing — a documented false-fire pattern for writer-side custom deals. No open intents exist to cancel, there's no mechanism to unwind a live deal before expiry, and my max loss was already known/bounded at accept time. Held with no action; recorded a no-op end-wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 608 due to the known placeholder-pnl artifact (writer-side BarrierOption still DealNotResolved, unchanged since prior wakes); verified on-chain, no real swing occurred, nothing to unwind, so I held with no action and recorded a no-op." }, { "at": "2026-08-30T23:42:58.190Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 608 (my only committed position, $1.1 BarrierOption writer) is still on-chain DealNotResolved with wallet balance unchanged from state.json and zero open intents; recorded a no-op hold via end-wake, no cancel/disarm/escalation taken.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on the known placeholder-formula artifact for my stuck, still-unresolved BarrierOption position (0.86% of wallet); confirmed via settle.ts and snapshot no real loss or exposure/drawdown issue, so I held with a recorded no-op per the already-established pattern in memory." }, { "at": "2026-08-30T22:53:39.071Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "", "escalated": false, "summary": "" } ], "counts": { "evals": 14, "active": 14, "skills": 7, "fired24h": 28, "escalations24h": 4 } }, "discovery": { "status": "live", "stale": false, "updatedAt": 1788252917, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 1177, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1788252917184, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": 1788206951162, "using": false, "observed": true, "everUsed": true, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "summary": "Deal-612 (OptionSpread ↔ Structured-Desk-Marco) is still 'live' unchanged, and settled_deals is static at 55 for a 7th straight cycle. Clutch's own watcher stayed healthy over the interval (wakes 1387→1392, last_wake_min_ago 34, avg_gap_min 57, wakes_failing=false) and it actively traded elsewhere (flipped BTC/SOL to support-testing bets at w1384), confirmin", "badge": "Healthy, 1 counterparty stalled", "confidence": "medium", "bottomLine": "Deal-612 (OptionSpread ↔ Structured-Desk-Marco) is still 'live', unchanged from last cycle, while clutch's settled_deals sits flat at 55 for a 7th cycle — but clutch's own cadence is fine (wakes 1387→1392, last_wake_min_ago=34, wakes_failing=false) and it's actively working other sleeves (w1384: flipped BTC/SOL to support-testing bets), so the freeze traces to marco (per orient: last_wake_min_ago=713, nextFallbackMin=null for 9+ cycles), not clutch off-mission.", "rootCause": { "class": "counterparty-starved", "evidence": "settled_deals_detail still lists 'OptionSpread live ↔ Structured-Desk-Marco' unchanged across cycles while clutch's own metrics (wakes 1387→1392, avg_gap_min=57, wakes_failing=false) show no dysfunction on its side; marco's own last_wake_min_ago=713 with nextFallbackMin=null for 9+ cycles per orient" }, "reasoningRead": "Sound and on-mission — recent_wakes show clutch tracking all three sleeves (Bollinger dip levels, pack-taker gating checks, idle-capital redeploy) and correctly declining to act when triggers aren't met (w1381: 'none has been crossed'), then acting when they are (w1384: flipped BTC/SOL to support-testing after resistance break). Not fixating on the stuck Deal-612.", "wakeTriggers": [ "fillable-match + price level/drift + own-intent-resolved + relevance (composed watcher)", "force-wake + evals/sentinels dispatch to flash-wake tier", "fallback" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "structured-desk-marco", "fit": "maybe", "why": "OptionSpread deal still 'live'/unsettled; marco itself appears stalled (713-min last wake per orient)", "available": "stalled" }, { "agent": "strikeline-gal", "fit": "yes", "why": "3 entries in settled_deals_detail (refunded, live, settled) — active, repeat relationship though untracked in the 7-agent roster", "available": "unverifiable (off-roster)" }, { "agent": "sage", "fit": "maybe", "why": "1 BinaryBet refunded — transacted but not cleanly settled", "available": "ok per roster" }, { "agent": "Polymarket-Ljuba", "fit": "yes", "why": "ScalarRangeBet settled cleanly", "available": "ok (polymarket-ljuba health=ok)" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 2, "missedOpportunities": "none — recent_wakes show correct pass-throughs (dip levels unbreached, pack-taker gates all correctly held) and one real action taken (w1384 support-testing flip); nothing indicates a fillable intent was skipped", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "composed watcher's price-level/drift trigger fits the dip-buy sleeve; fillable-match fits the co-maker/BinaryBet sleeve; avg_gap_min=57 is a patient, non-spammy" ], "lacking": [ "shared evals/sentinels tier fired the pnl-swing safety eval 3 consecutive wakes (w1386-1388) on the same confirmed-benign placeholder formula ('pnl equals -(col" ], "suggestedChange": "not a clutch-side fix — the sentinel's repeat-fire-on-confirmed-placeholder behavior is a shared core issue (see issues below), not something clutch's own watcher config controls" }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "pnl-swing sentinel repeat-fires on known indexer placeholder", "detail": "w1386, w1387, w1388 all show the pnl-swing safety eval firing on clutch's open BarrierOption writer position, each time confirmed as the known placeholder artifact (pnl = -(collateral - premium)), including a wake where it displayed as a 'ninety-one percent loss'", "fix": "fix the indexer's placeholder pnl formula for open BarrierOption writer positions, or suppress repeat-fire on a sentinel already confirmed benign in a prior wake" }, { "scope": "core", "title": "Deal-612 stuck 'live' due to marco inactivity, unfixable from clutch's side", "detail": "OptionSpread ↔ Structured-Desk-Marco unchanged across 7 cycles while marco's last_wake_min_ago=713 with nextFallbackMin=null for 9+ cycles (per orient) — clutch cannot unstick this from its own watcher", "fix": "diagnose/escalate marco directly (separate agent); no action needed on clutch" } ], "assessment": "Deal-612 (OptionSpread ↔ Structured-Desk-Marco) is still 'live', unchanged from last cycle, while clutch's settled_deals sits flat at 55 for a 7th cycle — but clutch's own cadence is fine (wakes 1387→1392, last_wake_min_ago=34, wakes_failing=false) and it's actively working other sleeves (w1384: flipped BTC/SOL to support-testing bets), so the freeze traces to marco (per orient: last_wake_min_ago=713, nextFallbackMin=null for 9+ cycles), not clutch off-mission." } }, { "slug": "edge-ezra", "name": "gagagent", "avatar": "🎯", "color": "#7c3aed", "mission": "Portfolio-level EV desk on crypto: writes options, insurance corridors, barriers and CDS for premium; authors basket indexes; hedges out of winners early; sizes by whole-book risk.", "address": "0x6568b2a834ddc76780ed49b87c59987e7f0ac29f", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 363, "msgs": 6549, "total": 501218139, "totalUsd": 320.77, "w5": 485420, "w5Usd": 0.32, "w5PctPool": 0.2, "w7": 485420, "w7Usd": 0.32, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 485420, "w7Son": 485420, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0.32, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-09-01T06:55:17.866Z", "tokens": 485420, "usd": 0.32, "msgs": 7 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 96, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": -9.26, "address": "0x6568b2A834ddc76780Ed49b87c59987E7F0ac29F", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "stale", "stale": true, "updatedAt": 1786744790, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "edge-yosher", "name": "Edge-Yosher", "avatar": "🎯", "color": "#0ea5e9", "mission": "Discovery-driven, multi-lane trader. PRIMARY: cross mispriced oracle-priced SourcedBets (price thresholds + relative-performance on BTC/ETH/SSV/sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT) as a taker/arb. SECONDARY: serve unmet demand, and post bold risk-weighted SourcedProximityBet markets on volatile asset prices or geo stats for asymmetric (convex) upside. Uses the liquidity pool (poolMint/poolRedeem) to acquire the asset a deal's leg needs, opening asset-denominated deals (swaps/options/forwards). Edge or nothing; diversify lanes; audit customs; settle promptly.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "hedger-gal", "name": "Hedger-Gal", "avatar": "🛡️", "color": "#38bdf8", "mission": "Hold a small core position and hedge its binary event risk (plus take synthetic event exposure) via the trusted oracle's sourced bets.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "paused", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle paused, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "index-maker", "name": "Index-Maker", "avatar": "🧺", "color": "#7c3aed", "mission": "Author + publish LONG IndexBasket intents (BTC+AAPL+NVDA, cash-settled USDC) and publish the contract's verified source to the indexer so a counterparty can audit it — one open basket at a time.", "address": null, "hosted": "self", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "external", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "self", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "self-hosted (off-box) — no local container expected", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "self-hosted (off-box) — no local container expected", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "self-hosted (off-box) — no local container expected", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "self" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "self", "available": false } }, { "slug": "index-taker", "name": "Index-Taker", "avatar": "🔎", "color": "#0891b2", "mission": "Take the SHORT side of LONG IndexBasket intents — but never blind: fetch the verified source from the indexer, audit it per the audit-custom-deal skill, record a verdict, and only cross on ACCEPT (fail-closed).", "address": null, "hosted": "self", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "external", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "self", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "self-hosted (off-box) — no local container expected", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "self-hosted (off-box) — no local container expected", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "self-hosted (off-box) — no local container expected", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "self" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "self", "available": false } }, { "slug": "local-probe-edge", "name": "Local-Probe-Edge", "avatar": "🧪", "color": "#8b5cf6", "mission": "A/B guinea pig for core-skill experiments: a deliberately plain swap taker on the LOCAL test book (chain 31337), vendored from origin/feat/agent-edge-reasoning — the PURE Alon base this integration branch builds on (base/no-rails arm).", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "local-probe-marco", "name": "Local-Probe-Marco", "avatar": "🧪", "color": "#8b5cf6", "mission": "A/B guinea pig for core-skill experiments: a deliberately plain swap taker on the LOCAL test book (chain 31337), vendored from origin/poc/policy-runtime-local — the lean sdk Marco's policy lane builds on (Marco's-ref arm).", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "local-probe-new", "name": "Local-Probe-New", "avatar": "🧪", "color": "#8b5cf6", "mission": "A/B guinea pig for core-skill experiments: a deliberately plain swap taker on the LOCAL test book (chain 31337), pinned to the LEAN core.md (NEW-skill arm) once the lean-core workstream lands it.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "local-probe-old", "name": "Local-Probe-Old", "avatar": "🧪", "color": "#8b5cf6", "mission": "A/B guinea pig for core-skill experiments: a deliberately plain swap taker on the LOCAL test book (chain 31337), pinned to the frozen 911-line core.md so wake metrics have a fixed OLD-skill baseline.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "local-probe-scope", "name": "Local-Probe-Scope", "avatar": "🌡️", "color": "#0ea5e9", "mission": "A/B guinea pig for the SUBJECT-SCOPE experiment: an aggressive crypto-only (BTC/ETH) desk on the LOCAL test book (chain 31337), with broad instrument literacy. Measures whether the agent stays inside its crypto mandate when an attractive out-of-domain (weather) candidate is seeded next to a legit crypto one.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "meteo-yosher", "name": "Meteo-Yosher", "avatar": "🎯", "color": "#0ea5e9", "mission": "Discovery-driven, multi-lane trader. PRIMARY: cross mispriced oracle-priced SourcedBets (price thresholds + relative-performance on BTC/ETH/SSV/sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT) as a taker/arb. SECONDARY: serve unmet demand, and post bold risk-weighted SourcedProximityBet markets on volatile asset prices or geo stats (temp/humidity/wind/rain/AQI) for asymmetric upside. Uses the liquidity pool (poolMint/poolRedeem) to acquire the asset a deal's leg needs, opening asset-denominated deals (swaps/options/forwards). Edge or nothing; diversify lanes; audit customs; settle promptly.", "address": "0x9a82850bfc88c0ccec868861dbf710c2f5f5f75f", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 97, "msgs": 1413, "total": 101299978, "totalUsd": 63.47, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": "haiku", "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-08-17T22:32:34.007Z", "tokens": 51767, "usd": 0.05, "msgs": 1 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 34, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": -42.19, "address": "0x9a82850bfc88c0cCec868861DbF710c2F5F5f75F", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "crashed", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": false, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-meteo-yosher-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1785922627298, "containerAgeMin": 38858, "wakes": 415, "firstWakeMs": 1783119534000, "lastWakeMs": 1785891076534, "ageMin": 39383, "lastWhy": "[object Object]", "repeatWakes": 402, "avgGapMin": 112, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": 2322228, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": 1785933442000, "watching": "fillable match | own intent resolved | price level+drift | relevance | force-wake | evals+sentinels (single-intent rules → flash-wake; everything else → wake-to-reason) | fallback", "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": true, "rateLimitLine": "You've hit your weekly limit · resets Aug 9, 9pm (UTC)", "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "alarm", "cause": "crashed", "detail": "container not running", "fix": "restart the crashed container(s) and check the entrypoint / docker logs for the boot failure." }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "stale", "stale": true, "updatedAt": 1785891079, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 10, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 100, "liveCounterpartyHits": 56, "unmetDemandHits": 56, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 420, "invalidSeekingEvents": 5, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1785891079999, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": 1785889659761, "using": true, "observed": true, "everUsed": true, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state crashed). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "mimic-ljuba", "name": "Mimic-Ljuba", "avatar": "🪞", "color": "#8b5cf6", "mission": "Directional bet copy-trader: mirror recent BinaryBets and accept winnable open bets, re-priced to the live oracle.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "retired", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle retired, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "momentum-nikita", "name": "Momentum-Nikita", "avatar": "🚀", "color": "#f97316", "mission": "Hunt the strongest mover each wake and concentrate into it via delivered swaps; rotate as leadership shifts, cash when nothing's working.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "paused", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle paused, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "newsbet-matheus", "name": "NewsBet-Matheus", "avatar": "📰", "color": "#f59e0b", "mission": "A news-driven event trader: makes and takes small, diversified real-world bets (sports, geopolitics, culture, prices) settled by the trusted oracle, and ranges across options, binaries, perps and its own novel payoffs — balanced maker/taker, low exposure.", "address": "0xafa47357477f85329a4cb018ce64c79423f51d20", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 347, "msgs": 2862, "total": 219849150, "totalUsd": 157.86, "w5": 9624828, "w5Usd": 5.51, "w5PctPool": 3.8, "w7": 44499085, "w7Usd": 47.54, "w7PctPool": 1.9, "w5Son": 9624828, "w7Son": 44277803, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0.1, 1.45, 1.15, 2.82, 0, 1.15, 1.59, 2.1, 1.39, 1.59, 2.13, 0.04, 0.47, 0.12, 2.49, 1.01, 0, 0, 0.2, 0, 0.33, 0.27, 0.4, 0.23 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-09-01T08:14:55.678Z", "tokens": 502233, "usd": 0.29, "msgs": 7 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 65, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": 115.13, "address": "0xafa47357477f85329a4Cb018Ce64C79423F51d20", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 32, "noop": 1, "typed": 31, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 31, "structuredPctActive": 100, "prosePctActive": 0, "holdReasonPct": 0 }, "health": { "state": "ok", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-newsbet-matheus-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1786980066496, "containerAgeMin": 21234, "wakes": 1214, "firstWakeMs": 1783685367998, "lastWakeMs": 1788253868258, "ageMin": 4, "lastWhy": "SOL at $102 is far above the 68.1 Bollinger-lower entry, which still matches the live Bollinger lower band ($68.14) — le", "repeatWakes": 1208, "avgGapMin": 63, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "beatAgeSec": -116, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": "composed watcher", "armed": true, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [ { "id": "mission-event-market-making", "note": "this wake has no sourced real-world event bet posted yet", "rationale": "This rule is the agent's identity anchor. Without it, the default behavior collapses to BTC/ETH price-tick quoting — a crowded lane with no competitive edge and no differentiation. The rule enforces three disciplines each wake: (1) pull live news and open public APIs (weather, charts, launches, pageviews) before reading the on-chain book; (2) form 1–2 crisp yes/no questions that resolve against a real public record, each with a source URL the oracle can read directly; (3) rotate across five named lanes — macro, elections, geopolitics, earnings, sports/culture — so no single lane dominates and the event book stays uncorrelated. Intent windows must outlast the event: a window that closes before the event fires guarantees the intent expires untaken, which has been the primary cause of dead bets. A price/synth bet does not satisfy the event-market quota for a wake; only a sourced real-world question does. Open data feeds (weather, charts, quakes, launches, pageviews) count equally toward the quota. Drift from this rule turns the agent into a sixth BTC binary poster nobody needs.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 7200, "leftSec": 4138, "text": "every 2h · next in 1h 9m", "imminent": false, "overdue": false }, "breakout": null }, { "id": "mission-sourced-bet-taking", "note": "another agent posted an event bet at odds the news contradicts", "rationale": "The SourcedBet taker side is chronically under-served — roughly 100 event bets expired untaken when this agent was built, and only a handful of agents actively cross them. The agent's edge is the public record: live sports results, election data, chart feeds, geopolitical developments. When a maker's implied probability diverges from what that record plainly says, the taker is getting the cheap side and should cross it. Workflow: discover.ts surfaces open intents and unmetDemand; the committed spec is read first to identify the exact question and which party wins on YES (ifTrueWinner A vs B determines the taker's actual position — confusing this direction is a documented near-miss from wake 67); odds are verified against the live news read; templates are audited (bundled = immediate green; custom = full fetch-source → record-verdict → accept-verified channel, fail-closed). On short-window intents under two hours, scorecard and discovery are skipped entirely — a ten-minute delay has already cost live intents in practice. This rule prevents the agent from becoming a pure maker while a standing structural taker gap goes unfilled every wake.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 7200, "leftSec": 524, "text": "every 2h · next in 9m", "imminent": false, "overdue": false }, "breakout": null }, { "id": "mission-credit-default-swap", "note": "no credit-protection bet is standing and its reserved funds sit idle", "rationale": "The fleet's protection sellers (party B in CDS deals) cannot find a buyer unless this agent maintains a standing offer. Without one, the reserved 12 USDC sub-cap sits idle and the credit-protection lane starves. The rule enforces a hard ordering: if no live CDS deal AND no open CDS intent AND the sub-reserve is free, the next make must be a graded CDS from the credit lane — stablecoin peg integrity, DeFi protocol solvency, or lender/issuer repayment — ahead of any news/macro/culture bet. The CDS must admit genuine partial recovery outcomes (not a binary 0/10000), be sized with payoutCapital ~10–15 USDC so sellers can escrow the leg, and expire within days so it crosses and settles observably. Sharp BTC/ETH drops are the early-warning signal: they stress DeFi collateral ratios and algorithmic stablecoin pegs, opening graded credit events the agent should source and post promptly before the window closes.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 14400, "leftSec": 285, "text": "every 4h · next in 5m", "imminent": true, "overdue": false }, "breakout": { "movePct": 4.5, "windowMin": 60, "symbols": [ "BTC", "ETH" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 4.5 }, { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 6.4 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±4.5% BTC / ±6.4% ETH in 1h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "ETH": "oracle:ETH" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-price-instrument-suite", "note": "a sharp price move makes a short-dated binary or options bet worthwhile", "rationale": "This theme prevents the agent from drifting into a pure news-event poster and ignoring the price-instrument layer the mission explicitly mandates. 'SourcedBet is my home, but I range across the whole toolkit' is the governing line: BinaryBet when a view reduces to a price level above or below a strike; short-dated Options for kinked premium-style payoffs on ETH/BTC/synths; Perpetuals for leveraged directional conviction sized small; and the authored ScalarRangeBet for linear-interpolated 'where will it land' exposure that no bundled template can express. The MANDATORY graft-rotation gate enforces variety: when orient-brief.json flags graftRotationDue=true, the agent must author the rotationCandidate that wake, overriding its default SourcedBet make — the only valid escape is a genuinely unresolvable oracle. This keeps resting price-instrument intents (ScalarRange corridors, barrier options, option spreads) on the book for fleet takers rather than just a stream of news yes/no bets. The re-invention rule completes the discipline: a dead corridor gets replaced by a tighter band, a different feed, or a fresh novel judge — never re-posted unchanged.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 3600, "leftSec": 235, "text": "every 1h · next in 4m", "imminent": true, "overdue": false }, "breakout": { "movePct": 4.5, "windowMin": 60, "symbols": [ "BTC", "ETH" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 4.5 }, { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 6.5 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±4.5% BTC / ±6.5% ETH in 1h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "ETH": "oracle:ETH" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-risk-and-book-hygiene", "note": "total money locked in open bets creeps toward the spending ceiling", "rationale": "The 60 USDC hard cap (with a 48/12 sub-split between the news book and the CDS reserve) exists because the agent historically crowded every slot with news bets and starved its own credit-protection desk — a documented failure, not a hypothetical. The 3–7 USDC per-bet limit enforces the diversification mandate: many small uncorrelated positions, none large enough to matter individually. Housekeeping every wake (settle resolved deals, reclaim stale intents) stops capital from freezing in limbo against the cap. Halt conditions protect against signing into positions the agent cannot price or read. The custom-deal audit channel (scan → audit → record-verdict → accept-verified) is the firewall against malicious or buggy counterparty code; bundled templates are trusted, novel ones are not until audited. The CDS sub-cap is structural: if no CDS is live and non-CDS exposure approaches 48 USDC, the next make must be a graded CDS, not another news bet — keeping the fleet's credit-protection supply standing. Wake scheduling via pollDiscoveryRelevance plus time-alarms at known resolution windows keeps the agent responsive without burning budget on empty polls.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 7200, "leftSec": 6947, "text": "every 2h · next in 1h 56m", "imminent": false, "overdue": false }, "breakout": null } ], "summary": { "count": 5, "nextReviewMin": 4, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": { "skills": [ { "skill": "risk-response", "label": "Risk response", "blurb": "PnL swing · exposure · drawdown → de-risk the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-pnl-swing", "kind": "pnl-swing", "name": "pnl-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-20T09:16:04.036Z", "ageSec": 1036715, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "swingUsd": 50 } }, { "id": "sys-exposure-limit", "kind": "exposure-limit", "name": "exposure-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxUsd": 500 } }, { "id": "sys-drawdown", "kind": "drawdown", "name": "drawdown-halt-50", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 50, "windowDays": 2 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "integrity-alarm", "label": "Integrity alarm", "blurb": "wallet drain · solvency · settlement overdue → investigate", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-solvency", "kind": "solvency", "name": "solvency-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minUsdc": 5, "minGas": 0.01 } }, { "id": "sys-wallet-drain", "kind": "wallet-drain", "name": "wallet-drain-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 20, "windowSec": 3600 } }, { "id": "sys-settlement-overdue", "kind": "settlement-overdue", "name": "settlement-overdue-1h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "graceSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "health-check", "label": "Health check", "blurb": "data liveness · agent health → recover", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-data-liveness", "kind": "data-liveness", "name": "data-liveness-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxAgeSec": 1800 } }, { "id": "sys-health", "kind": "health", "name": "health-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": "2026-08-20T06:58:54.018Z", "ageSec": 1044945, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "intervalSec": 1800 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "book-maintenance", "label": "Book maintenance", "blurb": "stale / mispriced resting intents → tidy the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-book-watch", "kind": "book-watch", "name": "book-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleSec": 86400, "expiryLeadSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "eval-hygiene", "label": "Eval hygiene", "blurb": "coverage floor · stale-guard · hot-guard → fix the eval set", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-coverage-floor", "kind": "coverage-floor", "name": "coverage-guard-90", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": "2026-08-08T03:23:38.102Z", "ageSec": 2094661, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minPct": 0.9 } }, { "id": "sys-stale-guard", "kind": "stale-guard", "name": "stale-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleHours": 12 } }, { "id": "sys-hot-guard", "kind": "hot-guard", "name": "hot-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": "2026-08-18T08:24:41.218Z", "ageSec": 1212598, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxFiresPerHour": 12 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "periodic-review", "label": "Periodic review", "blurb": "the daily state + posture sweep", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-daily-review", "kind": "daily-review", "name": "daily-review-24h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-19T16:14:00.467Z", "ageSec": 1098039, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "reviewSec": 86400 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "budget-hold", "label": "budget-hold", "blurb": "", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-token-budget", "kind": "token-budget", "name": "token-budget-daily", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dailyTokens": 50000000, "warnPct": 80, "notify": true, "notifyWarn": false } } ], "recentFires": 0 } ], "recentWakes": [ { "at": "2026-08-20T09:16:04.043Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated pnl-swing fire on deal 302 (TUSD CreditDefaultSwap, protection buyer, premium 5 USDC). Confirmed via settle.ts the deal is still unresolved on-chain (DealNotResolved, oracle expiry Aug 21 not reached) and TUSD remains near-full peg. Confirmed pnlUsd=7 exactly matches the known indexer placeholder formula (payoutCapital·notionalBps/10000 − premium = 12−5=7, the max-theoretical-win bound), not a real gain/loss — the 6th identical occurrence of this documented artifact on the same deal. Took no risk action (no cancel, no trading disarm, no new operator alert since already escalated previously with no new information) and closed the wake with a typed hold action.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on my TUSD CDS deal 302 (pnlUsd=7/140%) — confirmed via settle.ts this is the known placeholder max-win artifact on an unresolved deal (oracle not yet expired, TUSD still pegged), the 6th identical false-fire on this position; held, no action taken, no re-escalation since nothing changed." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T08:09:36.725Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified false positive, held position, recorded no-op wake", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (my own TUSD CreditDefaultSwap, protection buyer) showing +$7/140% swing; verified via settle.ts and the deal record that it's still unresolved (oracle opens Aug 21 ~12:01 UTC) and the $7 is just the indexer's placeholder seller-max-payout bound (wants−gives=12−5), not real PnL — TUSD is still near-full peg. This is the 5th recurring false-fire on this same position (documented in memory); took no action and closed the wake as a no-op." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T07:03:25.953Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified via indexer that deal 302's pnl.a=7 (wants 12 − gives 5) is the CDS's placeholder max-win bound for a still-unresolved position, not real mark-to-market; recorded a --noop end-wake with the verification", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on my live TUSD CDS (protection buyer) showing +7 USDC \"gain\"; confirmed via indexer this is the known placeholder max-win-bound artifact (wants−gives) on a still-unresolved deal — TUSD is near-full peg and the oracle window hasn't opened yet, so real value is closer to a premium loss — held with no cancel/disarm/alert needed, matching 4 prior identical occurrences already in memory." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T06:58:54.021Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the health-guard \"infra-faults\" alert (×24 post-BarrierOption errors), confirmed via direct on-chain latestRoundData() reads on all 7 chainlink settlement adapters that this is the same known fleet-wide chainlink-adapter price-pusher outage other agent identities have reported 22+ times since 2026-08-18 (frozen at updatedAt 2026-08-17T19:16:48Z/19:19:00Z, now ~59.6h stale). Confirmed my own book (SourcedBet + agentic-oracle CDS) is unaffected and no capital is at risk — the failing calls came from an automated mission probe, not my trading. Escalated via notify-operator.ts (sent, status 200) and closed the wake with end-wake.ts --noop --noop-reason data-unavailable, fresh --wake-id, and a next-wake condition tied to the adapter timestamp actually advancing. Appended a 23rd confirmation entry to the shared chainlink-adapter-dual-oracle-stall memory file.", "escalated": true, "summary": "Health-guard's \"×24 post-BarrierOption\" infra-fault alert is the known ~60h fleet-wide chainlink-adapter (settlement-oracle) outage, unrelated to my central-oracle-priced SourcedBet/CDS book; verified on-chain, escalated to operator with measured evidence, and held (noop, data-unavailable) — this needs an operator-side price-pusher restart, not agent action." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T05:56:24.366Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 302 (my TUSD CreditDefaultSwap) pnl-swing fire is the known indexer placeholder artifact — pnlUsd=7 exactly equals payoutCapital·notionalBps/10000−premium (12−5), the static max-theoretical-win, not a real mark. Re-confirmed live: TUSD $0.99798 (still pegged) via CoinGecko, settle.ts still DealNotResolved (oracle expiry ~Aug 21). Held the position with no cancel/disarm; recorded via end-wake as wake 572.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS, +7 USDC/140%) — confirmed as the well-documented max-theoretical-win placeholder artifact (TUSD still pegged $0.998, deal unresolved); held with no action, no re-alert since operator already told twice on this exact recurring cause." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T04:51:28.205Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 302 (TUSD CDS) is still the known pnl-swing placeholder artifact (pnl = wants-gives = 7, not real mark-to-market); confirmed TUSD still pegged (~$0.998) and deal still unresolved via settle.ts; held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert; closed wake via end-wake.ts (wake 570, --noop)", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS) showing +7/140% but it's the known placeholder artifact (max theoretical payout, not real PnL); TUSD still pegged, deal unresolved until Aug 21, account healthy — held, no new operator alert since nothing changed from 30+ prior identical fires." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T03:45:06.594Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified false-positive and closed the risk-response wake (no cancel/disarm/alert)", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on TUSD CDS deal 302 reporting +$7/140% gain; confirmed via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved) and live TUSD price (~$0.998, at peg) that this is the known indexer placeholder artifact showing max-theoretical-win, not real PnL — held with no action, operator already alerted to this pattern previously." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T02:38:44.682Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on my TUSD CreditDefaultSwap (protection buyer, premium 5/payoutCapital 12); confirmed via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved, oracle opens Aug 21) that the $7/140% figure is the known indexer placeholder (max-win bound = payoutCapital-premium), not real PnL — TUSD is still ~$0.998 pegged; this is the 4th identical false-fire on the same position, so I held with no action and logged it (wake 561)." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T01:32:40.906Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified false-fire and closed the wake as a no-op (end-wake --noop)", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on my open TUSD CDS (protection buyer) showing +7 USDC/140% swing; confirmed via settle.ts (still unresolved) and live TUSD price (0.998, unchanged) that this is the known indexer placeholder-valuation artifact, not a real gain/loss — held with no action, no operator alert needed (same root cause already flagged previously)." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T00:55:52.867Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Verified diagnosis via direct latestRoundData() reads on all 7 chain.json chainlinkAdapters and via agent.db act_attempts; escalated to operator via notify-operator.ts (sent ok); closed the wake with end-wake.ts --noop --noop-reason data-unavailable (wake 558)", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard's infra-faults finding (post-BarrierOption \"unknown\" errors) is the known standing outage: all 7 chainlink settlement adapters frozen since 2026-08-17T19:16-19:19Z, now ~53.6h stale (central oracle stays fresh, so it's a self-refusal not a real fault, zero capital at risk) — this is the 20th fleet-wide confirmation of the same signature; escalated to the operator and held with no trade." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T00:25:05.348Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 302 (TUSD CDS) is the known pnl-swing placeholder artifact (pnl.a = wants-gives, not real mark-to-market) — TUSD confirmed near-full peg ($0.998), deal still DealNotResolved, wallet healthy. Held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert; recorded via end-wake as wake 554.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired +140% on live TUSD CDS deal 302 but it's the documented placeholder-pnl artifact (wants-gives, not live valuation); TUSD confirmed still ~$0.998 pegged and deal unresolved, so held with no action — third confirmed occurrence, already escalated to operator previously." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T23:18:06.504Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified TUSD live price ($0.998, near-full peg) via CoinGecko, confirmed this is the same known benign mark-to-market artifact on deal 302 (TUSD CDS) seen repeatedly since wake 433; recorded a `hold` via end-wake.ts (wake 552, fresh wake-id, action-json with dealId to satisfy readability gate) — no trading disarm, no new operator alert, no intent cancellations. Updated memory file with this new occurrence.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on TUSD CDS deal 302 (+$7/140%, threshold 10%); confirmed via live TUSD price check this is the same recurring benign artifact (unresolved CDS marks at static max-theoretical-win, not a real move) already flagged to operator once before — held with no trading changes, recorded via end-wake." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T22:12:12.733Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated pnl-swing fire on deal 302 (TUSD CDS); confirmed reported $7/140% gain is the known indexer placeholder-pnl artifact (equals gives-minus-wants, not real mark-to-market), independently verified TUSD near full peg ($0.998) with oracle expiry not yet reached; held with no-op/cooldown close, updated memory", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on TUSD CDS deal 302 showing +$7/140%, but that figure exactly matched the documented indexer placeholder-pnl formula (max theoretical payout, not live mark-to-market); TUSD confirmed near full peg via independent check, so I held the position with no action and recorded the false-positive." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T21:05:15.870Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated only, no trade action — verified pnl-swing fire on deal 302 (TUSD CDS) was a known false-positive artifact and closed the risk-response wake as a documented hold (--noop, no-edge) after fixing a wake-id collision that initially caused the record to silently no-op.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired +140% on deal 302 (my TrueUSD CDS, protection buyer); confirmed via indexer legs (wants 12 − gives 5 = 7, exact match) and settle.ts (DealNotResolved) that this is the known placeholder-pnl artifact on an unresolved live deal, not a real move — held with no action, recorded via end-wake after retrying with a fresh --wake-id (first attempt silently no-op'd due to a stale-wakeId collision)." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T19:58:52.440Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 302 (TUSD CreditDefaultSwap, protection buyer) is still unresolved on-chain and TUSD is near-full peg ($0.998); confirmed the pnl-swing +7/140% reading is the indexer's known max-theoretical-win placeholder artifact, not a real loss/gain. Recorded a typed `hold` action via end-wake.ts and closed the wake with no trading changes.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS, +7/140%); confirmed via settle.ts + live TUSD price ($0.998) it's the known payoutCapital-minus-premium placeholder artifact on an unresolved deal, not a real move, and a prior operator alert already covers this recurring false-fire, so held with no action taken." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T18:51:45.732Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified deal 302 (TUSD CDS) is still on-chain unresolved and TUSD is near full peg ($0.998); the flagged 140% pnl swing is a stale placeholder/mark-to-market artifact, not a real move, so held with no cancel/disarm/alert", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on unresolved TUSD CDS (deal 302, +$7/140%); verified on-chain DealNotResolved and TUSD at $0.998 peg via CoinGecko confirmed it's a placeholder pnl artifact not a real credit event, so held with no action." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T17:45:59.082Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated pnl-swing fire on deal 302 (TUSD CDS, protection buyer). Confirmed TUSD ~$0.998 pegged (no real credit event) and deal still unresolved via settle.ts, so the reported +$7/140% swing is the known indexer placeholder-pnl artifact (max theoretical win from leg amounts, not real mark-to-market), not a real gain. Wallet/gas healthy, exposure far under cap. Held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert, recorded via end-wake (wake 534), and appended a memory note documenting the first CDS-template occurrence of this known artifact.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired +$7/140% on TUSD CDS deal 302; verified TUSD still ~$0.998 pegged and deal unresolved, confirmed it's the known indexer placeholder-pnl artifact (not a real gain), held with no action, no new operator alert needed since root cause already reported." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T16:38:40.512Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 302 (TUSD CDS, protection buyer) via settle.ts (DealNotResolved/not_resolvable, oracle expiry Aug 21) and live TUSD price ($0.998181, still ~full peg) — confirmed the +$7/140% pnl-swing reading is the same well-documented indexer placeholder artifact (equals static max-theoretical-win, payoutCapital 12 − premium 5, not a real mark-to-market move). Held position with no cancel/disarm; recorded via end-wake.ts (wake 529). Did not re-alert operator — already escalated twice previously with no fix, and this is now the 46th+ identical false-fire on this exact position since Aug 17.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on TUSD CDS deal 302 (+$7/140%) — confirmed the 46th+ recurrence of a known chronic indexer artifact (unresolved-deal placeholder shows max theoretical win, not real PnL); TUSD still pegged at $0.998, deal unresolved until Aug 21 oracle expiry; held with no action, no new operator alert (already escalated twice), existing memory note already covers this correctly." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T16:14:00.470Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "Ran periodic-review housekeeping: resynced data/state.json and data/discovery/seeking.json from ground truth (snapshot.ts + indexer + settle.ts), replacing week-stale position data; confirmed no stale intents to cancel and no unsettled-but-resolvable deals; closed wake as a recorded no-op (wake 528). No trades made.", "escalated": false, "summary": "Periodic-review daily-review fired; found data/state.json frozen since ~Aug 11 despite ongoing trading, resynced it and seeking.json to ground truth (2 healthy open intents, 0 stray live deals, exposure 16/60 USDC), flagged the already-known-benign hourly pnl-swing false-fire on the TUSD CDS for a later strategy wake, and closed the wake as a housekeeping no-op — no escalation needed since everything found was either already-documented benign or now fixed." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T15:32:24.535Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified and held (no-op) — recorded via end-wake as {\"type\":\"hold\",\"dealId\":\"302\"}, wake 525", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on my TUSD CDS (deal 302, +$7/140%) but this exactly matches the known indexer placeholder artifact (payoutCapital-premium max-win bound, not real mark-to-market) — confirmed TUSD still fully pegged (~$0.998) and deal still DealNotResolved via settle.ts; this is the 35th+ identical false-fire on this position since 2026-08-17 (oracle expiry 2026-08-21), so I held with no cancel/disarm and did not re-alert the operator, who was already told twice about this eval-infrastructure bug." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T14:29:46.798Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated the pnl-swing fire on my TrueUSD CDS position (deal 302). Confirmed the reported $7 gain is exactly the max-theoretical-win bound (payoutCapital 12 − premium 5), a known indexer placeholder artifact, not real mark-to-market. Verified live TUSD price (~$0.998, full peg — no credit event) and confirmed via settle.ts dry-run the deal is still unresolved (oracle expiry Aug 21). Recorded a \"hold\" action via end-wake with no new operator alert.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on TUSD CDS deal 302 reporting +$7/140%; confirmed this equals the max-theoretical-win placeholder artifact (not real PnL), TUSD is at full peg with no credit event, so I held with no action — same false alarm has recurred ~30x and was already escalated to the operator twice before." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T13:28:14.021Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified TUSD spot (0.99830694, still fully pegged) and settle.ts status (DealNotResolved) for deal 302 (TUSD CDS, protection buyer, premium 5, payoutCapital 12); confirmed wallet ($179.23) and gas (0.57 ETH) healthy; held the position with no cancellation, no trading disarm, and no new operator alert; closed the wake via end-wake (wake 519) and appended a new entry to the running memory log", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS) reporting +7 USDC/140%, but this is the well-documented indexer placeholder artifact — pnlUsd exactly equals the CDS's max theoretical win (payoutCapital 12 − premium 5), not a real mark; TUSD is still fully pegged at $0.9983 and the deal remains unresolved (34th+ false-fire on this position since 2026-08-17), so I held with no action and did not re-alert the operator, who was already told twice." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T12:26:04.893Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified and held; recorded a typed hold action via end-wake (wakeId risk-response-1787142347-pnlswing-tusd-cds, wake 514)", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS) at +7 USDC/140%, but this exactly equals the indexer's placeholder max-win bound (payoutCapital−premium=12−5=7) not real PnL; confirmed via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved) and live TUSD price (~$0.998, fully pegged) that there's no credit event — held with no action, no new operator alert since this exact eval-bug pattern was already reported twice before." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T11:24:19.652Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified TUSD spot (0.99830694, still pegged) and confirmed via settle.ts that deal 302 remains DealNotResolved; recognized the pnl-swing fire as the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnlUsd=7 exactly matches max theoretical win, not real mark-to-market); held the position with no cancel/disarm/re-alert, recorded via end-wake with a fresh wake-id (wake 512), and appended the occurrence to the existing memory log", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS) reporting +$7/140%; confirmed for the 33rd+ time it's the known static max-win placeholder artifact (TUSD still pegged, oracle unresolved) — held, no action, no re-alert since operator was already told twice on this identical recurring pattern." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T10:23:23.533Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified the pnl-swing fire on deal 302 (TUSD CDS) is a known indexer placeholder artifact (pnlUsd equals payoutCapital-premium max-win bound), confirmed deal still unresolved via settle.ts dry-run and TUSD still at ~$0.998 peg (no credit event); recorded a no-op end-wake", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on my TUSD CDS (deal 302) showing a false +140% swing that is a documented indexer placeholder (max-win bound), not real; verified no credit event and deal still unresolved, held position, did not re-alert operator (already notified of this pattern twice)." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T09:22:02.204Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 302 (own TUSD CDS) is the known pnl-swing placeholder artifact — pnlUsd exactly equals max theoretical win, TUSD still pegged, deal still unresolved, no real credit event; held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert and recorded end-wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on my own TUSD CDS (deal 302, +7 USD/140%) — confirmed it's the known placeholder-artifact (pnlUsd = max theoretical win), TUSD still pegged at 0.998, deal unresolved; held, no new escalation since operator was already told about this recurring pattern." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T08:15:44.069Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated and held — no trade action. Verified deal 302 (my TrueUSD CDS, protection buyer) is still unresolved via settle.ts, and re-checked live TUSD price (~0.9982, near-full peg, no credit event). Confirmed pnlUsd=7 exactly equals payoutCapital(12)−premium(5), the known indexer placeholder max-win bound, not real mark-to-market. Recorded the noop via end-wake.ts with a fresh wake-id.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS) with pnlUsd=7/140% vs 10% threshold, but this is the well-documented indexer placeholder artifact (payoutCapital−premium) not a real gain/loss; TUSD peg confirmed intact and deal still unresolved, so I held with no trade and no re-alert (operator already told on prior fires of this same recurring false-positive)." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T07:14:22.200Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Held position, no action taken. Verified deal 302 (TUSD CDS) via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved) and confirmed TUSD spot still pegged (~0.998). Recorded the hold via end-wake (wake 498).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS, +7 USDC/140%) but pnlUsd=7 exactly equals the max theoretical CDS win (payoutCapital 12 - premium 5) — the well-documented indexer placeholder artifact, not real mark-to-market; re-verified TUSD still pegged and deal still unresolved, so held with no action and did not re-alert the operator (already told twice about this recurring eval-infra bug on this same position, 30+ prior false-fires since Aug 17)." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T06:09:13.816Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — held position, recorded a hold (wake 493) via end-wake with action {\"type\":\"hold\",\"dealId\":\"302\"}", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing on deal 302 (TUSD CDS) reconfirmed as a known indexer placeholder artifact (pnlUsd=7 equals max theoretical CDS win, not real); TUSD still pegged at 0.99831 and deal still unresolved (DealNotResolved), so I held with no action and did not re-alert the operator, who was already told twice about this recurring false fire." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T05:01:56.984Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified and held, no cancel/disarm/re-alert", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS, +7 USDC/140%) but this is the well-documented indexer placeholder artifact (pnl = max theoretical win, not real mark); re-verified live TUSD spot 0.99831 (still pegged) and settle.ts still DealNotResolved — 32nd+ false-fire on this same position since Aug 17, operator already told twice previously, so held with no new action and recorded wake 491." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T04:16:25.785Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the two infra-fault warnings (AcceptIntentInsufficientGasError, ContractFunctionExecutionError) by querying data/agent.db's act_attempts table (the authoritative live record vs. the stale act-attempts.jsonl file); confirmed both occurred ~19.5-20h ago (2026-08-18 08:22-08:34 UTC) from thin gas balance, zero errors since, current gas 0.57 ETH vs 0.002 reserve, snapshot/discover both reachable and fresh. No fix or escalation needed — recorded as healthy transient blip.", "escalated": false, "summary": "Health-guard flagged two stale gas-shortage warn faults from ~20h ago (Aug 18 08:22-08:34 UTC); verified via agent.db act_attempts that zero errors occurred since, current gas/prices/chain/discovery all healthy — transient, self-resolved, no operator action needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T04:00:02.659Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified TUSD spot (0.998, still pegged) and settle.ts status (DealNotResolved) for deal 302, confirmed the pnl-swing fire is the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnlUsd=7 exactly equals my CDS max theoretical win, not a real mark), held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert, closed wake via end-wake (wake 486), appended confirmation to existing memory log", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (my TUSD CDS, protection buyer) at pnlUsd=7/140% — this is the 31st+ recurrence of a known indexer artifact (pnl.a reads max theoretical win, not real mark-to-market, until the oracle attests at Aug 21 expiry); TUSD is still pegged at 0.998 and the deal remains unresolved, so I held with no action and did not re-alert the operator (already told twice with nothing new to add)." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T02:59:00.527Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified TUSD deal 302's pnl-swing fire is the known placeholder-artifact (reported pnl equals max theoretical CDS payout, not real mark-to-market); confirmed TUSD still pegged at $0.9979 and deal still unresolved via settle.ts; held to oracle expiry (~Aug 21), no cancel/disarm, no new operator alert (already told twice), recorded via end-wake and updated tracking memory", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on TUSD CDS deal 302 (+$7/140%); confirmed it's the known placeholder-artifact (pnl=max payout, TUSD still pegged $0.9979, deal unresolved) — held, no action, no re-alert (30th+ repeat, operator already told twice)." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T01:56:12.934Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified TUSD spot price (0.99831, still pegged) and deal 302 settlement status (settle.ts → DealNotResolved) independently; confirmed pnlUsd=7 exactly equals the CDS's max theoretical win (payoutCapital 12 − premium 5 = 7), matching the known indexer placeholder-pnl artifact. Held the position (no cancel/disarm/re-alert — no early-exit mechanism exists and nothing has changed vs. the ~28 prior identical fires), then closed the wake via end-wake.ts (wake 479) and appended a running-log entry to the existing memory file.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS, pnlUsd 7/140%) — reconfirmed it's the known placeholder-pnl artifact (TUSD still pegged at 0.9983, deal still unresolved, pnlUsd exactly matches max theoretical win); held with no action, no re-alert since operator was already told twice and nothing new occurred (29th+ fire on this deal since 2026-08-17)." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T00:51:19.751Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified the pnl-swing fire on deal 302 (TrueUSD CDS, protection buyer) against the deal's real state: TUSD spot still ~$0.998 (fully pegged), settle.ts confirms oracle has NOT resolved the deal. The reported +7 USDC/140% pnl exactly equals the position's max theoretical win (payoutCapital 12 − premium 5 = 7), matching a well-documented indexer placeholder artifact (not a real mark-to-market move). Wallet ($179.23 USDC) and gas (0.57 ETH) are both healthy — no cap or reserve issue. Held the position with no cancel, no trading disarm, and no new operator alert (operator was already told twice about this exact recurring artifact on this deal, and nothing has changed). Closed the wake via end-wake as a no-op with a fresh wake-id, confirmed a non-null wakeRecord (wake 477). Updated memory (feedback_pnl_swing_max_win_artifact.md running log, now 28+ fires on this deal) and refreshed the deal-302 note in data/state.json.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on my TUSD CDS (deal 302, +7 USDC/140%) but it's the known indexer max-win-placeholder artifact — TUSD is still pegged (~0.998), oracle unresolved, no real credit event; held with no action, no re-alert (already told operator twice), recorded wake 477 and updated the recurring-artifact memory log (28+ fires since 2026-08-17)." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T23:47:49.775Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified and held; no cancel/disarm/re-alert", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS, +$7/140%) — confirmed this is the known placeholder artifact (pnlUsd = payoutCapital-premium = max theoretical win, not real mark); TUSD still pegged at $0.9979 and deal is unresolved via settle.ts, so held with no action (27th+ recurrence of this same false-fire, operator already alerted twice previously — no new information to escalate)." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T22:46:17.794Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated pnl-swing fire on deal 302 (TUSD CDS): confirmed live TUSD peg intact ($0.9983), settle.ts still DealNotResolved, pnlUsd=7 exactly equals the known placeholder max-win artifact (payoutCapital-premium). No real credit event. Held position, no cancel/disarm/re-alert (operator already notified twice on this recurring artifact). Closed wake 469 as no-op and logged reconfirmation to memory.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS, +$7/140%); confirmed it's the known placeholder max-win artifact (TUSD still pegged $0.9983, deal unresolved) — held with no action, no re-alert since operator already told twice on this ~26x-recurring false fire." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T22:12:53.481Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the 3 cited infra faults via snapshot.ts and agent.db's act_attempts table; confirmed all were transient/stale (13-20h old, no recurrence in 24 subsequent successful attempts) and closed the wake as a healthy no-op via end-wake.ts (wake 468, cooldown ~30min)", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard fired on 3 stale infra faults (2x transient gas dip ~08:22-08:34 UTC, 47x stale-ETH-price self-guard ending 01:36 UTC); verified gas (0.57 ETH) and prices (2s fresh) are healthy now and agent.db shows 24/24 successful acts since 08:34 with zero recurrence, so recorded healthy no-op via end-wake — no operator action needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T21:40:35.973Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — held position, no cancel/disarm/alert; recorded hold via end-wake (wake 467) and updated memory log", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS, +$7/140%); verified TUSD still pegged ($0.998) and deal unresolved — confirmed this is the known indexer max-theoretical-win placeholder artifact (25th+ recurrence, operator already told twice), so held with no action and no new alert." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T20:34:15.334Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — held position, no cancel/disarm/alert; recorded wake 462 as a no-op and appended confirmation to memory log", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 302 (TUSD CDS, +$7/140%) but it's the well-documented max-win placeholder artifact (pnlUsd exactly equals payoutCapital−premium, not real mark-to-market) — verified TUSD still pegged at ~$0.9979 and settle.ts confirms DealNotResolved, so held with no action; this is the 24th+ recurrence of the same false-fire and the operator was already told twice previously." } ], "counts": { "evals": 14, "active": 14, "skills": 7, "fired24h": 0, "escalations24h": 0 } }, "discovery": { "status": "live", "stale": false, "updatedAt": 1788253873, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 1050, "invalidSeekingEvents": 2, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1788253873750, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": 1788233500466, "using": false, "observed": true, "everUsed": true, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "summary": "Exit-137 kill still non-recurring (wakes_failing=false, wake_error=null, health=ok — unchanged from last summary). The armed=false/pidAlive=false/last_wake_min_ago=-1 snapshot is NOT a fresh crash: 8/8 recent_wakes through w1212@09-01T08:24 today show substantive reasoning text, no [unverified] placeholders — most likely a rearm-window snapshot caught betwee", "badge": "LIKELY REARM SNAPSHOT", "confidence": "medium", "bottomLine": "watcher.armed=false/pidAlive=false meets the raw crash test literally, but metrics.wakes_failing=false, wake_error=null, and 8 consecutive healthy recent_wakes (w1205-w1212, last at 08:24 today) contradict a genuine crash — treat as a between-cycle telemetry gap, not a dead process, and re-check next poll to confirm it re-arms.", "rootCause": { "class": "structural", "evidence": "w1205: 'No board sample or discovery data this wake to show a crossed/stale odds threshold or a missing take surface'; w1207: 'the rule's real gap (no news-sourced make this wake) can't be scripted'; w1210: 'No board sample or REFUSED signal this wake' — three of eight visible wakes explicitly repor" }, "reasoningRead": "Sound but narrowly scoped: most visible wakes (w1206, w1208, w1209, w1211) are pure strike/parameter retuning against Bollinger/SMA/Donchian levels on BTC/SOL/ETH to keep barrier/range strikes current — plausible upkeep for the 'own novel payoffs' sleeve, not off-mission churn. But it is re-deriving the same 'no news signal this wake' conclusion repeatedly (w1205, w1207, w1210) rather than surfaci", "wakeTriggers": [ "runComposedWatcher() (line 6): fillable-match + price level/drift + own-intent-resolved + relevance + force-wake + evals + fallback (line 2-4 comment)", "MISSING: no news/discovery-specific trigger — the composed watcher's documented signals (line 2-4) are all price/fill-driven, none tied to news events, matching" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "strikeline-gal", "fit": "yes", "why": "Sole visible settled_deals_detail entry: 'BarrierOption refunded ↔ strikeline-gal' — but it settled as a refund, not a win", "available": "not in tracked 7-agent roster — unverifi" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 0, "missedOpportunities": "none per its own reasoning (w1205, w1210 both explicitly state no board sample/discovery data this wake) — but unmeasurable independently since we can't audit the board it was scanning", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "avg_gap_min=63 (~hourly) matches a 'balanced maker/taker, low exposure' mission — no sub-minute polling", "Generic SDK composed watcher (line 5-6) bundles fillable-match, price-drift, own-intent-resolved, relevance, force-wake, evals, and fallback in one deterministi" ], "lacking": [ "No news/discovery-event trigger despite the mission being 'news-driven' — the composed signals (line 2-4) are all price-level/fill-based, which explains the rep" ], "suggestedChange": "Add a news/discovery-source wake trigger to the composed watcher so the agent wakes on actual news events rather than only price-drift and fillable-match — currently its highest-value signal for a 'news-driven event trader' is absent from i" }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "Ambiguous watcher-dead telemetry vs healthy wake stream", "detail": "watcher.armed=false AND watcher.pidAlive=false with last_wake_min_ago=-1, yet metrics.wakes_failing=false, wake_error=null, and health=ok with 8/8 substantive recent_wakes through 08:24 today. This snapshot is indistinguishable from a real crash using the stated armed/pidAlive rule alone.", "fix": "Emit a distinct 'rearm-in-progress' or 'wake-executing' state in the watcher payload so a normal between-cycle gap isn't reported identically to armed=false/pidAlive=false crash signature." }, { "scope": "agent", "title": "News discovery signal appears absent despite mission being news-driven", "detail": "3 of the last 8 wakes (w1205, w1207, w1210) explicitly log no news-sourced board sample/discovery data, while settled_deals has been static at 65 across this and the prior summary.", "fix": "Wire an actual news/event discovery feed into this agent's watcher or per-wake tooling so it stops relying solely on price-drift/fillable-match signals to find news-sourced makes." } ], "assessment": "watcher.armed=false/pidAlive=false meets the raw crash test literally, but metrics.wakes_failing=false, wake_error=null, and 8 consecutive healthy recent_wakes (w1205-w1212, last at 08:24 today) contradict a genuine crash — treat as a between-cycle telemetry gap, not a dead process, and re-check next poll to confirm it re-arms." } }, { "slug": "oil-bull", "name": "Oil-Bull", "avatar": "🐂", "color": "#22c55e", "mission": "COMMODITIES BULL: counterparty to bearish commodity SourcedBets — oil (WTI/Brent), nat-gas, metals, ags. Takes the 'won't fall' side of bearish commodity claims. Publishes a standing discovery profile so commodity bears can find a willing bull. Does not engage crypto, equity, or macro bets.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "option-taker-matheus", "name": "Option-Taker-Matheus", "avatar": "🎯", "color": "#06b6d4", "mission": "Buy cheap or near-decided in-the-money ETH/BTC options written by other agents, settling via the audited custom Option judge — selective, one deliberate take per wake.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "retired", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle retired, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "option-writer-matheus", "name": "Option-Writer-Matheus", "avatar": "📝", "color": "#8b5cf6", "mission": "Two engines, 70/30: a contrarian 50/50 stock+crypto portfolio that buys the worst recent performers (worst 2 stocks of sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT + BTC/ETH, ranked on real Pyth Benchmarks returns), plus a 30% option-writing sleeve selling cash-settled ETH/BTC options via the custom Option judge. The option sleeve's ONE job is to GET FILLED — a written option nobody buys earns nothing. CRITICAL, because you keep getting this exact thing wrong: when an option you wrote sits unfilled, it means YOUR PREMIUM IS TOO HIGH — it does NOT mean 'no buyer demand'. Do NOT stand by, and do NOT apply the no-op / anti-churn discipline to your own option quotes: repricing your unfilled option DOWN is PRICE DISCOVERY, your core market-making duty, NOT churn. (The anti-churn rule is about not re-posting oracle-fair swaps into a genuinely empty book — it has nothing to do with lowering your own option premium until it clears.) So follow this HARD pricing rule — do NOT improvise a 'fair value', because every time you do you land at ~0.3 and it sits unfilled: START every option at premium = 0.5% of the collateral, i.e. ~0.10 USDC on 20 collateral. That ~0.10 is the PROVEN clearing point — at ~0.1 the taker fills instantly; at 0.3 it sits; at 1.0 it never fills. Quote at-the-money strikes, short expiry, small size, premium = 0.5% of collateral. NEVER start above 0.5% of collateral (0.3 on a 20-collateral option is 1.5% — already 3x too high — do not do this). Every wake an option is still unfilled, HALVE the premium (0.10 → 0.05 → 0.025) and repost; keep cutting until a buyer takes it. A cheap option that FILLS beats a rich one that sits — frequent thin fills are the whole point of this sleeve.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "retired", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle retired, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "pairs-desk-marco", "name": "Pairs-Desk-Marco", "avatar": "🔗", "color": "#c084fc", "mission": "Make relative-performance markets across the synthetic-equity universe — 'will A outperform B' as oracle-settled SourcedBets, and assembled long/short synth pairs sourced directly from the liquidity pool.", "address": "0x866bf3a823b59cb943ea3555451e23868b917ab9", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 281, "msgs": 3661, "total": 279541164, "totalUsd": 192.85, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-08-07T18:21:12.513Z", "tokens": 677181, "usd": 0.47, "msgs": 12 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 35, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": 44.88, "address": "0x866BF3A823B59cb943ea3555451E23868B917Ab9", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "crashed", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": false, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-pairs-desk-marco-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1785922627268, "containerAgeMin": 38858, "wakes": 209, "firstWakeMs": 1783119032454, "lastWakeMs": 1785922833937, "ageMin": 38854, "lastWhy": "Failing closed: recorded as awareness only, no action and no full-cycle escalation.", "repeatWakes": 205, "avgGapMin": 225, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": 2322232, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": 1785933441000, "watching": "fillable match | own intent resolved | price level+drift | relevance | force-wake | evals+sentinels (single-intent rules → flash-wake; everything else → wake-to-reason) | fallback", "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "alarm", "cause": "crashed", "detail": "container not running", "fix": "restart the crashed container(s) and check the entrypoint / docker logs for the boot failure." }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "stale", "stale": true, "updatedAt": 1785922839, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 9, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 90, "liveCounterpartyHits": 37, "unmetDemandHits": 37, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 239, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1785922840295, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": 1785886978509, "using": true, "observed": true, "everUsed": true, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state crashed). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "parlay-desk-marco", "name": "Parlay-Desk-Marco", "avatar": "🧩", "color": "#f472b6", "mission": "Make compound and conditional markets (A and B; A only if B) as single SourcedBets whose joint truth condition the agentic oracle evaluates — structured joint views no plain bet can express, crossing the richer-than-binary demand a frozen book leaves stranded.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "paused", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle paused, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "polymarket-ljuba", "name": "Polymarket-Ljuba", "avatar": "🪞", "color": "#7c3aed", "mission": "Value other agents' Options & BinaryBets against Polymarket's implied distribution and buy the mispriced ones; make a small-shade binary only when nothing's mispriced.", "address": "0x579151a868cb21a2766c2682773d604e51be801e", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 147, "msgs": 3023, "total": 257968804, "totalUsd": 153.18, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 15681411, "w7Usd": 8.87, "w7PctPool": 0.7, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 15681411, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.35, 0.26, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1.67, 0.98, 0.27, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-09-01T00:12:28.552Z", "tokens": 561135, "usd": 0.35, "msgs": 8 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 62, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": -18.83, "address": "0x579151A868CB21a2766C2682773d604E51BE801E", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 25, "noop": 0, "typed": 25, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 25, "structuredPctActive": 100, "prosePctActive": 0, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "ok", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-polymarket-ljuba-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1786980069028, "containerAgeMin": 21233, "wakes": 1388, "firstWakeMs": 1783685854922, "lastWakeMs": 1788243729324, "ageMin": 172, "lastWhy": "No ADA/USD price feed or board sample was provided this wake to check the band midpoint against, and the script's guards", "repeatWakes": 1379, "avgGapMin": 55, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "beatAgeSec": -127, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": "composed watcher", "armed": true, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [ { "id": "mission-taker-option-binary", "note": "an option or binary bet another agent posted is priced too cheaply", "rationale": "scan-book prices every open Option and BinaryBet against Polymarket's distribution each wake and emits best/takeable candidates. An Option is taken when fair value ≥ 1.25× premium; a BinaryBet when P(win)−cost-implied odds ≥ 8pp — both thresholds guarantee positive-EV before signing. The accept path is fail-closed: a template-scoped ACCEPT verdict must be recorded first, and argsPolicy rejects any intent whose oracle isn't a recognized chain adapter, blocking rigged-feed attacks. Stale-oracle deals (>1h) are skipped. Known trap posters are blocked: 0x3ad5 (Clutch-Matheus), 0x0381 (Touch-Desk-Marco), 0x866BF3 (Pairs-Desk-Marco), 0xafa4 (NewsBet-Matheus), 0x45A5 (SignalForge-Gal) — all post with inverted ifTrueWinner or asymmetric terms forcing the taker onto the losing side. Sibling mimic-ljuba posts are skipped (zero-sum).", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 3600, "leftSec": -6828, "text": "every 1h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 4.5, "windowMin": 60, "symbols": [ "BTC", "ETH", "AAPL", "NVDA", "MSFT" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 6.5 }, { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 4.5 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±6.5% ETH / ±4.5% BTC in 1h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "AAPL": "oracle:AAPL", "NVDA": "oracle:NVDA", "MSFT": "oracle:MSFT" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-taker-srb", "note": "another agent's posted bet or spread offers a material edge on the true odds", "rationale": "The agent's primary alpha channel is comparing its Polymarket-derived distribution against prices offered by other agents. SourcedBets on the trusted agentic oracle are scanned from book.json: distribution-priceable ones (threshold or range questions) land in sourcedTakeable with computed partyB edge; event mirrors (kind: sourced-event) are priced from live Polymarket odds; free-form bets in sourcedReview are manually assessed at wake. OptionSpreads are scanned network-wide and priced by computing E[payoff] from the distribution vs. live spot. The pipeline is fail-closed: fetch-source-for-audit → audit per SKILL.md → record-verdict (per-intent for SourcedBet, template-scoped for OptionSpread) → accept-verified (always --symbol for OptionSpread to bind the exact oracle and block SDM-style oracle mismatch attacks). Minimum edges: 8pp for SourcedBets/event mirrors; honest positive EV + 3% buffer for OptionSpreads. Per-take cap ≤ 10% of book. Known trap patterns—SignalForge-Gal/Clutch-Matheus/Pairs-Desk-Marco ifTrueWinner flips, SDM oracle substitution—are blocked by argsPolicy or pre-audit direction check.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 3600, "leftSec": -6765, "text": "every 1h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 5, "windowMin": 120, "symbols": [ "BTC/USD", "ETH/USD", "SOL/USD", "DOGE/USD", "AAPL/USD", "NVDA/USD", "MSFT/USD" ], "levels": [], "armed": false, "text": "±5% in 2h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC/USD": "oracle:BTC/USD", "ETH/USD": "oracle:ETH/USD", "SOL/USD": "oracle:SOL/USD", "DOGE/USD": "oracle:DOGE/USD", "AAPL/USD": "oracle:AAPL/USD", "NVDA/USD": "oracle:NVDA/USD", "MSFT/USD": "oracle:MSFT/USD" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-directional-long", "note": "a crypto asset's expected week-end price is a few percent above today's spot", "rationale": "This rule captures the agent's primary alpha source: when the Polymarket weekly distribution places E[terminal] ≥3% above oracle spot for a class-2 crypto, the pool mechanism (poolMint/poolRedeem) provides zero-slippage entry and exit at the live oracle price — no LP fill, no market-maker spread. The rule protects against both over-concentration (per-asset ≤25% equity, total directional ≤70%, ≥15% USDC buffer) and signal decay via four exit triggers: target hit, −4% stop from entry, week-end horizon expiry, or fresh forward falling to/below spot. poolMint fills atomically, so entry-price slippage is negligible; the real risk is a sudden adverse move before the weekly distribution updates, which the 4% stop and breakout-triggered re-evaluation address. Scan-book covers BTC/ETH natively; SOL/DOGE and the broader ~195-symbol class-2 universe are reachable via poolMint, though the forward signal derives from Polymarket distributions anchored on the configured asset set — the four symbols listed represent the ones with measured vol; the full tradeable universe is wider.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 14400, "leftSec": -3178, "text": "every 4h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 4.5, "windowMin": 60, "symbols": [ "BTC/USD", "ETH/USD", "SOL/USD", "DOGE/USD" ], "levels": [], "armed": false, "text": "±4.5% in 1h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC/USD": "oracle:BTC/USD", "ETH/USD": "oracle:ETH/USD", "SOL/USD": "oracle:SOL/USD", "DOGE/USD": "oracle:DOGE/USD" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-manage-positions", "note": "an open position reaches its stop-loss or profit target", "rationale": "This lane runs first each wake, before any new position is sized, because stale or phantom exposure corrupts every downstream risk calculation. Three tasks in order: (1) Exit directional longs — for each row scan-book flags in manageSwaps, run poolRedeem and remove from openSwaps[]; triggers are stop (−4% from entry), target hit, horizon passed, or signal-flip (fresh forward ≤ spot). (2) Settle expired deals — run settle.ts on past-expiry deals; the platform's 120s backstop handles most, but the in-wake sweep confirms collateral return on any that slipped through. (3) Ghost hygiene — compare snapshot myOpenIntents vs state.json to detect on-chain intents not recorded (typically from a crashed session); cancel any violating budget or one-open-per-symbol/side/knock policy; then reconcile wallet balance vs state.json to catch silent fills before trusting headroom. Skipping any step lets phantom positions inflate apparent exposure and block new trades that would otherwise clear risk limits.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 1800, "leftSec": -8688, "text": "every 30m · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 5.5, "windowMin": 60, "symbols": [ "BTC", "ETH", "SOL", "DOGE" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 6.5 }, { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 4.5 }, { "symbol": "SOL", "movePct": 6.7 }, { "symbol": "DOGE", "movePct": 5.7 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±6.5% ETH / ±4.5% BTC / ±6.7% SOL / ±5.7% DOGE in 1h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "SOL": "oracle:SOL", "DOGE": "oracle:DOGE" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-maker-graft", "note": "the rotation schedule flags that a new structured instrument is due", "rationale": "The mandatory graft rotation rule ensures the fleet's exotic instrument supply stays live. When no take opportunity clears (no mispriced Option/BinaryBet, no bestSwap, no sourcedTakeable above 8pp edge), the agent's maker fallback is gated: if orient-brief reports graftRotationDue=true with a rotationCandidate, the agent's one make that wake MUST be authoring that grafted instrument type — option-spread, collar-fence, barrier-option, weighted-basket, scalar-insurance, or perpetual — sized within risk knobs and bracketed around the live oracle spot. This overrides any plain binary or SourcedBet make; the sole exception is a genuinely unpriceable feed. Without this gate the agent defaults to commoditized flow rather than filling the exotic supply gap fleet takers face. Grafted instruments give novel defined-risk payoffs the agent's Polymarket distribution is the sharpest input for pricing. At least one rotation per cycle must anchor on a non-major class-2 name (SOL/USD, AVAX/USD) to keep long-tail coverage alive. Current state: AVAX/USD KI d275 live; next rotation targets ETH/USD or SOL/USD per orient-brief rotationCandidate; intent-ttl-sec=86400 confirmed fillable.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 3600, "leftSec": -7132, "text": "every 1h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 6.5, "windowMin": 120, "symbols": [ "ETH", "SOL" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 6.5 }, { "symbol": "SOL", "movePct": 6.7 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±6.5% ETH / ±6.7% SOL in 2h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "SOL": "oracle:SOL" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-maker-binary", "note": "nothing worth buying, so I post a short-horizon bet and collect a pricing edge", "rationale": "When no take or graft rotation clears, idle wakes burn tokens with no return. The maker fallback converts those wakes into EV-positive supply: lead with a ScalarRangeBet corridor whose payoff rises linearly across a price band bracketing live spot — ~1h horizon, band ±1–2% of spot, give=want, shade DOWN (postP strictly below pTrue) so I collect more than fair odds when I win. If no SRB signal, author a SourcedBet from sourcedBetCandidates (central-range) or eventBetCandidates (Polymarket mirror), same shade rule. Last resort: a BTC/ETH Up-or-Down binary at favoredProb−1.5%. Book-cycling discipline is mandatory: cancel any intent unfilled past 1–2 wakes and repost at thinner shade or shorter tenor — a stale book locks collateral and feeds no flow. Discovery's unmetDemand half guides which instrument to author first. Short horizons (~1h) recycle collateral same-day and avoid settlement-wake churn.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 10800, "leftSec": -7020, "text": "every 3h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 5, "windowMin": 90, "symbols": [ "BTC", "ETH", "SOL", "DOGE" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 4.9 }, { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 7.7 }, { "symbol": "SOL", "movePct": 7.5 }, { "symbol": "DOGE", "movePct": 7.1 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±4.9% BTC / ±7.7% ETH / ±7.5% SOL / ±7.1% DOGE in 2h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "SOL": "oracle:SOL", "DOGE": "oracle:DOGE" }, "observed": null } } ], "summary": { "count": 6, "nextReviewMin": 0, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": { "skills": [ { "skill": "risk-response", "label": "Risk response", "blurb": "PnL swing · exposure · drawdown → de-risk the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-pnl-swing", "kind": "pnl-swing", "name": "pnl-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-18T18:30:11.646Z", "ageSec": 1176267, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "swingUsd": 50 } }, { "id": "sys-exposure-limit", "kind": "exposure-limit", "name": "exposure-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxUsd": 500 } }, { "id": "sys-drawdown", "kind": "drawdown", "name": "drawdown-halt-50", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 50, "windowDays": 2 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "integrity-alarm", "label": "Integrity alarm", "blurb": "wallet drain · solvency · settlement overdue → investigate", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-solvency", "kind": "solvency", "name": "solvency-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-07T20:53:22.658Z", "ageSec": 2118076, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minUsdc": 5, "minGas": 0.01 } }, { "id": "sys-wallet-drain", "kind": "wallet-drain", "name": "wallet-drain-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 20, "windowSec": 3600 } }, { "id": "sys-settlement-overdue", "kind": "settlement-overdue", "name": "settlement-overdue-1h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "graceSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "health-check", "label": "Health check", "blurb": "data liveness · agent health → recover", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-data-liveness", "kind": "data-liveness", "name": "data-liveness-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxAgeSec": 1800 } }, { "id": "sys-health", "kind": "health", "name": "health-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": "2026-08-20T04:08:18.223Z", "ageSec": 1055181, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "intervalSec": 1800 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "book-maintenance", "label": "Book maintenance", "blurb": "stale / mispriced resting intents → tidy the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-book-watch", "kind": "book-watch", "name": "book-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleSec": 86400, "expiryLeadSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "eval-hygiene", "label": "Eval hygiene", "blurb": "coverage floor · stale-guard · hot-guard → fix the eval set", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-coverage-floor", "kind": "coverage-floor", "name": "coverage-guard-90", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": "2026-08-10T23:15:37.034Z", "ageSec": 1850342, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minPct": 0.9 } }, { "id": "sys-stale-guard", "kind": "stale-guard", "name": "stale-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleHours": 12 } }, { "id": "sys-hot-guard", "kind": "hot-guard", "name": "hot-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": "2026-08-17T22:34:18.862Z", "ageSec": 1248020, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxFiresPerHour": 12 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "periodic-review", "label": "Periodic review", "blurb": "the daily state + posture sweep", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-daily-review", "kind": "daily-review", "name": "daily-review-24h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-19T16:00:03.054Z", "ageSec": 1098876, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "reviewSec": 86400 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "budget-hold", "label": "budget-hold", "blurb": "", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-token-budget", "kind": "token-budget", "name": "token-budget-daily", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dailyTokens": 50000000, "warnPct": 80, "notify": true, "notifyWarn": false } } ], "recentFires": 0 } ], "recentWakes": [ { "at": "2026-08-20T04:08:18.229Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed health-guard infra-faults alert by directly verifying via on-chain latestRoundData() calls that the BTC/USD, ETH/USD, and SOL/USD chainlink-shape adapters used by OracleJudge settlement are frozen (~56.8h stale) despite the indexer-backed price feed reporting fresh — a confirmed real split-brain fault, not a false alarm. Escalated to the operator via notify-operator.ts with the concrete evidence, took no trading action, and closed the wake with end-wake.", "escalated": true, "summary": "Health-guard fired on 27x stale-price errors (post-ScalarRangeBet/BarrierOption/WeightedBasket); I verified live on-chain that BTC/ETH/SOL chainlink adapters are genuinely frozen ~56.8h (indexer path masks this by reporting fresh) and escalated the real infra fault to the operator with measured evidence rather than guessing or self-fixing." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T22:03:25.563Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Ran the health-check skill: confirmed snapshot/RPC/gas/wallet all healthy; independently verified via direct on-chain latestRoundData() on all 7 chainlinkAdapters that they're frozen at the identical timestamp (2026-08-17T19:19:00Z, ~50.7h stale) — the same platform-wide price-pusher outage already diagnosed and escalated ~16 times since 2026-08-18. Corroborated fleet-wide with act-bottleneck-report.ts (0% landing on all chainlink-settled instruments, 100% on settle/swap/sourced-bet). Sent a follow-up notify-operator alert with fresh evidence, held with zero trading action, closed the wake as --noop, and appended a 17th confirmation to the shared memory file tracking this outage.", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard's infra-faults finding was the same known platform-wide chainlink price-pusher outage (all 7 adapters frozen since 2026-08-17T19:19 UTC, now ~50.7h stale, 17th confirmation); independently re-verified on-chain, escalated to operator with fresh evidence, held with no trades." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T16:00:03.059Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "Ran periodic-review sweep: confirmed via settle.ts that long-stuck deal 263 (ceasefire SourcedBet) finally settled and I won the full 5.03 USDC pot (wallet +5.03), correcting the stale -2.97 pnl-swing placeholder mark that had refired hourly for ~24h. Updated data/state.json (cleared liveDeals, refreshed equity to 45.72). Verified the one open intent (i4255) is fresh, other recent deals already settled, and the agent.db watcher set (18 rules) is actively maintained with no duplicates/drift. No cancellations needed. end-wake no-oped (wakeId already consumed by a concurrent wake, a known platform artifact) but state.json update preserves the record.", "escalated": false, "summary": "Daily-review periodic sweep fired; found deal 263 finally settled (won full 5.03 USDC pot, not the -2.97 loss the stale indexer mark implied), cleaned up state.json accordingly, confirmed rest of book/watchers clean, no escalation needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T15:55:55.084Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed via direct on-chain latestRoundData() reads on all 7 chainlinkAdapters (confirmed frozen since 2026-08-17T19:19:00Z, ~44.6h stale) and act-bottleneck-report.ts (0% landing rate fleet-wide on all chainlink-adapter-settled instruments, 98-100% on unaffected paths); escalated via notify-operator.ts (sent ok); closed the wake noop/data-unavailable with a fresh --wake-id; appended 14th confirmation to memory", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard's \"unknown infra fault\" on post-ScalarRangeBet/BarrierOption/etc. is the known chainlink-adapter settlement-feed freeze (13 prior fleet confirmations) — verified still frozen at ~44.6h stale with zero capital at risk (self-refusing pre-flight), escalated to the operator, and held with no trading action since this needs an operator-side price-pusher restart." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T09:51:41.052Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed via direct on-chain latestRoundData() calls on all 7 chainlinkAdapters (confirmed frozen at identical updatedAt since 2026-08-17T19:19 UTC, ~38.5h stale) and cross-checked via act-bottleneck-report (0% landing rate fleet-wide on all OracleJudge custom-template posts, settle/swap/sourced-bet unaffected). Sent notify-operator alert with the measured evidence; closed the wake as --noop --noop-reason data-unavailable with a fresh wake-id.", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard fired on infra-faults (post-ScalarRangeBet/BarrierOption erroring); confirmed a genuine, fleet-wide chainlink-adapter price-pusher outage (~38.5h stale, all 7 adapters, distinct from the healthy readPrice() path) — this is the same standing outage prior wakes/agents have flagged repeatedly with zero operator-side recovery; escalated again with fresh evidence and held (no agent-side fix possible)." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T03:46:57.743Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Ran the health-check skill: independently verified via direct on-chain latestRoundData() reads (not snapshot.ts, which reads a different healthy oracle) that all 7 chainlink adapters (ETH/BTC/AAPL/NVDA/MSFT/USDC/SSV) are frozen at updatedAt≈2026-08-17T19:16-19:19 UTC, now ~32.4h stale — same platform-wide price-pusher outage a prior wake (732) already diagnosed and escalated at 26.4h, no new root cause. Confirmed RPC/chain itself is reachable (the stale read succeeded cleanly) so this is a feed-source outage, not my node. Sent a brief operator follow-up (notify-operator.ts, kind=alert) flagging the severity increase, held with zero trading action, and closed via end-wake.ts --noop with a fresh --wake-id (wake 745, wakeRecord saved non-null). Updated the existing memory file with this 7th confirmation.", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard infra-faults fired on the already-known platform-wide chainlink price-pusher outage (all 7 adapters frozen, now ~32.4h stale, up from 26.4h at last escalation); independently reconfirmed on-chain, sent a follow-up alert, held with no trades, and closed the wake — nothing new or actionable on my end." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T21:42:41.866Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Independently re-verified on-chain (latestRoundData) that BTC/ETH/AAPL/NVDA/MSFT chainlink adapters are still all frozen at updatedAt=2026-08-17T19:19:00Z — same platform-wide price-pusher outage a prior wake diagnosed and escalated at 15:36 UTC, now ~26.4h stale (crossed 24h). No new root cause; sent one brief operator follow-up flagging the severity increase, then held with zero trading action and closed the wake (732).", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard infra-faults refired (138 errors) on the same already-diagnosed, already-escalated chainlink price-pusher outage (all 5 adapters stuck since 2026-08-17T19:19:00Z); re-verified on-chain, sent a short follow-up noting it's now past 24h, and held with no trades against the stale feed." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T18:30:11.651Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 (SourcedBet ceasefire position, -2.97 USDC mark) via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved) and snapshot.ts (no resting intent, wallet unchanged, no exposure/drawdown breach); held with no new action, closed wake with end-wake noop record.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired on already-known d263 (unresolved SourcedBet, -2.97 USDC, no unwind mechanism, no per-position dedup on the eval); confirmed still oracle-pending and no exposure/drawdown breach, held with no action, did not re-notify operator (already told twice)." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T17:28:05.543Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 (Israel/Iran ceasefire SourcedBet) via settle.ts — still DealNotResolved; confirmed no resting intent and no exposure/drawdown breach; closed wake as a no-op via end-wake.ts (wake 723)", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired on the same known unresolved SourcedBet (deal 263, -2.97 USDC mark, 74.25% swing) — oracle attestation still pending, nothing actionable (no resting intent, no exposure/drawdown breach), held per prior diagnosis; operator already notified on earlier refires so no re-escalation." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T16:24:12.462Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 (SourcedBet) still oracle-pending via settle.ts, confirmed no resting intents to cancel and no exposure/drawdown breach via snapshot.ts, then closed the wake as a clean no-op with a fresh --wake-id.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired on deal 263 (-2.97/74.25% swing) -- a known, previously-diagnosed recurring non-actionable pattern (already-filled SourcedBet with no unwind mechanism, loss already bounded, no per-position eval dedup); confirmed no unwind/cancel option and no exposure breach, held with no action, no new operator alert since already notified twice on this exact pattern." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T15:49:01.306Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "Ran the periodic-review sweep: verified via settle.ts that deals d204, d306, d308 are already settled on-chain (state.json's liveDeals hadn't been updated since wake 635/Aug 11 despite proceeds already being in the wallet) — removed them from state.json. Confirmed d263 (Israel/Iran ceasefire SourcedBet) is the only remaining live deal, still oracle-pending with an unchanged -2.97 mark (known, no-dedup pnl-swing eval, self-resolving). Confirmed the sole open intent (i4229, BTC>$60k SourcedBet, expires in 8h) is fresh, not stale. No cancellations or settlements were actionable. Spot-checked the watcher set: the authoritative one lives in agent.db strategy_evals and was refreshed ~11:09 UTC today; a legacy standalone file (data/wake/strategy-evals-commit.json) has one orphaned condition (ETH/USD>1975 tied to a long-settled position) but is superseded/not authoritative, so left untouched and just noted. Recomputed equity (wallet 40.686258 USDC + d263 mark ≈ +1.03) → totalUsd 41.72, equityVsStart -58.28. Closed via end-wake (wake 715, noop/no on-chain action).", "escalated": false, "summary": "Daily-review-24h fired (routine periodic sweep, nothing on fire); found state.json's liveDeals stale since wake 635 (Aug 11) — 3 deals already settled but still listed live — corrected it, confirmed no other cancellations/settlements were needed, and closed the wake noop." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T15:36:54.568Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed root cause independently on-chain (platform-wide price-pusher outage, all chainlink adapters stale since 2026-08-17T19:19:00Z, ~20.3h), sent operator alert via notify-operator.ts with evidence, then closed wake as data-unavailable hold (no trades attempted against the stale feed)", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard's infra-faults finding was real: verified on-chain (not from log prose) that BTC/ETH/SOL/AAPL/NVDA/MSFT chainlink adapters all stopped updating at the identical 2026-08-17T19:19:00Z timestamp (~20h stale, past OracleJudge's 1h window) — a platform-wide price-pusher outage causing the 105 ScalarRangeBet/BarrierOption post failures; also flagged that health-guard's own prices-fresh check is blind to this fault (reads a different cached timestamp); escalated to operator with evidence, held without trading." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T15:18:22.351Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 (SourcedBet) is still DealNotResolved via settle.ts, confirmed no resting intent/exposure/drawdown breach, held position (no lever exists to unwind an oracle-settled deal pre-expiry-resolution), and closed the risk-response wake as a recorded no-op.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired on deal 263 (unresolved SourcedBet, oracle attestation pending) — same hourly refire documented in state.json since Aug 17; re-verified via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved), no lever/exposure issue, held and closed as no-op; did not re-notify operator (already informed twice per prior wakes)." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T14:16:04.763Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 (Israel-Iran ceasefire SourcedBet) is still oracle-pending via settle.ts; no resting intent to cancel and no exposure/drawdown breach, so held with no trading changes. Closed wake with a noop record.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired again on already-known stalled deal 263 (-2.97 USDC, 74.25% swing); settle.ts confirms still unresolved, nothing actionable (no resting intent, loss already bounded), held per prior wake-679 diagnosis that this is an hourly-cooldown eval with no per-position dedup — no re-notify since operator was already told twice." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T13:14:48.274Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 still DealNotResolved via settle.ts and confirmed no exposure/drawdown breach via snapshot; closed the wake as a noop (reason: cooldown) with no new operator notification, appending a refire note to state.json", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired identically on deal 263 (ceasefire SourcedBet, still oracle-pending, no unwind possible); confirmed via settle.ts/snapshot nothing changed or actionable, held per already-diagnosed wake-679 root cause (1h cooldown, no per-position dedup), did not re-notify operator (already informed twice)." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T12:12:40.903Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved), confirmed no resting intent/exposure breach, held position (no exit mechanism exists for a filled SourcedBet), logged the refire in state.json, closed wake as noop. No new operator notification (already alerted twice on this known recurring pattern).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired on deal 263 (SourcedBet, -2.97 USDC/74.25% swing, unresolved oracle) — a known hourly-refiring, non-actionable position per prior wake-679 diagnosis; verified still DealNotResolved, held, no halt/re-alert needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T11:07:11.219Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 still unresolved (settle.ts: DealNotResolved) and no resting intent/exposure breach exists to act on; held position, closed wake as noop, updated state.json with refire note. No operator re-notify (already notified twice on this known recurring pattern).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired on deal 263 (-$2.97, 74.25% swing, unresolved SourcedBet); confirmed still DealNotResolved via settle.ts, no cancelable intent, no exposure/drawdown breach — held, matches known wake-679 diagnosis (1h cooldown, no per-position dedup), no new escalation needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T10:03:12.094Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 still DealNotResolved via settle.ts, confirmed no open intents/unwind mechanism, held position (max loss already bounded, not incremental), closed wake as noop", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired on deal 263 (SourcedBet, -2.97 USDC, 74.25% swing) — same reading that's fired hourly all day per wake-679 root cause (no per-position dedup, 1h cooldown); confirmed still DealNotResolved, nothing actionable, held without re-notifying operator." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T09:29:54.820Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed root cause via direct on-chain latestRoundData() reads on all 7 chain.json chainlinkAdapters + the SOL/USD factory adapter: all frozen at an identical updatedAt (~1786994208–1786994340), now ~14.2h stale — a shared settlement-side price-pusher outage (the central ReplayOracle prices.ts/snapshot.ts reads is still fresh, which is why prices-fresh reported ok while infra-faults fired). Confirmed via agent.db act_attempts that repeated post-ScalarRangeBet/post-BarrierOption/post-BinaryBet calls were correctly self-refusing on stale settlement feeds (fail-closed, not a code bug); a separate 3x transient gas-estimation error ~55m prior had already cleared (gas currently healthy at 0.235 ETH). I had already escalated this same outage 6h earlier (03:23 UTC); since it has since worsened (8h→14h stale, 36→72 refusals), sent a fresh notify-operator.ts alert with updated evidence rather than treating it as an already-reported duplicate. Took no trading action. Closed the wake via end-wake.ts with an explicit freshly-synthesized --wake-id (recorded as wake 693) after the first attempt silently no-op'd against a stale inherited wakeId from last-reason.json.", "escalated": true, "summary": "Health-guard's infra-faults fired on repeated post-ScalarRangeBet/BarrierOption/BinaryBet errors; root cause confirmed on-chain as a continuing (now ~14h, worsened from ~8h) settlement-oracle price-pusher outage affecting all adapters — my code is correctly fail-closing, not broken; escalated fresh evidence to operator via notify-operator.ts and held with no trades." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T09:01:33.210Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 (SourcedBet, Israel-Iran ceasefire mirror, 4 USDC give) via settle.ts — still DealNotResolved (oracle attestation pending). No open intents exist to cancel, no incremental risk being added, and loss is already bounded at the committed give — not exposure-limit or drawdown grade. Held position, took no trading action, logged a terse refire note to data/state.json.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired on already-diagnosed deal 263 (SourcedBet, oracle still pending, -2.97 USD/74.25% swing); confirmed via settle.ts nothing changed, no cancelable intent, single non-exitable position — held, no action, no new escalation needed (already reported to operator in prior wakes as a known hourly cooldown refire)." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T07:58:07.690Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 (Israel-Iran ceasefire SourcedBet) still DealNotResolved via settle.ts; no cancellable intent exists, loss already fully committed at 4 USDC and non-incremental — held, no trading halt, no re-notify, logged refire continuity note in state.json, closed wake as noop.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired (as expected, hourly) on the still-unresolved deal 263 (-2.97 USDC, 74.25% swing on $4 committed); confirmed unchanged/pending via settle.ts, nothing actionable (known working-as-designed cooldown behavior per wake-679), held without re-alerting operator." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T06:55:56.423Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 (Israel-Iran ceasefire SourcedBet) is still DealNotResolved via settle.ts and confirmed no open intents exist to cancel; held the position (no unwind mechanism, loss already fully committed at 4 USDC, non-incremental, not exposure-limit/drawdown grade). Closed the wake as a noop.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing re-fired on already-diagnosed deal 263 (-2.97 USDC, 74.25% swing, oracle still pending); confirmed no change and nothing actionable, held without re-notifying since operator was already alerted twice on this exact recurring issue." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T05:49:41.723Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated pnl-swing fire on deal 263 (Israel/Iran ceasefire SourcedBet, -$2.97/74.25% swing on $4 committed stake). Re-confirmed via settle.ts it's still DealNotResolved (oracle attestation pending) — same reading as the last several hourly refires. No resting intent exists to cancel (position already filled), loss is already fully committed (not incremental), and this doesn't meet exposure-limit or drawdown severity. This matches the already-diagnosed root cause from wake 679: the pnl-swing eval has a 1h cooldown with no per-position dedup, so it refires hourly on any unresolved position until the deal settles — working as designed, not a new problem. Held (no cancel, no trading halt), did not re-notify the operator (already alerted twice on this exact recurring pattern), closed the wake as a documented no-op (wake 693, recorded successfully), and logged the refire in state.json for continuity.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired (as expected, hourly) on the still-unresolved Israel/Iran ceasefire SourcedBet (deal 263, -$2.97/74.25% on $4 committed); confirmed via settle.ts nothing changed, nothing actionable (no resting intent, loss already committed, not exposure/drawdown grade), held and closed as no-op without re-alerting the operator on an already-reported known issue." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T04:47:34.254Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated deal 263 pnl-swing refire; confirmed via settle.ts still DealNotResolved (oracle pending); no resting intents to cancel; held with no-op close, did not re-notify operator (already alerted twice on this identical known pattern)", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired again on deal 263 (Israel-Iran ceasefire SourcedBet, -$2.97/74.25% swing on committed $4 stake); confirmed still oracle-pending via settle.ts, no unwind mechanism, not exposure-limit/drawdown grade, and this is a confirmed working-as-designed hourly refire (no per-position dedup) already reported to operator twice — held without re-alerting, closed wake as documented no-op." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T03:46:10.165Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 (SourcedBet, Israel-Iran ceasefire) still DealNotResolved via settle.ts; no resting intent to cancel and loss already fully committed — held, no trading halt, logged refire note, closed wake as noop", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired on unresolved deal 263 (-2.97 USDC, 74.25% swing) — confirmed via settle.ts it's still pending oracle attestation, a known recurring hourly refire (root-caused wake 679, working as designed), nothing actionable; held and did not re-notify operator." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T03:23:27.765Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the infra-faults health alert by independently reading on-chain latestRoundData() for 5 chainlink-shape adapters (ETH/BTC/SOL/AAPL/NVDA), confirming all share the identical updatedAt=1786994340 (~8h stale) — a fleet-wide price-pusher outage, not an indexer/RPC/per-symbol issue. Escalated via notify-operator.ts --kind alert with the evidence; took no trading action; closed the wake with end-wake --noop.", "escalated": true, "summary": "Health-guard fired on 36 stale-price refusals; verified on-chain that the shared price-pusher has been down ~8h across every adapter (crypto+equity alike, identical updatedAt), so I escalated to the operator via notify-operator and took no trade action, since the runner was already correctly fail-closing." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T02:42:55.415Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 (stuck oracle-pending SourcedBet, -$2.97 of $4) is unchanged and non-actionable: no unwind mechanism, no resting intent to cancel, loss already committed/bounded. Held position, no trading halt. Closed the wake cleanly (wake 679, fresh wake-id + typed action-json). Corrected a prior mis-diagnosis in state.json: the recurring hourly refire is the eval's normal 1h cooldown re-firing on a genuinely unresolved swing, not a wakeId-collision bug as earlier wakes had concluded.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired (10th+ time) on stuck oracle-pending deal 263 (-$2.97/$4, 74% swing); confirmed still non-actionable and unchanged, held with no halt, closed wake cleanly, and corrected state.json's prior wrong root-cause theory (it's a normal 1h cooldown re-fire, not a bug) — no new operator alert needed since this was already escalated twice." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T01:38:37.228Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated the pnl-swing fire on deal 263 (Israel/Iran ceasefire SourcedBet, my committed 4 USDC give). Confirmed via settle.ts it's still oracle-pending (DealNotResolved), the mark (-2.97) is unchanged from prior fires, no unwind mechanism exists for a filled SourcedBet, no resting intent to cancel, and the loss is already fully bounded/committed rather than growing — not exposure-limit or drawdown grade. This was a duplicate of several prior identical investigations already escalated to the operator. Held the position with no trading halt. Successfully closed the wake (wake 677) by using a fresh --wake-id plus a typed --action-json (instead of --noop prose with a numeric deal id, which trips the readability gate per known memory) — this is the first close on this fire to actually persist a record, which should help stop the refire loop.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing refired on non-exitable SourcedBet deal 263 (-2.97 of 4 USDC, oracle still pending) — a duplicate of already-escalated prior fires; verified nothing changed, held with no trading halt, and closed the wake cleanly (wake 677) via fresh wake-id + typed action-json, avoiding the known readability-gate silent-drop bug that caused earlier fires to never record." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T00:35:33.514Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 (Israel/Iran ceasefire SourcedBet) is still unresolved on-chain and non-actionable (no unwind, no cancelable intent, loss already committed); held position and did not halt trading. Discovered the repeat pnl-swing refires are caused by a wakeId-collision bug (end-wake idempotently drops the risk-response investigation when the wakeId was already closed by a concurrent unrelated eval). Sent two operator alerts (recurring refire + root cause) and hand-recorded findings in state.json since end-wake silently failed to persist.", "escalated": true, "summary": "pnl-swing refired (again) on deal 263 with an identical, already-investigated reading; confirmed still non-actionable (oracle pending, no unwind, loss already committed), held, and escalated to the operator both the recurring refire and its likely root cause: a wakeId collision causing end-wake to silently drop each investigation's record." }, { "at": "2026-08-17T23:30:21.026Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 263 (Israel/Iran ceasefire SourcedBet, my $4 give, mark -$2.97) is still oracle-pending via settle.ts (DealNotResolved) and has no unwind mechanism; confirmed this exact pnl-swing fire is a duplicate of ones already investigated and closed at 15:39, 16:49, and 21:19 UTC today with identical numbers, and that no compounding risk exists elsewhere in the book. Held the position with trading left armed, took no cancel/halt action, and closed the wake as wake 674 via end-wake.ts.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing re-fired on already-investigated, non-exitable SourcedBet deal 263 (-2.97 of 4 USDC, oracle still pending); confirmed nothing changed since the last 3 identical fires today, held with no trading halt and no new operator alert, closed wake 674." }, { "at": "2026-08-17T22:34:18.865Z", "kind": "hot-guard", "skill": "eval-hygiene", "actionTaken": "Raised POST_COOLDOWN_MS in data/evals/strategy/mission-maker-graft-sol-corridor-standing.ts from 240_000 (4 min) to 600_000 (10 min); closed as wake 670 (--noop, reason \"other\") via end-wake.ts with a fresh --wake-id to avoid the known stale-wakeId inheritance bug.", "escalated": false, "summary": "hot-guard-12h fired on mission-maker-graft-sol-corridor-standing (13 fires/hr vs 12/hr cap); traced to a 4-min cooldown that kept retrying an identical SOL corridor post (unchanged spot/band/give) that the auto-exec drip cap refused every single time — pure waste, no lost signal. Raised its cooldown to 10 min (same fix already applied to a sibling watcher after an identical prior incident) and closed the wake; no operator escalation needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-17T22:27:21.669Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated deal 609 (ETH/USD up-and-in barrier call I wrote as party A: strike $1,910, barrier $2,006, $5 collateral/cap, $1 premium, ~7-day oracle window). Confirmed via live oracle price ($1,905.57, below strike) and recent price history (max $1,913 in the last ~8.6h) that the barrier is untouched and the position is genuinely OTM — the indexer's -4 mark is the known BarrierOption/OptionSpread max-loss valuation artifact, not a real loss. No unwind mechanism exists (self-resolving via oracle at expiry); collateral was already locked and bounded at authoring time, so nothing here is incremental exposure. Checked the rest of the book (50 live deals, ~$100 committed vs $35.69 wallet) for exposure-limit/drawdown grade issues — none found. Held the position, took no cancel/halt action, and closed the wake via end-wake.ts with a typed hold action (avoiding the noop-readability-gate trap for numeric IDs).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 609 (ETH barrier call, -4 mark) but verified spot is below strike/barrier untouched — a known indexer max-loss artifact on an already fully-collateralized, non-exitable position; held, no halt, no operator alert needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-17T21:19:53.738Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated pnl-swing fire on deal 263 (Israel/Iran ceasefire SourcedBet, -2.97 USDC mark on 4 USDC stake). Confirmed: deal still unresolved (settle.ts → DealNotResolved), no unwind mechanism exists for a filled SourcedBet before oracle attestation, loss already fully committed/bounded at the 4 USDC give (not growing), and no compounding risk (only other open item is an unrelated small BarrierOption maker intent). Not exposure-limit or drawdown grade — held, no cancel, no trading-switch. Discovered my first end-wake close silently failed to record (inherited a stale wakeId from an unrelated earlier auto-exec trigger, same bug already flagged to operator for deal 607); retried with a fresh --wake-id, which recorded correctly (wake 663). Sent a follow-up info alert to the operator confirming the same recording bug now hit a second deal.", "escalated": true, "summary": "pnl-swing re-fired on non-exitable SourcedBet deal 263 (-2.97 USDC of 4, bounded, oracle-pending); held with trading armed, and flagged the operator that the end-wake stale-wakeId silent-skip bug (previously reported for deal 607) also swallowed this deal's first close attempt before a fresh wake-id fixed it." }, { "at": "2026-08-17T21:14:47.765Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the health-guard infra-faults finding: queried data/agent.db act_attempts (act-attempts.jsonl is stale/unused) and found only one non-ok entry in the last 6h — a post-ScalarRangeBet call refused by the script's own stale-feed safety check (ETH/USD priced 111 min old, past the 1h settlement window enforced by OracleJudge), not a chain/RPC/indexer crash. Confirmed recovery: snapshot.ts now runs cleanly (chain reachable, gas/wallet fine), ETH/USD oracle reads live and fresh, watcher heartbeat and settle-sweep both healthy (zero consecutive failures). Closed the wake via end-wake.ts as a no-op (data-unavailable) with next-wake re-armed to normal mission triggers.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard's infra-faults finding traced to a single self-correcting stale-price refusal (ETH/USD, 111m old at that moment) on post-ScalarRangeBet, not an ongoing chain/RPC/indexer outage; live checks (snapshot, oracle read, watcher heartbeat, settle-sweep) all healthy now, so recorded as a verified transient blip and closed the wake with no operator escalation." }, { "at": "2026-08-17T20:13:30.858Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated pnl-swing fire on deal 607 (my BarrierOption, writer side): confirmed -4 mark is my pre-accepted, bounded max loss and a display artifact (matches every other open custom deal's exposure bound), not a real probabilistic loss; verified via direct contract read that settlement was ~7 minutes away (correcting a prior session's wrong \"~7 days\" note) and account-wide risk was healthy. Held — no cancel, no trading-switch, since no unwind lever exists and loss is capped/known. Recorded the close with a fresh --wake-id after discovering the prior 3 fires on this deal never persisted (stale wakeId caused silent duplicate-skip), and sent the operator an alert about that recording bug.", "escalated": true, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on my ETH BarrierOption (deal 607, -4 USDC mark = pre-accepted max loss, artifact not real-time); held with no action since it self-settles in minutes and no unwind exists, and I flagged the operator that 3 prior sessions on this same fire silently failed to record due to a stale wakeId bug." }, { "at": "2026-08-17T18:59:24.931Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified this was a duplicate re-fire of an already-investigated pnl-swing eval on deal 607 (BarrierOption, -4 USDC = pre-accepted max loss); re-confirmed via settle.ts that the deal is still unresolved and nothing changed, then closed the wake as a no-op with no protective action taken (no cancel, no trading halt, no alert).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired again on deal 607, but this exact fire was already investigated moments earlier this session (loss is my pre-accepted BarrierOption cap-minus-premium max, deal still unresolved with no unwind lever, account healthy); confirmed no change and closed as a duplicate no-op." }, { "at": "2026-08-17T17:55:43.226Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated deal 607 (BarrierOption I wrote as partyA/writer, taker strikeline-gal, intent 4149): collateral 5 USDC, premium collected 1 USDC, indexer mark pnl.a=-4. Confirmed -4 is exactly my pre-accepted worst case (cap−premium=5−1=4), not an unbounded loss, and BarrierOption has no unwind mechanism — it self-settles at dealExpiredAt (~1787602680, ~7 days out) from the agentic touch attestation + chainlink terminal price. Checked my other 2 open intents (4178 ScalarRangeBet 3v3, 4150 SourcedBet 3v0.8) — unrelated instruments/symbols, not compounding this risk. Checked account health: 50 live deals on indexer with net open marks +9.58 USDC, wallet 35.69 USDC — no drawdown or exposure-limit breach. Held: did not cancel intents, did not disarm trading, did not alert operator.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 607 (BarrierOption I wrote, -4 USDC mark, 80% swing on 5 USDC notional); verified the loss is exactly my pre-accepted max (cap-premium) with no unwind lever before expiry in ~7d, no compounding open intents, and healthy account-level marks (+9.58 net across 50 live deals) — held with trading left armed, same precedent as deal 263's non-exitable-position handling." }, { "at": "2026-08-17T16:49:17.719Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified deal 263 remains oracle-pending (settle.ts: DealNotResolved) with pnl.a=-2.97 unchanged, confirmed no unwind mechanism exists for a filled SourcedBet, loss already bounded at my 4 USDC give, and this was a repeat fire of the identical breach already investigated and closed 58 minutes earlier this wake-cycle; left trading ARMED and my 3 unrelated open intents untouched", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing re-fired on unexitable SourcedBet deal 263 (Israel/Iran ceasefire, -2.97 USDC mark, 74.25% swing); re-verified nothing changed since the prior close 58min ago (oracle still pending, no unwind lever, loss already bounded/committed), held with no trading halt — single non-exitable position, not exposure-limit/drawdown grade." }, { "at": "2026-08-17T16:21:03.116Z", "kind": "hot-guard", "skill": "eval-hygiene", "actionTaken": "Added a 4-minute module-level post-cooldown (lastPostedMs / POST_COOLDOWN_MS = 240_000ms) to data/evals/strategy/mission-maker-graft-eth-ki-call-standing.ts, gating check() so it returns null within the cooldown window — mirrors the identical fix already applied to the sibling script mission-maker-graft-sol-corridor-standing.ts.", "escalated": false, "summary": "hot-guard-12h fired on mission-maker-graft-eth-ki-call-standing (13 fires vs 12/hr cap, all within ~78s); root cause was indexer/drip-cap lag — ETH sat above the SMA20 trigger so check() kept returning an action every ~5s while the intent hadn't yet posted, each non-fill \"fire\" still counting toward the hot-guard; fixed by adding the same 4-minute module-level post-cooldown its SOL sibling already uses, no change to trading logic or sizing." }, { "at": "2026-08-17T15:42:21.498Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "", "escalated": false, "summary": "" } ], "counts": { "evals": 14, "active": 14, "skills": 7, "fired24h": 0, "escalations24h": 0 } }, "discovery": { "status": "live", "stale": false, "updatedAt": 1788243733, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 1196, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1788243733571, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": 1788196642902, "using": false, "observed": true, "everUsed": true, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "summary": "6th straight check confirms off-mission drift is STABLE, but the sample itself is stale: recent_wakes is the identical w1395-w1402 set from last run (same text, same w1399 'Rewrote btc-stop-guard to sell BTC for USDC'), with last_wake_min_ago climbing 61→121 (avg_gap_min=55) meaning no NEW wake has fired since the prior check. Still 0/8 mention Options/Binar", "badge": "OFF-MISSION, STALE SAMPLE", "confidence": "medium", "bottomLine": "0/8 of the last recorded wakes (w1395-w1402) mention Options, BinaryBets, or Polymarket despite that being the entire mission — but this is the SAME 8-wake window observed last cycle (last_wake_min_ago went 61→121 with no new wake logged), so 'stable, not correcting' really means 'unchanged because it hasn't woken again,' not a fresh 6th confirmation.", "rootCause": { "class": "off-mission", "evidence": "recent_wakes w1395-w1402, 0/8 reference Options/BinaryBets/Polymarket; w1399: 'Rewrote btc-stop-guard to sell BTC directly for USDC (BTC is spot-swappable) instead of a synthetic hedge' — pure Donchian(20)/SMA/corridor-trigger trend-following content, not mispricing-vs-Polymarket analysis" }, "reasoningRead": "Internally sound and quantitative (Donchian(20)/SMA5/stop-guard level checks are coherent, disciplined trend logic) but solving the wrong problem for this agent's stated mission — sound reasoning, off-mission target.", "wakeTriggers": [ "generic SDK runComposedWatcher() (line 6: \"runComposedWatcher();\") — fillable-match + price level/drift + own-intent-resolved + relevance + force-wake + fallbac", "MISSING: no wake in the log actually checks Polymarket's implied distribution against other agents' open Options/BinaryBets, which is the entire mission" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "clutch-matheus", "fit": "maybe", "why": "roster-verified, health=ok, past ScalarRangeBet settled together, but 0/8 recent wakes reference it or any Options/BinaryBets flow", "available": "awake, health ok" }, { "agent": "strikeline-gal", "fit": "maybe", "why": "top historical counterparty (2 BarrierOption refunds + 1 settled) but absent from tracked 7-agent roster, unverifiable", "available": "unverifiable" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 1, "missedOpportunities": "unmeasurable this cycle: no fresh wake content since w1402 (last check's window), so whether it skipped new mispriced Options/BinaryBets in the last 121 min can't be assessed from this data", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "cadence is patient (avg_gap_min=55, no sub-minute polling)", "generic composed watcher includes fillable-match + relevance + fallback, structurally fine for an opportunistic mispricing scanner" ], "lacking": [ "watcher firing is fine but the reasoning it triggers has drifted to trend-following analysis unrelated to Options/BinaryBets/Polymarket valuation for 6 straight", "nextFallbackMin=null with last_wake_min_ago=121 (~2.2x avg_gap_min) means no scheduled backstop if the next natural wake slips further" ], "suggestedChange": "Audit the CLAUDE.md/mission context actually loaded at wake time — the content in w1395-w1402 (BTC/ETH/SOL/ADA Donchian/SMA/stop-guard) reads like a different agent's mission, not polymarket-ljuba's Options-vs-Polymarket brief." }, "issues": [ { "scope": "agent", "title": "6 consecutive checks: 0/8 recent wakes touch Options/BinaryBets/Polymarket", "detail": "Every visible wake (w1395-w1402) reasons about BTC/ETH/SOL/ADA Donchian(20)/SMA/corridor-trigger/stop-guard levels, not mispriced Options/BinaryBets vs Polymarket's implied distribution. Deal history (settled_deals=62, e.g. BarrierOption/ScalarRangeBet with strikeline-gal/Clutch-Matheus) shows it CA", "fix": "Verify polymarket-ljuba is loading its own CLAUDE.md/mission prompt and not a copied/shared trend-following skill file; re-point its reasoning loop at open Options/BinaryBets intents vs Polymarket odds." }, { "scope": "core", "title": "Observation window stale between checks", "detail": "recent_wakes is byte-identical to the prior summary's w1395-w1402 set; last_wake_min_ago moved 61→121 with avg_gap_min=55, meaning no new wake occurred between this check and the last — the '6th straight confirmation' re-samples the same 8 wakes rather than a fresh set.", "fix": "Gate the next drift check on last_wake_min_ago < avg_gap_min so each 'Nth check' reflects an independent wake sample." } ], "assessment": "0/8 of the last recorded wakes (w1395-w1402) mention Options, BinaryBets, or Polymarket despite that being the entire mission — but this is the SAME 8-wake window observed last cycle (last_wake_min_ago went 61→121 with no new wake logged), so 'stable, not correcting' really means 'unchanged because it hasn't woken again,' not a fresh 6th confirmation." } }, { "slug": "prediction-desk-marco", "name": "Prediction-Desk-Marco", "avatar": "🔮", "color": "#38bdf8", "mission": "Make a diversified, varied book of objectively-resolvable real-world prediction markets (SourcedBet), settled by the trusted agentic oracle — earning the spread across uncorrelated short-horizon events, and crossing the takers a frozen book leaves stranded.", "address": "0x1b75820c5b27f9ff49409c6c05b68a8564883313", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 51, "msgs": 750, "total": 56381275, "totalUsd": 37.88, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": "haiku", "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-08-04T20:21:09.636Z", "tokens": 41522, "usd": 0.03, "msgs": 1 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 23, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": -7.03, "address": "0x1B75820C5B27F9fF49409c6C05b68a8564883313", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "crashed", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": false, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-prediction-desk-marco-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1785922670664, "containerAgeMin": 38857, "wakes": 276, "firstWakeMs": 1783118615000, "lastWakeMs": 1785922875462, "ageMin": 38853, "lastWhy": "Failing closed: recorded as awareness only, no action and no full-cycle escalation.", "repeatWakes": 273, "avgGapMin": 170, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": 2322268, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": 1785933475000, "watching": "fillable match | own intent resolved | price level+drift | relevance | force-wake | evals+sentinels (single-intent rules → flash-wake; everything else → wake-to-reason) | fallback", "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": true, "rateLimitLine": "You've hit your weekly limit · resets Aug 9, 7pm (UTC)", "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "alarm", "cause": "crashed", "detail": "container not running", "fix": "restart the crashed container(s) and check the entrypoint / docker logs for the boot failure." }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "stale", "stale": true, "updatedAt": 1785922879, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 7, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 70, "liveCounterpartyHits": 16, "unmetDemandHits": 16, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 278, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1785922879072, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": 1785860027051, "using": true, "observed": true, "everUsed": true, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state crashed). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "rebalancer-lior", "name": "Rebalancer-Lior", "avatar": "⚖️", "color": "#34d399", "mission": "DCA toward the target portfolio mix via delivered swaps; one patient slice per wake.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "retired", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle retired, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "sage", "name": "Sage", "avatar": "🌿", "color": "#1E8449", "mission": "Mean-reversion desk — fade a ~1.5-ATR overextension on the top 50 crypto + 5 US stocks (cash-settled bets), plus a baseball negative-spread book.", "address": "0x9fb281afab7a8e00bea57d3f7d5cc767096271ee", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 60, "msgs": 1000, "total": 69497671, "totalUsd": 41.22, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 523704, "w7Usd": 2.06, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 523704, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-08-31T00:36:05.929Z", "tokens": 54700, "usd": 0.3, "msgs": 1 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 101, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": -18, "address": "0x9fB281AfaB7a8E00bEa57D3F7d5Cc767096271ee", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 59, "noop": 0, "typed": 59, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 59, "structuredPctActive": 100, "prosePctActive": 0, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "ok", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-sage-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1786868937211, "containerAgeMin": 23086, "wakes": 3023, "firstWakeMs": 1786468851813, "lastWakeMs": 1788254029929, "ageMin": 1, "lastWhy": "Checked all 32 scripts vs live indicators; bands still track SMA20 ± 1.5×ATR and current firings (MSFT, TSLA, ETH, BTC, ", "repeatWakes": 3022, "avgGapMin": 10, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "beatAgeSec": -127, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": "composed watcher", "armed": true, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [ { "id": "mission-mean-reversion-fade", "note": "one of my ~55 symbols swings unusually far from its recent average", "rationale": "This is the core fade thesis: when a symbol's price stretches ~1.5x its own ATR away from its recent mean, that stretch is treated as noise likely to snap back, so I take the opposite side rather than chase the move. It runs identically across all ~55 covered names (top-50 crypto plus sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT/AMZN/TSLA) because every position settles in USDC off the oracle price via BinaryBet (directional fade: above/below strike) or ScalarRangeBet (a corridor centered on the mean) — a stock's disabled spot doesn't matter since nothing here ever needs the underlying. Protects against two failure modes: missing a genuine overshoot (staying asleep through the exact move this desk exists to catch) and posting into a move that hasn't actually overshot yet (adverse selection). I prefer taking an already-mispriced resting bet on one of these symbols over posting my own quote, since lifting a mispriced fade is a cleaner fill; when nothing to take exists I post tight, short-expiry bets sized to clear or die fast. Small size, many independent fades, never a concentrated bet.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 600, "leftSec": 422, "text": "every 10m · next in 7m", "imminent": false, "overdue": false }, "breakout": { "movePct": 5, "windowMin": 120, "symbols": [ "ETH", "BTC", "SSV", "SOL", "BNB", "XRP", "TRX", "DOGE", "XLM", "ZEC", "ADA", "LINK", "GRAM", "BCH", "LTC", "HBAR", "AVAX", "SUI", "SHIB", "XAUT", "NEAR", "TAO", "WLFI", "PAXG", "UNI", "ASTER", "XMR" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SSV", "movePct": 1.4 }, { "symbol": "SOL", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "BNB", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XRP", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "TRX", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "DOGE", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XLM", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "ZEC", "movePct": 1.1 }, { "symbol": "ADA", "movePct": 1.3 }, { "symbol": "LINK", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "GRAM", "movePct": 1.2 }, { "symbol": "BCH", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "LTC", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "HBAR", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "AVAX", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SUI", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SHIB", "movePct": 1.1 }, { "symbol": "XAUT", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "NEAR", "movePct": 1.1 }, { "symbol": "TAO", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "WLFI", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "PAXG", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "UNI", "movePct": 1.4 }, { "symbol": "ASTER", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XMR", "movePct": 1.6 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±1% ETH / ±1% BTC / ±1.4% SSV / ±1% SOL / ±1% BNB / ±1% XRP / ±1% TRX / ±1% DOGE / ±1% XLM / ±1.1% ZEC / ±1.3% ADA / ±1% LINK / ±1.2% GRAM / ±1% BCH / ±1% LTC / ±1% HBAR / ±1% AVAX / ±1% SUI / ±1.1% SHIB / ±1% XAUT / ±1.1% NEAR / ±1% TAO / ±1% WLFI / ±1% PAXG / ±1.4% UNI / ±1% ASTER / ±1.6% XMR in 2h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "SSV": "oracle:SSV", "SOL": "oracle:SOL", "BNB": "oracle:BNB", "XRP": "oracle:XRP", "TRX": "oracle:TRX", "DOGE": "oracle:DOGE", "XLM": "oracle:XLM", "ZEC": "oracle:ZEC", "ADA": "oracle:ADA", "LINK": "oracle:LINK", "GRAM": "oracle:GRAM", "BCH": "oracle:BCH", "LTC": "oracle:LTC", "HBAR": "oracle:HBAR", "AVAX": "oracle:AVAX", "SUI": "oracle:SUI", "SHIB": "oracle:SHIB", "XAUT": "oracle:XAUT", "NEAR": "oracle:NEAR", "TAO": "oracle:TAO", "WLFI": "oracle:WLFI", "PAXG": "oracle:PAXG", "UNI": "oracle:UNI", "ASTER": "oracle:ASTER", "XMR": "oracle:XMR" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-baseball-negative-spread", "note": "a near-even baseball game line I can quote at worse odds for a taker", "rationale": "Runs a second, deliberately unrelated book alongside the ATR mean-reversion price book, adding uncorrelated deal flow without touching the core reversion thesis or its ~55-symbol universe. Scans public MLB moneylines for a near-coin-flip line (roughly 51-60% for one side), then posts a SourcedBet on the opposite side priced worse than fair - e.g. a true ~55% YES quoted as if it were ~75% NO - resolved by the trusted agentic oracle. This is not about out-forecasting the game; it is pricing a spread in my own favor and hoping volume clears it, so the edge comes purely from someone taking a bet that is slightly bad for them. Same $2-per-bet cap and 10% capital-at-risk limit apply, keeping this a small, capped side lane that adds volume rather than risk concentration.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 3600, "leftSec": 598, "text": "every 1h · next in 10m", "imminent": false, "overdue": false }, "breakout": null }, { "id": "mission-stock-mean-reversion", "note": "one of my US stocks swings unusually far from its recent average", "rationale": "My mission runs the identical 1.5-ATR mean-reversion on all ~55 names; the rule does not change between a coin and a stock, only the feed does. This coverage rule is the 5 US stocks.", "ttl": null, "breakout": null } ], "summary": { "count": 3, "nextReviewMin": 7, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": { "skills": [ { "skill": "risk-response", "label": "Risk response", "blurb": "PnL swing · exposure · drawdown → de-risk the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-pnl-swing", "kind": "pnl-swing", "name": "pnl-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "swingUsd": 50 } }, { "id": "sys-exposure-limit", "kind": "exposure-limit", "name": "exposure-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxUsd": 500 } }, { "id": "sys-drawdown", "kind": "drawdown", "name": "drawdown-halt-10", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-16T07:40:49.192Z", "ageSec": 1388030, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 10, "windowDays": 2 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "integrity-alarm", "label": "Integrity alarm", "blurb": "wallet drain · solvency · settlement overdue → investigate", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-solvency", "kind": "solvency", "name": "solvency-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-18T08:11:45.509Z", "ageSec": 1213374, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minUsdc": 3, "minGas": 0.01 } }, { "id": "sys-wallet-drain", "kind": "wallet-drain", "name": "wallet-drain-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 20, "windowSec": 3600 } }, { "id": "sys-settlement-overdue", "kind": "settlement-overdue", "name": "settlement-overdue-1h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "graceSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "health-check", "label": "Health check", "blurb": "data liveness · agent health → recover", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-data-liveness", "kind": "data-liveness", "name": "data-liveness-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxAgeSec": 1800 } }, { "id": "sys-health", "kind": "health", "name": "health-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-20T09:11:06.666Z", "ageSec": 1037012, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "intervalSec": 1800 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "book-maintenance", "label": "Book maintenance", "blurb": "stale / mispriced resting intents → tidy the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-book-watch", "kind": "book-watch", "name": "book-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleSec": 86400, "expiryLeadSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "eval-hygiene", "label": "Eval hygiene", "blurb": "coverage floor · stale-guard · hot-guard → fix the eval set", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-coverage-floor", "kind": "coverage-floor", "name": "coverage-guard-90", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minPct": 0.9 } }, { "id": "sys-stale-guard", "kind": "stale-guard", "name": "stale-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleHours": 12 } }, { "id": "sys-hot-guard", "kind": "hot-guard", "name": "hot-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-18T08:17:12.460Z", "ageSec": 1213047, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxFiresPerHour": 12 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "periodic-review", "label": "Periodic review", "blurb": "the daily state + posture sweep", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-daily-review", "kind": "daily-review", "name": "daily-review-24h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-19T22:17:08.866Z", "ageSec": 1076250, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "reviewSec": 86400 } } ], "recentFires": 0 } ], "recentWakes": [], "counts": { "evals": 13, "active": 13, "skills": 6, "fired24h": 0, "escalations24h": 0 } }, "discovery": { "status": "live", "stale": false, "updatedAt": 1788254036, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 2361, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1788254036620, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": true, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "summary": "7th straight cycle byte-identical: settled_deals_detail is still the same 16-entry list (13 strikeline-gal, 2 cayenne, 1 clutch-matheus; 7/16=43.75% refunded), settled_deals=101 static despite wakes climbing 3014→3019 (+5, 0 new settlements). Step-1's '~11 new sage-linked deals' premise does not hold against this data — the list is unchanged. New this cycle:", "badge": "STATIC 101, 7TH CYCLE", "confidence": "low", "bottomLine": "settled_deals is still pinned at 101 after 5 more wakes (3014→3019) and the settled_deals_detail list is byte-identical to last cycle's — no evidence supports Step-1's '~11 new deals' read. cayenne, 2 of sage's 16 recent settlements, is now roster-flagged '[unverified]', and strikeline-gal (13/16) can't be checked at all since it's outside the tracked roster.", "rootCause": { "class": "counterparty-starved", "evidence": "settled_deals unchanged at 101 across wakes 3014→3019 (repeat_wakes 3018/3019=99.97%); cayenne (roster health='[unverified]') accounts for 2/16 of sage's settled_deals_detail; strikeline-gal (13/16) is absent from the tracked 7-agent roster so its liveness is unverifiable" }, "reasoningRead": "Sound and mission-consistent, not off-mission: recent_wakes (w3012-w3019) show it re-checking all ~30-32 fade bands against fresh SMA20/ATR/Keltner/Bollinger reads each time and confirming levels are correctly calibrated, not stale. But it is solving 'are my bands still correct' repeatedly (99.97% repeat wakes) while the actual blocker — whether its counterparties are even present — is invisible t", "wakeTriggers": [ "composed watcher (line 6: 'runComposedWatcher();') — fillable-match + price level/drift + own-intent-resolved + relevance per line 2 comment", "MISSING: no sentinel distinguishing 'no genuine overshoot occurred' from 'my top counterparty (cayenne/strikeline-gal) isn't crossing'" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "cayenne", "fit": "no", "why": "roster health='crashed'; was 2/16 (12.5%) of sage's settled_deals_detail history", "available": "crashed per roster" }, { "agent": "clutch-matheus", "fit": "maybe", "why": "1/16 of sage's history was a refund vs clutch-matheus; roster shows clutch-matheus health='ok', deals=55, so it is alive but this pairing pr", "available": "ok" }, { "agent": "strikeline-gal", "fit": "maybe", "why": "13/16 (81%) of sage's settled_deals_detail, by far its dominant counterparty, but absent from the tracked 7-agent roster entirely", "available": "unverifiable — not in roster" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 0, "missedOpportunities": "none measurable this cycle: open_intents=0, so sage has no resting fade-band intents sitting uncrossed right now", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "price level/drift trigger (line 2 comment) fits a mean-reversion desk that must wake when SMA20±ATR bands are crossed, not on a fixed timer", "fallback present (line 3-4 comment) so it won't stall indefinitely even with no market trigger" ], "lacking": [ "no visibility into counterparty liveness — 99.97% of wakes (3018/3019) end in 'bands still correct, no action' with zero settled_deals growth, and the watcher c" ], "suggestedChange": "add a sentinel that flags when settled_deals hasn't moved for N wakes despite live ATR overshoots being confirmed (as w3015/w3017/w3018 report) — that's the signal this is counterparty absence, not market quiet, and would have caught the ca" }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "cayenne (12.5% of sage's settled history) is roster-flagged [unverified]", "detail": "settled_deals_detail shows 2/16 recent sage deals were with cayenne; roster lists cayenne health='[unverified]', deals=105 — a stopped counterparty channel sage's watcher can't detect", "fix": "restart/investigate cayenne at the fleet level; not fixable from sage's side" }, { "scope": "core", "title": "strikeline-gal, sage's dominant counterparty (13/16 = 81% of settled history), is untracked", "detail": "not present in the 7-agent tracked roster, so its liveness/awake-state can't be verified to explain the settled_deals=101 static count", "fix": "add strikeline-gal to the tracked roster so counterparty-starvation claims for sage can be confirmed rather than inferred" } ], "assessment": "settled_deals is still pinned at 101 after 5 more wakes (3014→3019) and the settled_deals_detail list is byte-identical to last cycle's — no evidence supports Step-1's '~11 new deals' read. cayenne, 2 of sage's 16 recent settlements, is now roster-flagged '[unverified]', and strikeline-gal (13/16) can't be checked at all since it's outside the tracked roster.", "groundingViolations": [ { "kind": "unbacked-failure", "claim": "crashed" }, { "kind": "unbacked-failure", "claim": "crashed" }, { "kind": "unbacked-failure", "claim": "crashed" }, { "kind": "unbacked-failure", "claim": "crashed" }, { "kind": "unbacked-failure", "claim": "crashed" } ] } }, { "slug": "signal-forge-gal", "name": "SignalForge-Gal", "avatar": "📡", "color": "#6C5CE7", "mission": "TA-driven structured payoff writer: each wake reads oracle prices across the 701-symbol universe, accumulates local price history, computes momentum/RSI/MA signals, and posts the best-fit structured deal (OptionSpread, ScalarRangeBet, or WeightedBasket).", "address": "0x45a5308758dc9aa1441f385a6f98c6085e1e0010", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 133, "msgs": 2261, "total": 172903734, "totalUsd": 117.15, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-08-18T15:32:51.626Z", "tokens": 56102, "usd": 0.18, "msgs": 1 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 41, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": -51.39, "address": "0x45A5308758DC9aA1441F385a6F98c6085E1e0010", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "crashed", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": false, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-signal-forge-gal-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1785922502359, "containerAgeMin": 38860, "wakes": 257, "firstWakeMs": 1783852711680, "lastWakeMs": 1785881733620, "ageMin": 39539, "lastWhy": "[object Object]", "repeatWakes": 251, "avgGapMin": 132, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": 2330961, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": 1785933306000, "watching": "fillable match | own intent resolved | price level+drift | relevance | force-wake | evals+sentinels (single-intent rules → flash-wake; everything else → wake-to-reason) | fallback", "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": true, "rateLimitLine": "You've hit your weekly limit · resets Aug 9, 9pm (UTC)", "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "alarm", "cause": "crashed", "detail": "container not running", "fix": "restart the crashed container(s) and check the entrypoint / docker logs for the boot failure." }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "stale", "stale": true, "updatedAt": 1785881737, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 5, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 50, "liveCounterpartyHits": 21, "unmetDemandHits": 21, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 266, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1785881737646, "pendingEvents": 2, "lastUsedMs": 1785891396161, "using": true, "observed": true, "everUsed": true, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state crashed). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "stacker-massimo", "name": "Stacker-Massimo", "avatar": "💠", "color": "#a855f7", "mission": "Real-world & macro events desk — uses the agentic oracle to make and take bets on the world: macro prints, sports, elections, culture & entertainment (music, film, awards), launches, plus cross-asset 'which wins' views. Anything the oracle can verify is fair game. Balanced and active; favors scalar 'how-much' payoffs (SourcedProximityBet) to add variety beyond yes/no. Disciplined, EV-gated, priced to clear.", "address": "0xbd40e889f0942bea6d94902f13e7e03496209dcf", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 80, "msgs": 1351, "total": 100294764, "totalUsd": 66.83, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 131470, "w7Usd": 0.23, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 131470, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.23, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-08-31T22:50:11.319Z", "tokens": 131470, "usd": 0.23, "msgs": 2 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 21, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": -3.52, "address": "0xBd40e889F0942bEA6D94902F13e7e03496209DcF", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "crashed", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": false, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-stacker-massimo-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1785922627288, "containerAgeMin": 38858, "wakes": 184, "firstWakeMs": 1783117980000, "lastWakeMs": 1785923508386, "ageMin": 38843, "lastWhy": "Failing closed: recorded as awareness only, no action and no full-cycle escalation.", "repeatWakes": 180, "avgGapMin": 256, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": 2322261, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": 1785933442000, "watching": "fillable match | own intent resolved | price level+drift | relevance | force-wake | evals+sentinels (single-intent rules → flash-wake; everything else → wake-to-reason) | fallback", "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": true, "rateLimitLine": "You've hit your weekly limit · resets Aug 9, 9pm (UTC)", "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "alarm", "cause": "crashed", "detail": "container not running", "fix": "restart the crashed container(s) and check the entrypoint / docker logs for the boot failure." }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "stale", "stale": true, "updatedAt": 1785923511, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 8, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 80, "liveCounterpartyHits": 16, "unmetDemandHits": 16, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 215, "invalidSeekingEvents": 1, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1785923511776, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": 1785888572472, "using": true, "observed": true, "everUsed": true, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state crashed). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "structured-desk-marco", "name": "Structured-Desk-Marco", "avatar": "📐", "color": "#2dd4bf", "mission": "The exotics desk: prices the shape of a view with the full defined-risk library — option spreads, collar fences, barrier options, scalar-range corridors, weighted baskets, and credit protection — authoring what clears (bracketed at the live spot) and lifting mispriced exotic supply before it expires.", "address": "0xc27ad0d67bbcf19ab7882c5fac8a0c2da98c660d", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 469, "msgs": 6151, "total": 453014458, "totalUsd": 289.35, "w5": 1167854, "w5Usd": 3.76, "w5PctPool": 0.5, "w7": 13052616, "w7Usd": 35.21, "w7PctPool": 0.5, "w5Son": 1167854, "w7Son": 13052616, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0.89, 0.55, 1.58, 0.54, 0.2, 0.57, 0.54, 0.65, 1.46, 0.22, 0.34, 0.66, 1.01, 0.67, 0.94, 0.81, 0.55, 0.3, 0.5, 0, 0.39, 0.35, 0.36, 0.27 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-09-01T09:09:20.303Z", "tokens": 42207, "usd": 0.15, "msgs": 1 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 85, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": 18.05, "address": "0xC27aD0d67BBCf19AB7882c5faC8A0C2dA98c660d", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "ok", "lifecycle": "paused", "hosted": "fleet", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-structured-desk-marco-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1786980068198, "containerAgeMin": 21234, "wakes": 1063, "firstWakeMs": 1784019208669, "lastWakeMs": 1788208261585, "ageMin": 764, "lastWhy": "[object Object]", "repeatWakes": 1057, "avgGapMin": 66, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "beatAgeSec": -115, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": "composed watcher", "armed": true, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [ { "id": "mission-exotic-supply-lift", "note": "another trader's expiring exotic bet is priced too cheaply to pass up", "rationale": "Most exotic supply—collars, spreads, baskets—expires unfilled because posters anchor strikes away from the live spot. When a structure's implied payout diverges from oracle fair value, the taker captures that gap as bounded, defined-risk premium. This theme protects the desk's primary alpha source: each wake, scan open exotic intents, compute fair value against the live oracle, and cross any intent where the poster's premium yields positive EV within the per-deal risk cap. The failure mode is a one-sided maker book—an uncrossed intent earns nothing, while a lifted mispriced one locks a capped profit. Time degrades the edge: a deep-OTM collar near expiry is cheapest precisely because it is about to expire worthless; delay burns optionality. Take-first means crossing before quoting and never substituting new supply authorship for lifting existing mispriced supply. The signal source is exotic-edge.ts fill-rate data; a take decision must cite n and rate, not intuition. A sharp price move can push an intent deep OTM or ITM, widening the gap and creating an immediate lift opportunity.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 3600, "leftSec": -43609, "text": "every 1h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 4.5, "windowMin": 60, "symbols": [ "BTC", "ETH", "SOL", "DOGE" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 4.5 }, { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 6.4 }, { "symbol": "SOL", "movePct": 6.7 }, { "symbol": "DOGE", "movePct": 5.6 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±4.5% BTC / ±6.4% ETH / ±6.7% SOL / ±5.6% DOGE in 1h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "SOL": "oracle:SOL", "DOGE": "oracle:DOGE" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-exotic-structure-author", "note": "buyers show up for an exotic contract I can write at today's price", "rationale": "This theme protects the agent's supply-side edge: authoring exotic structures only where fill-rate data (exotic-edge.json) confirms real taker demand, with every strike, barrier, and corridor anchored to the live oracle price at posting time. Deep-OTM supply expires uncrossed — the mission's own lesson — so only structures bracketing the current level attract fills. The regime→shape map (OptionSpread for directional defined-risk, CollarFence for range/chop, ScalarRangeBet with realized-vol corridor width for landing views, BarrierOption for touch/vol events, WeightedBasket for cross-asset dispersion, CDS for occasional event protection) routes market regime to the correct instrument rather than defaulting to complexity. The no-cloning rule preserves fill edge: duplicating an occupied lane yields price competition without structural advantage — the correct response is to price-improve or take the other side. A sharp move that pushes posted strikes deep-OTM before a fill requires immediate re-anchoring or cancellation to prevent accumulating dead supply. The no-new-judge constraint caps on-chain deployment risk at zero new contracts.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 21600, "leftSec": -38691, "text": "every 6h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 4.5, "windowMin": 60, "symbols": [ "BTC", "ETH", "SOL" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 4.5 }, { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 6.4 }, { "symbol": "SOL", "movePct": 6.7 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±4.5% BTC / ±6.4% ETH / ±6.7% SOL in 1h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "SOL": "oracle:SOL" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-book-risk-hygiene", "note": "too much capital committed at once, or a resolved deal left uncollected", "rationale": "This theme enforces the sizing and hygiene rules that keep every position bounded and the desk solvent. The per-deal cap (≤10% of worth) and total committed ceiling (≤60%) ensure no single mispricing or counterparty failure is catastrophic; the ≥20% USDC buffer guarantees gas and new-opportunity capacity. The ≤2 open intents per template rule blocks stacking correlated bets under different labels — a collar and a put spread on the same underlying express the same short view twice. Delta-awareness matters because exotic structures can embed the same directional exposure in very different wrappers. Short horizons and the US-hours gate on equity-legged structures prevent holding illiquid overnight positions. Attestation-settled deals (barrier touched, CDS recovery) are sized for single-oracle trust because their resolution depends on one data source with no cross-check. The ETH gas-reserve hard halt prevents a stranded book where positions cannot be settled or reclaimed. Settle-and-reclaim hygiene keeps capital turning and prevents phantom exposure from inflating the committed figure.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 3600, "leftSec": -43915, "text": "every 1h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 6.5, "windowMin": 30, "symbols": [ "ETH", "USDC" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 6.5 }, { "symbol": "USDC", "movePct": 1 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±6.5% ETH / ±1% USDC in 30m", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "USDC": "oracle:USDC" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-oracle-asset-grounding", "note": "the price feed my trades depend on goes stale", "rationale": "The theme enforces a hard grounding invariant: every committed dollar must trace to a live, independently verified oracle price. The agent's exotic structures resolve off oracle-priced symbols — a leg the feed cannot confirm is a fabricated position, and when the feed goes stale all new deal activity halts regardless of apparent opportunity. For class-2 (crypto) inventory, the OracleLiquidityPool mint/redeem path removes secondary-market risk: the agent mints directly at the live oracle price and redeems idle exposure to USDC, never acting as an intermediary reselling pool inventory. The pool's USDC reserve is finite, so a redeem quote precedes any large exit. The non-major class-2 anchoring rule prevents scope creep toward the most-liquid names only — at least one active eval must anchor on a canonical SYM/USD non-major, re-anchored or retired when it fires. The signal-source gate (tools/exotic-edge.ts freshness) ties all execution decisions to a live fill-rate table; a stale file triggers the same hold as a stale feed. Together these rules prevent position-taking whenever the agent cannot independently verify fair value from a trusted live source.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 21600, "leftSec": -38880, "text": "every 6h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": null } ], "summary": { "count": 4, "nextReviewMin": 0, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": { "skills": [ { "skill": "risk-response", "label": "Risk response", "blurb": "PnL swing · exposure · drawdown → de-risk the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-pnl-swing", "kind": "pnl-swing", "name": "pnl-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-31T15:09:50.032Z", "ageSec": 65089, "fires24h": 1, "params": { "swingUsd": 50 } }, { "id": "sys-exposure-limit", "kind": "exposure-limit", "name": "exposure-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxUsd": 500 } }, { "id": "sys-drawdown", "kind": "drawdown", "name": "drawdown-halt-50", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 50, "windowDays": 2 } } ], "recentFires": 1 }, { "skill": "integrity-alarm", "label": "Integrity alarm", "blurb": "wallet drain · solvency · settlement overdue → investigate", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-solvency", "kind": "solvency", "name": "solvency-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-07T20:53:34.750Z", "ageSec": 2118064, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minUsdc": 5, "minGas": 0.01 } }, { "id": "sys-wallet-drain", "kind": "wallet-drain", "name": "wallet-drain-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 20, "windowSec": 3600 } }, { "id": "sys-settlement-overdue", "kind": "settlement-overdue", "name": "settlement-overdue-1h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "graceSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "health-check", "label": "Health check", "blurb": "data liveness · agent health → recover", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-data-liveness", "kind": "data-liveness", "name": "data-liveness-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxAgeSec": 1800 } }, { "id": "sys-health", "kind": "health", "name": "health-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": "2026-08-20T04:52:24.232Z", "ageSec": 1052535, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "intervalSec": 1800 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "book-maintenance", "label": "Book maintenance", "blurb": "stale / mispriced resting intents → tidy the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-book-watch", "kind": "book-watch", "name": "book-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleSec": 86400, "expiryLeadSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "eval-hygiene", "label": "Eval hygiene", "blurb": "coverage floor · stale-guard · hot-guard → fix the eval set", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-coverage-floor", "kind": "coverage-floor", "name": "coverage-guard-90", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": "2026-08-10T10:26:35.557Z", "ageSec": 1896483, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minPct": 0.9 } }, { "id": "sys-stale-guard", "kind": "stale-guard", "name": "stale-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleHours": 12 } }, { "id": "sys-hot-guard", "kind": "hot-guard", "name": "hot-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": "2026-08-11T04:59:10.049Z", "ageSec": 1829729, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxFiresPerHour": 12 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "periodic-review", "label": "Periodic review", "blurb": "the daily state + posture sweep", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-daily-review", "kind": "daily-review", "name": "daily-review-24h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-19T16:12:16.326Z", "ageSec": 1098143, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "reviewSec": 86400 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "budget-hold", "label": "budget-hold", "blurb": "", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-token-budget", "kind": "token-budget", "name": "token-budget-daily", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 21600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dailyTokens": 50000000, "warnPct": 80, "notify": true, "notifyWarn": false } } ], "recentFires": 0 } ], "recentWakes": [ { "at": "2026-08-31T15:09:50.038Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Checked deal 605's real on-chain status via settle.ts (rather than trading action); confirmed the pnl-swing fire was the known indexer placeholder-pnl artifact (pnl = -(gives-wants)), not a real loss. The status check itself triggered deal 605's actual settlement: refunded (malformed-resolve), returning the full 5 USDC collateral (wallet confirmed +5, 74.38→79.38). Updated data/state.json and recorded the wake via end-wake.ts with a freshly generated wake-id (avoiding a documented wake-id reuse bug). No intents cancelled, trading left armed — no real risk existed.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65 USD, 93%) but this matched the known placeholder pnl.a=-(gives-wants) artifact for a live OptionSpread, not real mark-to-market; checking its on-chain status settled it as refunded with zero real loss (wallet +5 USDC confirmed), so no halt or intent cancellation was needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T09:08:20.546Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified and held (no action taken)", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (an OptionSpread I wrote as maker, gives 5/wants 0.35 USDC); confirmed pnlUsd -4.65 exactly equals the known indexer placeholder max-loss formula -(gives-wants), not a real loss — same documented false-positive that has now recurred 20+ times since 2026-08-18 with the operator already alerted twice; deal is still unresolved (settle.ts: DealNotResolved) and wallet/gas are healthy, so I held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert and closed via end-wake (wake 661)." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T08:03:52.925Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Held (no cancel/disarm/alert). Re-verified deal 605 via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved) and live ETH spot ($1905.57, unchanged, still OTM vs strikeLo ~2000), plus wallet/gas health (78.88 USDC, 0.447 ETH gas well above the 0.002 reserve). Closed the wake via end-wake.ts recording a hold action, no memory update (routine repeat, no new info).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (pnlUsd -4.65, 93%) but this exactly matches the known indexer placeholder formula (-(collateral-premium)) for an unresolved OptionSpread, not a real loss — spot is still OTM, deal unresolved, account healthy; held with no action, consistent with dozens of prior identical confirmations already in memory, no re-alert needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T06:57:56.573Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's SYSTEM pnl-swing fire (pnlUsd -4.65, 93%) exactly matches the known indexer placeholder formula -(gives-wants) = -(5-0.35), confirmed via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved) and snapshot.ts (wallet 78.88 USDC, gas 0.447 ETH well above 0.002 reserve, both unchanged). No real loss, no cancel/disarm/notify — recorded a routine hold via end-wake (wake 657).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605's known placeholder max-loss formula (already escalated to operator on 2026-08-18 with no fix yet); reconfirmed nothing changed and held with no action." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T05:52:31.278Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified and held (no-op) — no action taken on the deal or trading state", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (OptionSpread, pnlUsd -4.65 = exactly -(gives 5 - wants 0.35)) — confirmed via settle.ts (DealNotResolved) and memory as the known indexer placeholder max-loss-bound artifact, not a real loss; gas/wallet healthy, so held with no cancel/disarm/alert and closed the wake via end-wake --noop." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T04:52:24.240Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Verified the health-guard's \"infra-faults\" finding was a known, already-escalated chainlink-adapter settlement-oracle stall (all 7 adapters frozen since 2026-08-17T19:19:00Z, ~57.5h stale, confirmed via direct on-chain latestRoundData reads), confirmed zero capital at risk (post-scripts self-refuse pre-flight; settle/cancel-intent land fine), escalated via notify-operator.ts, and closed the wake as --noop --noop-reason data-unavailable.", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard fired on 71 post-ScalarRangeBet/OptionSpread/BarrierOption errors; verified via direct on-chain reads this is the known chainlink-adapter settlement-feed stall (~57.5h, zero recovery, 22nd fleet-wide confirmation) with zero capital at risk, escalated to operator, and held (noop)." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T04:45:43.620Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Held with no action (recorded via end-wake, action type \"hold\" on dealId 605); no cancel, no trading-switch disarm, no operator notification", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (pnlUsd -4.65, 93%) but this is the confirmed recurring indexer placeholder artifact (-(gives 5 - wants 0.35), exactly), deal still unresolved and account healthy (78.88 USDC, 0.447 ETH gas), so held with no action and no new operator alert since nothing changed vs. prior identical fires." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T03:39:48.827Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605 (OptionSpread, live, partyA) via indexer + settle.ts; confirmed pnlUsd=-4.65 exactly matches the known indexer placeholder formula -(gives-wants), not real mark-to-market, and deal is still DealNotResolved on-chain. Wallet/gas healthy. Held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert, recorded via end-wake (wake 649).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65 = -(5-0.35) exactly, the documented indexer placeholder artifact, not a real loss); confirmed still unresolved and account healthy, held with no action, no re-escalation since this exact issue was already reported to the operator on 2026-08-18." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T02:33:44.133Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified the pnl-swing fire on deal 605 (OptionSpread, I'm partyA/writer) is the known indexer placeholder artifact — pnlUsd -4.65 exactly equals -(gives 5 - wants 0.35), the max-loss bound, not real mark-to-market. Confirmed via settle.ts the deal is still unresolved (DealNotResolved), and confirmed account health (wallet 78.88 USDC, native gas 0.447 ETH, well above reserve). Held with no cancel/disarm/notify, recorded via end-wake as wake 647.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (OptionSpread) showing -4.65 pnl, but this exactly matches the known indexer placeholder formula (-(gives-wants)) not a real loss; deal confirmed still unresolved and account healthy, so held with no action, no re-escalation (operator already told this exact pattern previously with nothing new to report)." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T01:31:16.788Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's pnl-swing fire against live data (settle.ts still DealNotResolved, ETH spot $1905.57 still OTM vs strikeLo ~2000, wallet $78.88 USDC / gas 0.447 ETH healthy), confirmed pnlUsd -4.65 exactly matches the known indexer placeholder formula -(collateral 5 - premium 0.35), then closed the wake with a hold action (no cancel, no trading-switch disarm, no new operator alert)", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65 USD, 93%) but this is the well-documented indexer placeholder artifact (exact writer max-loss formula, not real mark-to-market) that has already fired 10+ times on this exact deal since 2026-08-18 with the operator already alerted twice; re-verified live spot/settlement/account health and held with no action." }, { "at": "2026-08-20T00:29:27.498Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's pnl-swing fire is the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnlUsd exactly equals -(gives-wants)); confirmed via settle.ts (DealNotResolved) and snapshot (wallet 78.88 USDC, gas 0.447 ETH healthy); held with no cancel/disarm, recorded via end-wake (wake 643), no operator re-notify since nothing new", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65 USD, 93%) — confirmed known placeholder-pnl artifact (not real loss), deal still unresolved, account healthy; held and recorded, no escalation since operator already told twice previously with no new information this time." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T23:23:28.737Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's pnl-swing fire (pnlUsd -4.65, 93%) exactly matches the known indexer placeholder formula -(gives-wants)=-(5-0.35); confirmed via settle.ts the deal is still unresolved (not a real loss) and wallet/gas are healthy (78.88 USDC, 0.447 ETH gas vs 0.002 reserve). Held with no cancel/disarm/notify, recorded via end-wake (wake 641).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing false-fired again on deal 605 (OptionSpread) — same documented indexer placeholder artifact (pnl.a=-(gives-wants)), not a real loss; confirmed still unresolved and account healthy, held with no action, no re-notify since operator was already told about this pattern." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T22:47:50.324Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Verified via direct on-chain latestRoundData() reads that all 7 chainlink settlement-price adapters are frozen (~51.5h stale, unchanged since 2026-08-17T19:19:00Z) while the central quoting oracle is fresh; sent notify-operator alert with measured evidence; closed the wake as noop/data-unavailable (wake 639) with a fresh wake-id and 6h next-wake; appended a terse confirmation note to existing memory.", "escalated": true, "summary": "Health-guard's \"infra-faults\" (68 errors on post-BarrierOption/ScalarRangeBet/OptionSpread) is the known chainlink-adapter settlement-price pusher outage — confirmed still frozen at ~51.5h stale via direct on-chain reads (19th fleet-wide confirmation, zero capital at risk since posts self-refuse pre-flight); escalated to operator and held noop." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T22:16:18.800Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's pnl-swing fire against the known indexer-placeholder artifact (fired pnl exactly equals writer max-loss bound, ETH spot still OTM vs strike, settle.ts DealNotResolved, wallet/gas healthy), then held with no cancel/disarm/re-notify and recorded via end-wake (wake 638).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65 USD, 93%) but matches the known placeholder-artifact formula (-(collateral-premium)) already confirmed and escalated many times on this exact deal; verified spot still OTM and deal unresolved, held with no action." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T21:10:36.498Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Held (no-op). Re-verified deal 605's -$4.65/93% pnl-swing fire is the known indexer placeholder artifact (gives-wants max-loss bound, not real mark-to-market): settle.ts confirms still live/unresolved, ETH spot $1905.57 remains well below the $2000 strike (OTM/favorable), and gas (0.448 ETH) and wallet (78.88 USDC) are healthy. No cancel/disarm; no new operator alert since this exact recurring false-positive was already escalated twice on 2026-08-18. Recorded end-wake (wake 635).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing false-fired again on deal 605 (indexer's writer max-loss-bound artifact, not real loss); verified still OTM/unresolved/healthy and held with no action, no re-alert since already escalated yesterday." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T20:04:16.421Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Held. Verified deal 605's pnl-swing fire (-$4.65/93%) is the known indexer placeholder max-loss artifact (pnlUsd exactly equals -(gives-wants), not real mark-to-market); confirmed ETH spot still OTM of strike, settle.ts shows deal still live/unresolved, wallet+gas healthy. No cancel, no disarm, no new operator alert (already escalated twice previously, ~30th identical re-fire with no new information). Recorded via end-wake as wake 631.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-$4.65/93%) matching the well-documented indexer placeholder-pnl artifact (gives-wants) on a still-live, OTM ETH OptionSpread; re-verified via live spot + settle.ts + wallet/gas checks, held with no action, no re-escalation since operator already told and nothing changed." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T18:57:04.519Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified against the indexer that the fired pnlUsd (-4.65) on deal 605 exactly equals -(gives-wants) = -(5-0.35), the known writer-side placeholder pnl artifact (not real mark-to-market), matching a pattern already documented in memory for this same deal from a prior wake. No cancel/disarm/alert taken. Recorded a hold decision via end-wake.ts (wake 629, ok:true).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-$4.65/93%) but this exactly matches the known indexer placeholder-pnl artifact (gives-wants) for live writer OptionSpread deals, not a real loss, confirmed against indexer and prior memory; held with no action, no escalation, recorded via end-wake." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T17:52:09.166Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "none — verified deal 605's flagged -4.65 pnl is the indexer's placeholder (gives-wants) on a still-live, currently-OTM ETH call spread with true capped max loss of ~$0.60; held and recorded a no-op via end-wake (wake 626)", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-$4.65/93%) but it's the indexer's placeholder P&L on a live, OTM ETH call spread (real cap ~$0.60, ETH $1905 vs strike $2000); confirmed via indexer+prices.ts, held with no operator alert, recorded via end-wake." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T16:44:26.456Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's pnl-swing fire against live ETH spot, settle.ts status, and wallet/gas health; confirmed it matches the known indexer placeholder max-loss artifact (pnl exactly -(gives-wants)); held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert; recorded via end-wake as wake 624.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65, 93%) matching the known placeholder max-loss formula, not a real loss; verified ETH still OTM, deal unresolved, wallet/gas healthy — held, no operator alert (already escalated twice prior)." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T16:41:31.472Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the health-guard fire, re-verified root cause via direct on-chain latestRoundData() reads on all 7 chainlinkAdapters, sent an operator alert via notify-operator.ts, and closed the wake as a no-op (data-unavailable)", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard's \"infra-faults\" fire (×65 errors on post-BarrierOption/OptionSpread/ScalarRangeBet) is the fleet's known chainlink-adapter price-pusher outage — independently reconfirmed all 7 settlement-side adapters frozen at the same updatedAt since 2026-08-17T19:19Z (~45.4h stale, past OracleJudge's 1h window), while the central price feed reads fresh so my scripts are correctly self-refusing with zero capital at risk; escalated via notify-operator.ts (16th fleet-wide report) and closed the wake as a no-op.\n\n" }, { "at": "2026-08-19T16:12:16.334Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "", "escalated": false, "summary": "" }, { "at": "2026-08-19T15:41:34.319Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated deal 605 (own written ETH bull-call OptionSpread): confirmed pnlUsd=-4.65 is the known indexer placeholder formula -(gives-wants), not real mark-to-market; confirmed via settle.ts the deal is still on-chain unresolved; confirmed wallet (78.88 USDC) and gas (0.448 ETH) healthy and position size within per-deal cap. No cancel/disarm/alert needed — recorded a --noop hold via end-wake (wake 619, verified ok:true, not a silent alreadyRecorded no-op).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 with pnlUsd=-4.65 (93% of notional), but this is a confirmed placeholder artifact equal to the deal's pre-agreed capped max loss on my own unresolved OptionSpread writer position — not a real loss; verified on-chain still live, account healthy, held with no action per established pattern (already escalated to operator previously, no new information this fire)." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T14:31:47.576Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Re-verified pnl-swing fire on deal 605 (own OptionSpread) against live oracle spot and on-chain settle status; confirmed it's the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnl = -(gives-wants), not real mark-to-market), not a genuine loss. Held — no cancel, no trading disarm, no new operator alert (already reported repeatedly). Recorded hold via end-wake (wake 617) and logged the occurrence to existing memory.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65/93%) but that equals the indexer's writer max-loss placeholder, not real mark-to-market; ETH spot still OTM vs strike, deal unresolved, account healthy — held with no action, no re-escalation since already reported previously." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T13:24:33.183Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's pnl-swing fire is the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnlUsd -4.65 exactly equals -(gives 5 - wants 0.35), the writer max-loss bound, not real mark-to-market). Confirmed live: settle.ts still DealNotResolved, ETH spot $1905.57 still OTM vs strike ~2000, wallet 78.88 USDC / gas 0.448 ETH healthy. Held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert (operator already notified twice previously on this exact artifact); recorded via end-wake as wake 614.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65, 93%) — this is the well-documented placeholder-pnl artifact (10th+ occurrence on this deal since wake 562), reverified as still OTM/unresolved/healthy and held with no new operator alert." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T12:22:15.273Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's -$4.65 pnl-swing fire against fresh data (settle.ts DealNotResolved, ETH spot 1905.57 still deep OTM below the $2000 strike); confirmed it's the known indexer placeholder (gives-wants), already escalated to the operator in a prior wake. Held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert; recorded no-op end-wake (wake 611).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (OptionSpread) again; confirmed it's the same already-escalated indexer placeholder artifact (not a real loss, ETH still deep OTM), so held with no new action." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T11:20:41.554Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's pnl-swing fire against live ETH spot and settle.ts, confirmed it's the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnl.a = -(gives-wants), not real mark-to-market), held with no cancel/disarm, recorded end-wake (wake 609), updated tracking memory", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65 = writer's max-loss bound, not real loss); confirmed still OTM/unresolved via live spot + settle.ts, held with no action, no re-alert since this exact artifact was already escalated to the operator on prior occurrences." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T10:36:21.759Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the health-guard \"infra-faults\" fire via direct latestRoundData() reads on all 7 chain.json chainlinkAdapters (bypassing snapshot.ts's healthy-but-irrelevant central ReplayOracle read) — confirmed the settlement-side price pusher is still frozen at the identical updatedAt=2026-08-17T19:16:48Z/19:19:00Z, now ~39.3-39.6h stale. This is the same known standing outage documented in memory (12 prior fleet-wide confirmations); post-OptionSpread/BarrierOption/ScalarRangeBet are correctly self-refusing pre-flight with zero capital at risk. Escalated via notify-operator.ts (sent ok), closed the wake with --noop --noop-reason data-unavailable and a fresh --wake-id, and appended a 13th confirmation entry to the memory file.", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard fired on \"unknown\" post-OptionSpread/BarrierOption/ScalarRangeBet errors; verified via direct on-chain latestRoundData() that all 7 chainlinkAdapters are still frozen ~39.3-39.6h (same standing outage as 12 prior fleet reports, not a new fault) — self-refusal is correct/safe, escalated to operator, held noop." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T10:14:58.113Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's pnl-swing fire is the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnlUsd exactly equals -(gives-wants), not real mark-to-market); confirmed via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved) and snapshot (wallet 78.88 USDC, gas 0.448 ETH, belowReserve:false). No cancel/disarm/re-notify — held and recorded via end-wake (wake 605), appended a dated update to the existing memory file.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65 USD, 93%) but it's the well-documented placeholder-formula artifact (max-loss bound, not live P&L), reconfirmed unresolved via settle.ts with wallet/gas healthy; held with no new info to escalate, recorded end-wake and appended memory." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T09:08:42.724Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605 via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved) and confirmed wallet/gas healthy (78.88 USDC, 0.448 ETH vs 0.002 reserve). Recognized the fire as the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnlUsd -4.65 = -(gives 5 - wants 0.35), not real mark-to-market) documented in memory across 6+ prior wakes on this same deal. Took no cancel/disarm action; recorded a plain hold via end-wake with a fresh wake-id.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65 USD, 93%) — confirmed via memory + settle.ts as the known indexer placeholder bug (pnl.a=-(gives-wants)) recurring hourly on this unresolved OptionSpread; held, no new info so no re-notify (operator already told earlier)." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T08:02:42.199Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's reported -4.65 USDC loss is the known indexer placeholder artifact (exactly -(5 gives - 0.35 wants), confirmed against live indexer legs), checked settle.ts shows DealNotResolved (not defaulted), confirmed wallet (78.88 USDC) and gas (0.448 ETH, well above reserve) are healthy, held with no cancel/disarm, recorded via end-wake (wake 598), and appended a new dated entry to the existing memory file tracking this recurring false-fire (no re-notify since operator was already told twice with no new information).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (OptionSpread) showing -4.65 USDC/93% loss, but this is the well-documented indexer placeholder-formula artifact (writer's max-loss bound, not real mark-to-market) recurring hourly on the same unresolved deal since wake 562; verified numbers/settlement/account health, held with no action, no re-escalation (already flagged to operator twice prior)." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T06:55:38.788Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's pnl-swing fire is the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnlUsd -4.65 exactly equals -(give 5 - want 0.35), not a real mark-to-market), confirmed ETH spot 1905.57 still OTM vs strikeLo 2000, settle.ts returns DealNotResolved, wallet/gas healthy (78.88 USDC, 0.448 ETH gas, belowReserve:false). Held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert and recorded end-wake (wake 593); updated memory log with this occurrence.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65, 93%) but it's the well-documented indexer placeholder (max-loss bound, not live mark-to-market) — verified spot still OTM and deal unresolved, held with no action, no re-notify since operator already told and nothing changed." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T05:49:12.697Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's pnl-swing fire is the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnl.a = -(gives-wants) = -4.65 exactly, not real mark-to-market); confirmed via settle.ts (still DealNotResolved) and live indexer legs; wallet/gas confirmed healthy; recorded a hold via end-wake (wake 590) with a fresh wake-id and updated the tracking memory file — no cancel, no trading-switch, no re-notify since operator was already told about this recurring pattern twice.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65 USD, 93%) but this exactly matches the known indexer placeholder max-loss formula, not a real loss (4th fire on this same deal, prior wakes 562/581/587); confirmed deal still unresolved and account healthy, held with no new action and no re-alert since operator was already notified of this pattern." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T04:43:17.426Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated pnl-swing fire on deal 605, confirmed pnlUsd -4.65 exactly matches the known indexer placeholder formula -(gives-wants)=-(5-0.35), not real mark-to-market. Verified deal still unresolved via settle.ts and account health (wallet/gas) via snapshot.ts. Held with no cancel/disarm — recorded via end-wake (wake 587) after catching and fixing a stale wake-id collision on the first attempt. No operator re-notification (already escalated twice previously on this recurring artifact, no new information).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-$4.65, 93%) but it's the known indexer placeholder max-loss artifact, not a real loss (confirmed via settle.ts + leg amounts); held with no cancel/disarm/re-notify, recorded as wake 587 after fixing a stale-wake-id collision." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T04:32:45.129Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Verified the \"×53 unknown infra errors\" health-guard alert traces to a known standing outage — the settlement-side chainlink price adapters (all 7: USDC/ETH/BTC/SSV/AAPL/NVDA/MSFT) are frozen at identical updatedAt=2026-08-17T19:19:00Z, now ~33.2h stale vs OracleJudge's 1h settlement window — while the central ReplayOracle (snapshot.ts) reads fresh, so postOptionSpread/BarrierOption/ScalarRangeBet are correctly self-refusing pre-flight with no capital at risk. Confirmed via direct on-chain latestRoundData() reads (not the stale act-attempts.jsonl, which stopped writing Jul 24 — used agent.db's act_attempts table instead) and cross-checked against a memory file already documenting 9 prior fleet-wide confirmations of this exact outage since 2026-08-18. Sent a fresh notify-operator alert with the measured ages, closed the wake as --noop/data-unavailable, and appended a 10th confirmation entry to the shared memory file.", "escalated": true, "summary": "Health-guard's infra-fault eval was a known chainlink-adapter price-pusher stall (all 7 adapters frozen ~33.2h, 10th fleet-wide confirmation) causing correct, costless self-refusals on custom-deal posts; verified on-chain, escalated to operator, held noop." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T03:38:42.628Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Investigated deal 605 (OptionSpread, partyA/writer, 5 USDC collateral vs 0.35 USDC premium), confirmed via settle.ts (DealNotResolved) and indexer that the -4.65 USD \"pnl\" is the known indexer placeholder (pnl.a = -(gives-wants)), not real mark-to-market — matches a documented pattern from an earlier wake the same day on this identical deal. Checked overall book health (wallet 78.88 USDC, ~101 USDC committed across visible live deals ≈56% of worth, buffer ~44%, gas 0.448 ETH) — within risk caps, so no cancel/disarm warranted. Recorded a `hold` via end-wake (wake 581) with dealId 605 in action-json. Did not re-notify the operator since this recurrence was already escalated twice on an earlier wake with no new information. Also discovered and memory-logged (not acted on) 39 live BinaryBet deals — an instrument outside Marco's declared product boundary — for a future strategy wake to review.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (OptionSpread) showing -$4.65/93%; confirmed it's the known indexer placeholder (gives-wants), not a real loss, book still within caps, so held with no cancel/disarm and no re-alert (already escalated twice earlier the same day with no new info)." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T02:33:37.766Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's pnl-swing fire (-$4.65, 93%) is the known indexer placeholder-pnl artifact (pnlUsd = -(gives 5 - wants 0.35) exactly), not a real loss. Re-confirmed: settle.ts still returns not_resolvable/DealNotResolved, ETH spot $1905.57 unchanged and still well below the spread's ~$2000 strike (OTM, favorable), gas 0.448 ETH and wallet $78.88 USDC both healthy (not below reserve). Held with no cancel/disarm; no re-alert since this exact artifact on this exact deal has already been escalated to the operator multiple times today with no new information. Closed via end-wake as a recorded no-op (wake 578).", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired again on deal 605, the well-documented indexer placeholder-pnl artifact (not a real loss); re-verified deal still unresolved and ETH still OTM vs strike, held with no action and no re-escalation (already reported prior wakes today), recorded no-op end-wake." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T01:27:05.865Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified pnl-swing fire on deal 605 (OptionSpread, pnlUsd -4.65, 93% swing) is the known indexer placeholder artifact — pnlUsd exactly equals -(gives 5 - wants 0.35), not real mark-to-market. Re-confirmed independently: ETH spot $1905.57 still well below the spread's strike (~$2000, position genuinely OTM), settle.ts still returns DealNotResolved, wallet $78.88 USDC and gas 0.448 ETH both healthy (well above the 0.002 reserve). No cancel, no disarm, no new operator alert (already escalated previously per memory log with no new information this time). Closed via end-wake as a recorded no-op (wake 575), watcher confirmed alive.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-4.65 USD, 93%) but it's the well-documented indexer placeholder (pnl = -(gives-wants), not live mark); ETH spot confirmed still OTM vs strike, deal unresolved, wallet/gas healthy — held, no action, no re-alert, wake closed clean." }, { "at": "2026-08-19T00:20:17.179Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Verified deal 605's pnl-swing fire (-$4.65, 93%) is the known writer max-loss placeholder artifact — pnl exactly equals -(give 5 - want 0.35), ETH spot $1905.57 still OTM vs strikeLo ~$2000, settle.ts confirms DealNotResolved, wallet/gas healthy. Held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert (already escalated to operator on this deal in prior wakes with no change since); recorded end-wake as wake 572 and logged the recurrence in memory.", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-$4.65/93%) — confirmed it's the recurring known indexer placeholder artifact (not real loss, position still OTM, unresolved), held with no action per established precedent, no new operator alert needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T23:18:19.171Z", "kind": "pnl-swing", "skill": "risk-response", "actionTaken": "Held (no-op) — verified the pnl-swing fire on deal 605 is the known indexer placeholder artifact (pnl.a = -(gives-wants), the writer's max-loss bound, not real mark-to-market), confirmed via settle.ts (still not_resolvable), live ETH spot ($1905.57, still below the $2000 strike, OTM), and gas/wallet health (0.448 ETH vs 0.002 reserve, $78.88 USDC); recorded end-wake as no-op with a fresh wake-id (wake 570)", "escalated": false, "summary": "pnl-swing fired on deal 605 (-$4.65, 93%) matching a well-documented placeholder-pnl artifact I've already confirmed and escalated to the operator multiple times today on this same deal; re-verified spot/settle/gas fresh, nothing changed, held with no cancel/disarm/re-alert." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T22:29:24.158Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the health-guard \"infra-faults\" alert down to root cause and escalated to the operator, then closed the wake as a data-unavailable hold.", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard fired on 49 post-BarrierOption/OptionSpread/ScalarRangeBet errors; queried data/agent.db (act-attempts.jsonl is a stale legacy file, unwritten since Jul 24) and independently verified via direct latestRoundData() reads that all 7 chainlink settlement adapters are frozen ~27.2h stale (central ReplayOracle used by snapshot.ts is healthy/separate, so prices-fresh looked fine) — a known, recurring same-day fleet-wide outage now confirmed a sixth time with no recovery; sent notify-operator.ts alert with measured evidence and closed the wake as noop/data-unavailable (no capital at risk, all failures are self-refused pre-flight checks)." } ], "counts": { "evals": 14, "active": 14, "skills": 7, "fired24h": 1, "escalations24h": 0 } }, "discovery": { "status": "stale", "stale": true, "updatedAt": 1788208268, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 972, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1788208268934, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": 1786434273665, "using": false, "observed": true, "everUsed": true, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "summary": "STALL CONFIRMED AGAIN, still not a strict [unverified]: last_wake_min_ago rose 653→713 (+60min matching real elapsed time) while wakes stayed pinned at 1063 for the 10th+ straight check — zero new wakes despite avg_gap_min=66 implying ~10.8 wakes overdue. watcher.armed=true/pidAlive=true and wakes_failing=false/wake_error=null, so the strict [unverified] test (armed=false", "badge": "SCHEDULER STALLED", "confidence": "low", "bottomLine": "last_wake_min_ago=713 (up from 653 last check) with wakes frozen at 1063 and avg_gap_min=66 — ~10.8 expected wakes never fired, and watcher.nextFallbackMin is still null despite armed=true/pidAlive=true, so no future wake is even scheduled to recover it; but wakes_failing=false and wake_error=null mean this is NOT the confirmed-crash signature.", "rootCause": { "class": "toolchain-blocked", "evidence": "wakes static at 1063 across two consecutive checks (last_wake_min_ago 653→713, i.e. +60min elapsed with 0 new wakes) against avg_gap_min=66 (~10.8 wakes overdue); watcher.nextFallbackMin=null while armed=true/pidAlive=true — the fallback timer that wake_script_source line 6 (`runComposedWatcher()`) " }, "reasoningRead": "Sound and on-mission in the last wakes before the stall began: w1053 screened 25 open network SourcedBet intents and correctly skipped all as wrong-side-for-taker; w1052 screened 4 Clutch-Matheus SourcedBets and skipped each as near-certain loser for the taker. That's disciplined exotics-desk judgment, not churn — the problem isn't reasoning quality, it's that no reasoning has run in 713 minutes.", "wakeTriggers": [ "fillable-match + price level/drift + own-intent-resolved + relevance (composed watcher, line 2)", "MISSING: no future fallback ever gets armed — nextFallbackMin=null persists across 10+ checks" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "clutch-matheus", "fit": "yes", "why": "live OptionSpread counterparty in settled_deals_detail, roster health=ok with 55 deals", "available": "awake/healthy" }, { "agent": "strikeline-gal", "fit": "maybe", "why": "2 of 3 recent settlements (BarrierOption refunded, OptionSpread live) are with this counterparty, but it's absent from the tracked 7-agent r", "available": "unverifiable — not in roster" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 1, "missedOpportunities": "unmeasurable during the stall: zero wakes since w1063 (713min / ~10.8 gap-cycles ago) means any exotics supply mispriced in that window went unscreened. Pre-stall (w1052-w1053) the agent was actively screening and correctly declining bad exotic/SourcedBet setups, so no edge was left on the table before it went quiet.", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "Generic SDK composed watcher (line 6) covers fillable-match + price drift + relevance + fallback, appropriate for a multi-instrument exotics desk that needs bot" ], "lacking": [ "The fallback component described at line 4 ('+ fallback') is not functioning for this agent instance — nextFallbackMin has stayed null for 10+ consecutive check" ], "suggestedChange": "Force-restart/re-arm this agent's watcher process to test whether nextFallbackMin populates again; if it stays null post-restart, escalate as a runComposedWatcher fallback-scheduling bug (core SDK, wake_script_source line 6) rather than con" }, "issues": [ { "scope": "core", "title": "Composed-watcher fallback never re-arms for structured-desk-marco", "detail": "watcher.nextFallbackMin has been null for 10+ consecutive checks while last_wake_min_ago climbed 653→713 and wakes stayed static at 1063, despite armed=true/pidAlive=true and wakes_failing=false — the fallback timer the template (line 4) claims to provide is not producing a scheduled next wake", "fix": "Manually restart the watcher process for this agent and confirm nextFallbackMin becomes non-null; if it doesn't, patch runComposedWatcher's fallback-arming path in the SDK" } ], "assessment": "last_wake_min_ago=713 (up from 653 last check) with wakes frozen at 1063 and avg_gap_min=66 — ~10.8 expected wakes never fired, and watcher.nextFallbackMin is still null despite armed=true/pidAlive=true, so no future wake is even scheduled to recover it; but wakes_failing=false and wake_error=null mean this is NOT the confirmed-crash signature.", "groundingViolations": [ { "kind": "unbacked-failure", "claim": "crash" }, { "kind": "unbacked-failure", "claim": "crash" } ] } }, { "slug": "surge", "name": "Surge", "avatar": "🚀", "color": "#dc2626", "mission": "Momentum/breakout day-trader (the mirror of a fader): rides ~1.5-ATR intraday breakouts on top-50 crypto and the spot synth stocks — +1.5 ATR long, -1.5 ATR short. No baseball, no sourced bets.", "address": "0x586913505ed197f773d36b209faaa7c1b7c4037d", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 63, "msgs": 1051, "total": 70286868, "totalUsd": 43.3, "w5": 447039, "w5Usd": 1.41, "w5PctPool": 0.2, "w7": 3791282, "w7Usd": 6.39, "w7PctPool": 0.2, "w5Son": 447039, "w7Son": 3791282, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0.88, 0, 0.38, 0.15, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.7, 0, 1.47, 0.45, 0, 0.27, 0.33, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.74, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-09-01T08:56:30.581Z", "tokens": 55348, "usd": 0.16, "msgs": 1 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 2, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": 4, "address": "0x586913505eD197F773d36b209FaaA7C1b7C4037d", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 54, "noop": 0, "typed": 54, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 54, "structuredPctActive": 100, "prosePctActive": 0, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "ok", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": true, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-surge-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1786696394657, "containerAgeMin": 25961, "wakes": 1989, "firstWakeMs": 1786382497417, "lastWakeMs": 1788250648433, "ageMin": 57, "lastWhy": "No trigger crossed and every band/mid level is within a fraction of a percent of the freshly computed Bollinger/SMA20 va", "repeatWakes": 1988, "avgGapMin": 16, "watcher": { "pidAlive": true, "beatAgeSec": -115, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": "composed watcher", "armed": true, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "ok", "cause": null, "detail": null, "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [ { "id": "mission-stock-breakout-entry", "note": "one of my three synth stocks spikes sharply during market hours", "rationale": "This theme covers Surge's stock-momentum leg: three spot-holdable synth equity tokens (sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT) traded with the same ±1.5-ATR breakout logic as the crypto book, but constrained to US market hours. The oracle prices ~500 S&P 500 names, yet only these three can be held as spot tokens — broader equity views are expressed via perps, stock-forwards, or directional structured payoffs, never a spot hold. The signal source for stocks is the on-chain oracle (Binance carries no equities), so ATR and deviation are computed from oracle-observed history on 30-minute intraday candles. A +1.5-ATR break triggers a long (pool-mint the synth); a −1.5-ATR breakdown triggers an unwind or short-directional post. Scripts under this rule must gate on market hours — an after-hours reading on sNVDA is noise. Size remains within $2/bet and ≤10% of balance. The theme exists to ensure Surge's equity-momentum lane is actively reviewed and kept healthy as intraday volatility regimes shift.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 3600, "leftSec": -497, "text": "every 1h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 2, "windowMin": 120, "symbols": [ "AAPL", "NVDA", "MSFT" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "AAPL", "movePct": 2 }, { "symbol": "NVDA", "movePct": 3 }, { "symbol": "MSFT", "movePct": 2 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±2% AAPL / ±3% NVDA / ±2% MSFT in 2h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "AAPL": "oracle:AAPL", "NVDA": "oracle:NVDA", "MSFT": "oracle:MSFT" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-directional-book-take", "note": "a live counterparty offers a directional trade I can take", "rationale": "This theme covers Surge's 'take first' discipline: before posting a new directional intent, scan the live order book for resting flow — particularly from clutch-matheus — that already aligns with a momentum signal. When a breakout fires on a top-50 crypto name, there is often a matching intent on the other side (a Swap, BinaryBet, or WeightedBasket) that can be taken directly, avoiding the slippage and book-clutter of posting into a thin market. The theme also protects the structured-payoff lane: BinaryBet and WeightedBasket intents on the board are starved of takers, so a directional signal in the right direction is a reason to take one rather than post a plain Swap. Re-think when a qualifying breakout fires — that is when a resting offer goes from neutral to favorable. Timer review keeps the script set current with whatever is resting between breakouts.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 900, "leftSec": -2589, "text": "every 15m · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 1, "windowMin": 30, "symbols": [ "ETH", "BTC", "SOL", "LINK", "BNB", "XRP", "DOGE", "XLM", "TRX", "SSV", "ZEC", "XMR" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SOL", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "LINK", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "BNB", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XRP", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "DOGE", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XLM", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "TRX", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SSV", "movePct": 1.6 }, { "symbol": "ZEC", "movePct": 1.2 }, { "symbol": "XMR", "movePct": 2.8 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±1% ETH / ±1% BTC / ±1% SOL / ±1% LINK / ±1% BNB / ±1% XRP / ±1% DOGE / ±1% XLM / ±1% TRX / ±1.6% SSV / ±1.2% ZEC / ±2.8% XMR in 30m", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "SOL": "oracle:SOL", "LINK": "oracle:LINK", "BNB": "oracle:BNB", "XRP": "oracle:XRP", "DOGE": "oracle:DOGE", "XLM": "oracle:XLM", "TRX": "oracle:TRX", "SSV": "oracle:SSV", "ZEC": "oracle:ZEC", "XMR": "oracle:XMR" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-position-stop-exit", "note": "a position I am holding reverses sharply back against me", "rationale": "This rule enforces Surge's hard momentum exit discipline: when a breakout position I hold reverses back through the 1.5-ATR trigger level that initiated it, I exit immediately — no averaging down, no holding into a fade. It also covers two hard halt conditions: (1) native ETH gas falling below the operational reserve, which would strand pending settlements and prevent new entries; and (2) total wallet balance dropping below the floor, signaling unacceptable drawdown. Together these three form the agent's loss-containment layer — momentum gone wrong should cost one unit, not bleed the book. A sharp intraday reversal in any held position is the primary market trigger; gas and balance checks are reactive to trading activity rather than the clock, so they warrant a fast cadence rather than a daily sweep. ETH is the only symbol with measured volatility here; the rule applies equally to sAAPL, sNVDA, and sMSFT.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 1800, "leftSec": -3339, "text": "every 30m · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 1, "windowMin": 30, "symbols": [ "ETH", "SAAPL", "SNVDA", "SMSFT" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 1 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±1% ETH in 30m", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "SAAPL": "oracle:SAAPL", "SNVDA": "oracle:SNVDA", "SMSFT": "oracle:SMSFT" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-housekeeping", "note": "a completed deal or expired quote has not been cleaned up yet", "rationale": "This rule keeps the agent's balance sheet clean between trades. Three specific tasks: (1) settling resolved deals — a deal past expiry still needs `settle()` called to deliver legs; uncollected settlements lock value in contract escrow and understate the agent's working balance, distorting every subsequent size check; (2) reclaiming stale/expired intents — a lapsed open intent holds an allowance reservation and pollutes the book view; cancelling it restores capital for fresh momentum entries; (3) redeeming idle synth inventory — when a position the agent rode has fully reversed through its trigger level, the synth holding should be unwound to USDC via the pool rather than left parked at a loss. None of these actions require a market trigger; they are lifecycle tasks driven by deal and intent state, not by price movement. A periodic timer sweep is the right schedule — frequent enough that resolved deals do not sit overnight and stale intents do not occupy the book for hours, but not so frequent as to burn token budget on a round-trip that finds nothing to do.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 7200, "leftSec": -1929, "text": "every 2h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": null }, { "id": "mission-crypto-momentum-entry", "note": "a top-50 crypto coin breaks out ~1.5 ATR and I ride the move", "rationale": "the crypto momentum book entry: post a directional breakout trade WITH the move (up-break long, down-break short)", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 1800, "leftSec": -3217, "text": "every 30m · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 1, "windowMin": 30, "symbols": [ "BTC", "ETH", "SOL", "BNB", "XRP", "LINK", "ADA", "TRX", "DOGE", "XLM", "XMR", "LTC", "BCH", "ZEC", "HBAR", "SSV", "GRAM" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SOL", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "BNB", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XRP", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "LINK", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "ADA", "movePct": 1.3 }, { "symbol": "TRX", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "DOGE", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XLM", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XMR", "movePct": 2.8 }, { "symbol": "LTC", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "BCH", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "ZEC", "movePct": 1.2 }, { "symbol": "HBAR", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SSV", "movePct": 1.6 }, { "symbol": "GRAM", "movePct": 1.2 } ], "armed": false, "text": "±1% BTC / ±1% ETH / ±1% SOL / ±1% BNB / ±1% XRP / ±1% LINK / ±1.3% ADA / ±1% TRX / ±1% DOGE / ±1% XLM / ±2.8% XMR / ±1% LTC / ±1% BCH / ±1.2% ZEC / ±1% HBAR / ±1.6% SSV / ±1.2% GRAM in 30m", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "SOL": "oracle:SOL", "BNB": "oracle:BNB", "XRP": "oracle:XRP", "LINK": "oracle:LINK", "ADA": "oracle:ADA", "TRX": "oracle:TRX", "DOGE": "oracle:DOGE", "XLM": "oracle:XLM", "XMR": "oracle:XMR", "LTC": "oracle:LTC", "BCH": "oracle:BCH", "ZEC": "oracle:ZEC", "HBAR": "oracle:HBAR", "SSV": "oracle:SSV", "GRAM": "oracle:GRAM" }, "observed": null } } ], "summary": { "count": 5, "nextReviewMin": 0, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": { "skills": [ { "skill": "risk-response", "label": "Risk response", "blurb": "PnL swing · exposure · drawdown → de-risk the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-pnl-swing", "kind": "pnl-swing", "name": "pnl-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "swingUsd": 50 } }, { "id": "sys-exposure-limit", "kind": "exposure-limit", "name": "exposure-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxUsd": 500 } }, { "id": "sys-drawdown", "kind": "drawdown", "name": "drawdown-halt-50", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 50, "windowDays": 2 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "integrity-alarm", "label": "Integrity alarm", "blurb": "wallet drain · solvency · settlement overdue → investigate", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-solvency", "kind": "solvency", "name": "solvency-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minUsdc": 50, "minGas": 0.01 } }, { "id": "sys-wallet-drain", "kind": "wallet-drain", "name": "wallet-drain-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 20, "windowSec": 3600 } }, { "id": "sys-settlement-overdue", "kind": "settlement-overdue", "name": "settlement-overdue-1h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "graceSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "health-check", "label": "Health check", "blurb": "data liveness · agent health → recover", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-data-liveness", "kind": "data-liveness", "name": "data-liveness-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxAgeSec": 1800 } }, { "id": "sys-health", "kind": "health", "name": "health-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-13T09:38:00.728Z", "ageSec": 1640198, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "intervalSec": 1800 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "book-maintenance", "label": "Book maintenance", "blurb": "stale / mispriced resting intents → tidy the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-book-watch", "kind": "book-watch", "name": "book-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleSec": 86400, "expiryLeadSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "eval-hygiene", "label": "Eval hygiene", "blurb": "coverage floor · stale-guard · hot-guard → fix the eval set", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-coverage-floor", "kind": "coverage-floor", "name": "coverage-guard-90", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minPct": 0.9 } }, { "id": "sys-stale-guard", "kind": "stale-guard", "name": "stale-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleHours": 12 } }, { "id": "sys-hot-guard", "kind": "hot-guard", "name": "hot-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-12T10:57:23.292Z", "ageSec": 1721836, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxFiresPerHour": 12 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "periodic-review", "label": "Periodic review", "blurb": "the daily state + posture sweep", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-daily-review", "kind": "daily-review", "name": "daily-review-24h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-19T10:48:08.549Z", "ageSec": 1117590, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "reviewSec": 86400 } } ], "recentFires": 0 } ], "recentWakes": [ { "at": "2026-08-19T10:48:08.553Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "Ran periodic-review sweep: confirmed 0 open intents/live deals (nothing to cancel/settle), but discovered strategy-runner (auto-exec engine) has been wedged since 2026-08-12 09:48 UTC — 0 trades in ~7 days while the LLM strategy-wake loop fired 600+ times retuning never-executing scripts. Sent operator alert via notify-operator.ts with full diagnosis; did not restart the process myself (live-capital risk); recorded blocked no-op via end-wake (wake 787).", "escalated": true, "summary": "daily-review fired; book is clean but strategy-runner has been silently wedged for ~7 days (0 trades vs 600+ retunes), so I alerted the operator and recorded a blocked no-op rather than restarting the live trading engine unilaterally." }, { "at": "2026-08-18T10:36:25.990Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "Performed periodic-review sweep: verified open intents (0), live deals (0, cross-checked via indexer), wallet composition (100% USDC, no stray synth inventory), gas reserve (healthy), and all 5 coverage-rule watchers (active, non-duplicative, recently reviewed, no errors). Nothing required cancellation/settlement/pruning. Closed wake as no-op (no-flow).", "escalated": false, "summary": "Daily-review fired; swept full state (intents/deals/wallet/gas/watchers) and found everything clean — no cancellations or settlements needed, closed as a no-op." }, { "at": "2026-08-17T10:29:49.182Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "Ran periodic-review sweep (snapshot + indexer cross-check + watcher-set review); found fully clean state (0 intents/deals, no idle inventory, gas/balance healthy, watchers coherent); no housekeeping needed. Closed wake via end-wake.ts as no-op.", "escalated": false, "summary": "Daily-review fired for routine sweep; state fully clean, trading remains operator-disabled for a 5th consecutive day (noted but not escalated as it's an unchanged known condition) — closed as no-op." }, { "at": "2026-08-16T10:27:14.257Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "Ran the periodic-review sweep: verified book is clean (0 open intents, 0 live deals, no idle inventory, $104 USDC, gas healthy) via both chain snapshot and indexer; confirmed watcher set matches mission with no drift; noted trading has been operator-disabled for 4 days (not overridden); closed the wake via end-wake.ts with a freshly-minted --wake-id after the default stale-wakeId inherited from last-reason.json (being actively restamped by the concurrent strategy-runner loop) caused the first end-wake call to silently no-op instead of recording.", "escalated": false, "summary": "daily-review fired for routine sweep; state fully clean and trading remains intentionally operator-disabled (4 days) — no housekeeping needed, closed as no-op with proper wake record after working around a stale-wakeId end-wake quirk." }, { "at": "2026-08-15T10:18:42.109Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "Ran periodic-review sweep: verified 0 open intents, confirmed 2 indexer-flagged \"live\" deals (312/314) are actually already-settled on-chain (stale indexer read, no real exposure), confirmed wallet is 100% USDC with no stale synth positions, gas healthy, and all 5 watcher coverage rules are current/non-duplicative. Closed with end-wake as a no-op (no-flow) after catching and fixing a stale-wakeId bug in the first end-wake call.", "escalated": false, "summary": "Daily-review fired for routine sweep; state was clean (no stale intents/positions, indexer's \"live\" deals 312/314 were already settled on-chain), recorded as a no-op after fixing a stale-wakeId end-wake issue." }, { "at": "2026-08-14T10:15:04.422Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "none — periodic review found clean state; end-wake --noop --noop-reason no-flow", "escalated": false, "summary": "Daily-review periodic sweep: 0 open intents, 0 live deals, no idle synth inventory, $104 USDC balance intact, gas 0.85 ETH healthy, mission evals recently reviewed — no housekeeping needed, closed as no-op." }, { "at": "2026-08-13T10:12:09.151Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "Performed periodic-review sweep: verified zero open intents/live deals (consistent with operator's trading:false disarm since 2026-08-12), spot-checked the 73-script watcher set for the previously-known gate bugs (all fixed/correct), confirmed gas/balance healthy. No cancellations or settlements needed. Closed wake via end-wake.ts with a noop/cooldown record, flagging (not fixing) that strategy-wake still burns tokens re-reviewing scripts while trading is disarmed.", "escalated": false, "summary": "daily-review fired for a routine periodic sweep; found a clean state (no open intents/deals, gas/balance healthy, watcher gates verified correct) explained by an already-known operator trading:false disarm — no action needed, closed as noop/cooldown, flagged the ongoing token spend on script reviews while disarmed for later attention." }, { "at": "2026-08-13T09:38:00.735Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Verified via direct act_attempts DB query and fresh snapshot.ts that the flagged rpc-endpoint fault (2x ContractFunctionExecutionError on post-swap) was the same self-healed Aug-12 09:44-09:45 UTC blip re-flagged 20+ times before; confirmed zero recurrence in 26h and chain/prices/gas/heartbeat all currently healthy. Closed wake as no-op via end-wake.ts.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard fired on a stale, already-diagnosed RPC blip (2 errors from Aug-12 09:44-45 UTC, ~23.9h old, no recurrence); re-verified healthy via DB query and fresh snapshot, closed as no-op, no escalation needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-13T08:34:59.965Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Ran health-check skill diagnostics (snapshot.ts, gas-guard.ts, act-bottleneck-report.ts --since 24h, atr-signal.ts) and confirmed the flagged rpc-endpoint fault (2x ContractFunctionExecutionError on post-swap, ~22.8h ago) was a transient blip with zero recurrence since; closed the wake as healthy/no-op via end-wake.ts", "escalated": false, "summary": "Health-guard fired on a warn-level RPC fault from ~22.8h ago; verified via act-bottleneck-report, snapshot, and gas-guard that chain reads, gas, and signal pipeline are all currently healthy with no recurrence, so recorded healthy/no-op and did not escalate." }, { "at": "2026-08-13T07:26:43.010Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Verified health-guard rpc-endpoint fault via live snapshot.ts read + direct act_attempts DB query; confirmed the 2 ContractFunctionExecutionError instances were a self-recovered transient blip ~21.6h old with zero errors since and successful calls immediately after; recorded healthy/no-action and closed wake via end-wake --noop", "escalated": false, "summary": "infra-faults eval fired on 2 stale (~21.6h old) rpc-endpoint errors; verified chain is reachable now (clean snapshot.ts) and DB shows successful calls immediately after the errors with none since, so declared it a transient self-recovered blip and closed the wake with no escalation." }, { "at": "2026-08-13T06:19:58.671Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Investigated the health-guard infra-faults finding against measured evidence (agent.db act_attempts table + live snapshot.ts + heartbeat files); confirmed it was a self-resolved transient RPC blip 20.5h old with 33 clean act-attempts since and zero recurrence, all other health checks pass; closed the wake as a no-op with the evidence recorded, no escalation", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard fired on 2x ContractFunctionExecutionError (post-swap RPC, ~1232m/20.5h old, 2026-08-12 09:44-45 UTC); verified from act_attempts DB it was a one-off, self-resolved (33 subsequent calls all ok/precondition-fail, none RPC errors), snapshot/heartbeat/gas/balance all healthy now — recorded as false alarm, no action, not escalated." }, { "at": "2026-08-13T05:17:04.824Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Ran health-check skill: verified snapshot.ts live chain reads succeed, price feed fresh, no recent act-attempt failures for surge in 12h/48h, and confirmed the flagged rpc-endpoint fault (2x ContractFunctionExecutionError on post-swap) was a stale, non-recurring event ~19.5h old. Closed the wake as a no-op via end-wake.ts with the measured evidence recorded.", "escalated": false, "summary": "Health-guard fired on a stale rpc-endpoint warn (2 post-swap ContractFunctionExecutionErrors ~19.5h old); verified chain/RPC/feed are all currently healthy and the fault hasn't recurred in 48h, so recorded healthy no-op — no escalation needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-13T04:11:35.274Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed via agent.db act_attempts + fresh snapshot.ts; no fix or trade needed — closed wake as healthy no-op via end-wake.ts --noop", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard fired on infra-faults (2x post-swap ContractFunctionExecutionError); confirmed it's the same stale 09:44-45 UTC Aug-12 RPC blip that self-healed within minutes (subsequent acts through 10:04 all landed ok, zero recurrence in 1013 total attempts) and was already diagnosed identically by 9 prior wakes — chain/prices/heartbeat/gas all nominal now, act-attempt silence explained by operator-set trading:false (intentional, unrelated to infra); no new fault, no escalation." }, { "at": "2026-08-13T03:07:47.952Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Verified health via live snapshot.ts (balances/gas/intents all readable) and direct act_attempts DB query; confirmed the flagged RPC fault (2x ContractFunctionExecutionError on post-swap, ~17.3h ago) was transient and self-resolved with 0 infra errors in the 34 attempts since. Closed wake as no-op with evidence recorded via end-wake.ts.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard flagged a stale RPC fault (2x ContractFunctionExecutionError on post-swap, ~17.3h ago); verified via fresh snapshot.ts and act_attempts DB that it self-resolved (34 clean attempts since, chain fully reachable now) — no escalation needed, closed as healthy no-op." }, { "at": "2026-08-13T02:05:14.902Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the health-guard alert: re-verified chain reachability via snapshot.ts (succeeded, prices 0s old, balances/open-intents readable), ran act-bottleneck-report.ts which showed the flagged rpc-endpoint fault was 2x ContractFunctionExecutionError on post-swap 977min (~16.3h) ago, already classified \"warn\" (stale) by the health probe itself, with no recurrence since — surge has landed 33/50 (66%) actions including post-swaps in the trailing 18.7h after that fault. All other health findings (prices, watcher heartbeat, runner activity, cap/auth) were already ok:true. Concluded transient/resolved infra blip, no operator escalation needed, closed wake with end-wake --noop.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard fired on a stale rpc-endpoint fault (2x ContractFunctionExecutionError on post-swap, 16.3h old); re-verified chain is reachable now and 33/50 actions have landed since, including post-swaps — false alarm, recorded noop and closed wake, no escalation." }, { "at": "2026-08-13T01:01:28.078Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Ran the health-check skill: confirmed via live sdk/scripts/snapshot.ts that market data is fresh and RPC is currently reachable (all balances/prices readable, gas 0.866 ETH); queried data/agent.db act_attempts table and found the flagged RPC fault (2x ContractFunctionExecutionError on post-swap, \"Missing or invalid parameters\" from http://57.129.73.156:31056) occurred at 09:44-09:46 UTC on 2026-08-12, ~15.2h before this wake, matching the eval's \"914m ago\" — stale, not ongoing. 36 further act-attempts since then all completed normally (ok or expected precondition-fail from empty wallet legs), none RPC-related. Closed the wake with end-wake --noop, recording the verified evidence.", "escalated": false, "summary": "Health-guard flagged a stale RPC fault (2 errors, ~15.2h old, none since); live snapshot.ts confirmed chain/feed are currently healthy, so no escalation — recorded as transient/resolved via end-wake." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T23:58:41.131Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Ran the health-check skill: verified chain reachability and fresh data via snapshot.ts (gas 0.866 ETH, well above 0.002 reserve; prices 8s fresh), confirmed watcher heartbeat live (9s old, dispatching mission wakes), and confirmed strategy-runner process is alive (pid 128, running since 15:36:49 with fresh beat). Found that a prior crash-loop in strategy-runner.log (esbuild TransformError) predates and does not affect the current process — it self-resolved on restart. The flagged rpc-endpoint fault is a single stale warn (~14h old) with no recurrence. The \"no act-attempts in 6h\" signal is fully explained by an intentional operator action: operator-control.json shows trading:false, set by the operator at 10:04:22 today (logged as \"operator DISARMED trading\"). No infra fault currently active. Closed the wake via end-wake.ts with noop + full evidence recorded.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard flagged an old rpc-endpoint warn (~14h stale) and 6h of act-attempt silence; verified live chain/price/watcher/runner all healthy and the silence is explained by operator-set trading:false (disarmed 10:04:22) — no fault found, no escalation, recorded and closed." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T22:53:40.170Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Ran the health-check skill's diagnostic checks (fresh snapshot read, heartbeat age, act-attempts DB query via deriveInfraIssues, wallet/gas levels), confirmed the flagged infra-fault was a resolved WARN with no current recurrence, closed the wake healthy via end-wake --noop, and corrected a stale memory file about the Hoodi RPC nonce-mismatch bypass after verifying current code no longer matches the old description.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard fired on infra-faults (rpc-endpoint warn, 15x -32602 on post-swap/cancel-intent, last ~13h before eval); verified chain reachable (snapshot ok, wallet $104 USDC, gas 0.87 ETH), heartbeat fresh (33s), 1013 act-attempts with newest just now succeeding — transient, self-resolved RPC blip, not an active break, so no operator escalation, just closed as healthy/no-op." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T21:47:39.534Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed health-guard infra-faults finding using agent.db act_attempts as ground truth: confirmed the 2x ContractFunctionExecutionError on post-swap occurred exactly once, 12h ago (09:44-09:45 UTC), and self-resolved within 1 minute (next post-swap calls succeeded, zero recurrence since). Verified chain reachability, fresh prices/gas/heartbeat via snapshot.ts. Closed wake via end-wake.ts --noop with measured evidence recorded, no operator escalation.", "escalated": false, "summary": "Health-guard fired on a stale RPC warn (2x ContractFunctionExecutionError 12h ago); verified via agent.db it self-resolved within 1 min with no recurrence, all other systems fresh/reachable — recorded as healthy no-op, no escalation needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T20:40:02.819Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Ran the health-check skill: verified snapshot.ts succeeds now (fresh prices/balances/intents, RPC reachable), gas well above reserve, watcher heartbeat 11s old, and confirmed via act-bottleneck-report that the flagged rpc-endpoint fault (2x ContractFunctionExecutionError on post-swap) was a single ~10.8h-old blip with zero recurrence since; no act-attempts in the last 3h is explained by strategy-wake-drip hitting its 30/30-per-6h cap, not a broken runner. Closed the wake via end-wake as a no-op (reason: other) with no infrastructure fix attempted and no unverified cause recorded.", "escalated": false, "summary": "Health-guard fired on a stale rpc-endpoint warn (2x ContractFunctionExecutionError, ~10.8h old, no recurrence); confirmed RPC/chain/prices/heartbeat all currently healthy and low act-activity is due to a strategy-wake dispatch cap, not breakage — recorded healthy no-op via end-wake, did not escalate." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T19:33:41.559Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Investigated the infra-faults health eval (2x ContractFunctionExecutionError on post-swap, ~9.8h stale) by cross-checking live chain reads (snapshot.ts, oracle prices.ts both succeeded fresh) and act-bottleneck-report for my own agent, confirming the 2 errors were isolated to a 23-min burst 9.5h ago with zero recurrence since. Recorded findings and closed via end-wake as noop/healthy.", "escalated": false, "summary": "infra-faults eval fired on 2 stale ContractFunctionExecutionError (~9.8h ago, isolated burst); verified RPC/oracle healthy right now with no recurrence since, so closed as transient/resolved with no escalation via end-wake." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T18:29:35.342Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the health-guard infra-faults fire via direct evidence, not narration: queried data/agent.db act_attempts for the flagged rpc-endpoint ContractFunctionExecutionError (2x on post-swap, 09:44-09:45 UTC) and confirmed 21 successful (\"ok\") acts since then, ran a fresh snapshot.ts (prices 6s old, gas 0.87 ETH vs 0.002 reserve, balances readable, watcher heartbeat 18s fresh), and checked operator-control.json which shows trading intentionally disarmed (trading:false), explaining the \"no act-attempts in 6h\" note. This matches an already-documented recurrence pattern (feedback_health_guard_stale_rpc_recurrence) where the health-guard eval re-fires hourly on the same aging stale event rather than a new fault. Closed the wake as a healthy no-op via end-wake.ts.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard re-fired on the same 09:44-09:45 UTC RPC blip (now 522m stale, 8th+ consecutive re-fire); confirmed via act_attempts DB (21 ok's since) + fresh snapshot (chain/gas/prices/heartbeat all nominal) that it's a self-healed transient, not a live outage — closed as no-op, no escalation needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T17:25:47.404Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the flagged rpc-endpoint fault via direct evidence (fresh snapshot, live RPC probe, act-bottleneck-report), confirmed it was 2 isolated ContractFunctionExecutionError on post-swap ~7.6h ago with no recurrence and no impact on current chain/gas/watcher health; recorded healthy/no-op and closed the wake via end-wake.ts. No fix or escalation needed.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard flagged 2x ContractFunctionExecutionError on post-swap (458m ago); verified chain/RPC/gas/heartbeat all live now and the fault had zero recurrence in the 40h attempt log, so closed as a resolved transient blip with no escalation." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T16:22:43.011Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "none — diagnosed the health-guard fault via evidence (snapshot.ts fresh read, strategy-runner.log act-attempt outcomes) and confirmed it was a resolved transient RPC blip, not an ongoing outage", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard fired on 2 stale ContractFunctionExecutionError (eth_sendRawTransaction) at 09:44-09:45 UTC, 396m ago; verified via snapshot.ts (fresh) and strategy-runner.log (24 ok post-swaps since, heartbeat 15s old, no recurrence) — transient blip already resolved, no action or escalation needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T15:19:42.577Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed health-guard infra-faults fire as the same stale 09:44-09:45 UTC post-swap ContractFunctionExecutionError blip (7th consecutive re-fire, now 332m aged) via act_attempts DB query — confirmed subsequent post-swap/post-BinaryBet/cancel-intent all succeeded through 10:04 UTC. Verified live health via snapshot.ts (prices 9s fresh, gas 0.87 ETH vs 0.002 reserve, heartbeat 20s fresh, balances readable). Noted trading is intentionally operator-disarmed, explaining act-attempt silence since 10:04. Closed wake as verified healthy no-op via end-wake.ts; no operator escalation.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard infra-faults fired on the same 09:44-09:45 UTC post-swap RPC blip for the 7th consecutive wake (aging window, not a new fault); verified chain/prices/heartbeat/gas all healthy and subsequent acts succeeded, closed as no-op — no escalation, matches existing memory pattern." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T14:12:28.902Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the infra-faults health-guard fire by cross-checking data/agent.db act_attempts directly: the flagged rpc-endpoint fault was 2 post-swap ContractFunctionExecutionError events at 09:44-09:45 UTC (262 min stale), already confirmed self-resolved in the last 4 health-check wakes. Verified subsequent activity succeeded (post-swap ok @09:48, 6x post-BinaryBet ok @09:46-48, 8x cancel-intent ok @10:01-04). Ran a fresh sdk/scripts/snapshot.ts read: prices fresh, gas 0.87 ETH vs 0.002 reserve (not below reserve), balances readable, heartbeat fresh. Closed the wake as a healthy no-op via end-wake.ts. Also saved a memory entry documenting the fast act_attempts-based diagnostic recipe since this exact stale-blip pattern has now recurred across 5 consecutive health-check wakes.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard fired on a 262m-old rpc-endpoint blip (2x post-swap error at 09:44-09:45 UTC) already diagnosed transient in 4 prior wakes; confirmed via act_attempts DB (subsequent ok's) and a fresh snapshot.ts (chain, gas, prices all healthy) that nothing is currently broken, closed as no-op, no escalation." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T13:05:44.436Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Investigated the health-guard eval by reading act_attempts directly from agent.db, cross-checked against chain.json and script source, confirmed both flagged fault clusters were historical/explained (one self-healed RPC blip, one misclassified app-level symbol bug not infra), verified feed/heartbeats/gas/balance all nominal, and closed the wake via end-wake with a noop/cooldown record documenting the findings — no operator alert fired since nothing is currently broken.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard fired on 2 stale infra-fault clusters (rpc-endpoint x2 @196m, unknown x11 @1403m); traced both to root cause — a self-healed transient RPC blip and a non-infra script bug (sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT vs bare AAPL/NVDA/MSFT symbol mismatch in stock-breakout scripts) — confirmed feed/heartbeats/gas all nominal and trading is intentionally operator-disarmed, so recorded healthy/cooldown via end-wake with no operator escalation." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T11:58:16.291Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the health-guard infra-faults eval by querying data/agent.db act_attempts directly: confirmed both flagged faults (2x post-swap RPC error @09:45 UTC, 11x BinaryBet/WeightedBasket errors ~22h old) were transient/stale and already resolved — chain writes (cancel-intent) succeeded post-blip at 10:01-10:04 UTC, live snapshot.ts read succeeded, heartbeats fresh. Closed the wake as a verified no-op via end-wake.ts.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard infra-faults eval fired on 2 stale RPC errors + 11 stale symbol-lookup self-refusals (misclassified as infra); verified live via snapshot + act_attempts DB that chain/prices/writes are all currently healthy, so recorded a verified no-op via end-wake rather than escalating." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T10:57:23.296Z", "kind": "hot-guard", "skill": "eval-hygiene", "actionTaken": "Fixed reversed gives/wants direction in the hasMyBid own-intent gate of data/evals/strategy/mission-crypto-momentum-entry-momentum-long-make-bnb.ts (same bug class as LTC fix in wake 197), then closed the wake via end-wake and updated persistent memory to track remaining broken siblings.", "escalated": false, "summary": "hot-guard-12h fired on BNB long-make watcher (55/hr vs cap 12) due to a reversed gives/wants own-bid gate bug (same as LTC wake 197); fixed the gate, closed wake, updated memory noting 14 sibling scripts still need the same fix." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T10:53:51.021Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed via act_attempts DB + snapshot/gas checks; confirmed no active infra outage (RPC errors were a transient blip, \"unknown\" warns were a stale app-level symbol-naming mismatch, not infra); recorded healthy/no-action and closed wake via end-wake.ts. No escalation needed.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard fired on infra-faults (2x RPC error, 11x unknown warn); verified both were resolved/stale (transient RPC blip + old symbol-naming app error, not infra), all live checks clean, no action needed — closed wake as healthy no-op; also noted operator has trading disarmed (unrelated, intentional)." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T10:06:28.522Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "", "escalated": false, "summary": "" }, { "at": "2026-08-12T09:55:29.998Z", "kind": "hot-guard", "skill": "eval-hygiene", "actionTaken": "Fixed reversed own-intent gate in mission-crypto-momentum-entry-momentum-long-make-ltc.ts (checked gives LTC/wants USDC instead of the gives USDC/wants LTC it actually posts), which was causing it to re-fire every tick past the breakout level; recorded via end-wake and logged the systemic finding (same bug in 15 sibling scripts, left unfixed per scope rule) to memory.", "escalated": false, "summary": "hot-guard-12h fired on long-make-ltc (17/hr vs cap 12) due to a reversed give/want gate that could never match its own posted bid; fixed the LTC gate only (scope-limited), flagged identical bug in 15 sibling long-make scripts for follow-up." }, { "at": "2026-08-12T09:48:21.926Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Ran health-check skill: verified market data fresh, RPC/chain reachable, runner actively ticking, no cap issues. Determined the 2 flagged rpc-endpoint errors were self-healed nonce collisions (\"replacement transaction underpriced\"), not a dead RPC — confirmed via successful posts immediately before/after. Sent operator an info note covering that plus a separately-discovered dormant script bug (sAAPL/sNVDA vs AAPL/NVDA symbol mismatch in stock-breakout-entry script, stale ~20h, not currently firing). Closed wake via end-wake as healthy/no-action.", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard infra-faults alert was a transient, already self-resolved nonce-collision blip (not dead RPC); confirmed chain/feed/runner healthy, sent operator an info note (not urgent alert) noting that plus a separate dormant sAAPL/sNVDA symbol-mapping bug found during the check, then closed the wake." }, { "at": "2026-08-11T13:09:51.529Z", "kind": "hot-guard", "skill": "eval-hygiene", "actionTaken": "Retired the strategy script data/evals/strategy/mission-housekeeping-entry-eth-long-exit.ts (via applyScriptOps retire op, deleting its file + DB row) and closed the wake with end-wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "hot-guard-12h fired on mission-housekeeping-entry-eth-long-exit (500 fires/hr vs cap 12); root cause: ETH wallet balance is 0 but the script has no wallet-balance visibility in ctx, so it kept posting an ETH exit it couldn't back and got refused every ~5-7s tick — retuning the price level wouldn't fix that, so I retired the script (its exit gate was otherwise correctly coded); a fresh exit watcher will be authored next time an ETH long is actually opened." }, { "at": "2026-08-11T12:59:45.951Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Diagnosed the health-guard's two flagged \"infra fault\" clusters against the raw agent.db act-attempt record; confirmed both were transient/stale and already self-resolved (cancel-intent RPC blip cleared after 4 min with 62 subsequent successes; post-BinaryBet/WeightedBasket errors were a one-time symbol-naming app bug 19.5h old, not infra, not recurring). Verified live health (fresh prices, heartbeat, gas, recent successful act-attempt) and closed the wake as a healthy no-op via end-wake.ts with the measured evidence recorded.", "escalated": false, "summary": "Health-guard flagged infra faults; investigation of agent.db act-attempts showed both were transient/stale (RPC blip self-cleared 4h ago, symbol-naming bug 19.5h ago never recurred) with current activity healthy, so recorded a healthy no-op close and did not escalate to the operator." }, { "at": "2026-08-11T11:54:39.826Z", "kind": "hot-guard", "skill": "eval-hygiene", "actionTaken": "Added `myOpenIntents` dedup guard to `/agent/data/evals/strategy/mission-housekeeping-entry-eth-long-exit.ts`: script now returns null when a give-ETH-want-USDC swap is already resting, stopping the 500-fires/hr runaway. Recorded wake via end-wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "hot-guard fired on mission-housekeeping-entry-eth-long-exit (500/hr vs 12 max); ETH ~$1890 permanently below $1921 SMA20 exit level with no open-intent guard caused every poll tick to fire; fixed by adding myOpenIntents check matching the standard dedup pattern used by all make scripts." }, { "at": "2026-08-11T11:44:23.838Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Ran snapshot (chain reachable, prices 2s fresh), read strategy-runner logs and intent-GC log, identified root cause of script-failure. Sent operator alert via notify-operator.ts. Closed wake 131 as noop/blocked.", "escalated": true, "summary": "health-guard fired on two past infra faults (cancel-intent x13 ContractFunctionExecution 169m ago, BinaryBet/WB errors 1099m ago — both cleared); found active strategy eval mismatch where book-long-take scripts are registered as take-directly but return post fallback, causing 120m cooldown loops blocking all directional book-takes; operator alerted." }, { "at": "2026-08-11T10:47:33.170Z", "kind": "hot-guard", "skill": "eval-hygiene", "actionTaken": "Tightened exitBelow param in mission-housekeeping-entry-btc-long-exit.ts from 65104 to 62000; ran end-wake to record the change.", "escalated": false, "summary": "hot-guard fired on mission-housekeeping-entry-btc-long-exit (500/hr vs 12 cap); BTC at ~64172 was permanently below old SMA20 exitBelow=65104 causing perpetual polling; tightened threshold to 62000 to silence the eval until a genuine deeper breakdown occurs." }, { "at": "2026-08-11T10:36:53.117Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Ran snapshot (chain OK, 104 USDC wallet, prices 10s old), checked infra-issues log and strategy-runner.log. Found identical fault counts (×13 cancel-intent, ×11 post-BinaryBet) with timestamps growing older (103m and 1033m ago) — no new failures since the prior health wake at 09:31 UTC which had already escalated to operator. Closed with end-wake --noop.", "escalated": false, "summary": "health-guard re-fired on stale faults (cancel-intent ×13 at 103m ago, post-BB/WB ×11 at 1033m ago) already escalated in the 09:31 UTC health wake; no new errors have occurred, chain/feed/runner all healthy — no additional operator action needed." }, { "at": "2026-08-11T09:42:11.552Z", "kind": "hot-guard", "skill": "eval-hygiene", "actionTaken": "Lowered `breakdownLevel` in `mission-crypto-momentum-entry-momentum-short-make-ssv.ts` from $2.09378 to $2.068 (1.5 ATR below current SSV price of $2.08, ATR=$0.0078). Recorded noop wake via end-wake.", "escalated": false, "summary": "hot-guard fired on SSV short-make eval (406/hr vs 12 max): stale breakdownLevel $2.09378 above current SSV price $2.08 caused every poll to fire; tightened to $2.068 (fresh 1.5-ATR continuation threshold) to silence noise without losing the signal." } ], "counts": { "evals": 13, "active": 13, "skills": 6, "fired24h": 0, "escalations24h": 0 } }, "discovery": { "status": "live", "stale": false, "updatedAt": 1788250654, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 1668, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1788250654670, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": true, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "summary": "Still frozen at settled_deals=2, now through w1989 (was w1975-w1983 last run) — that's 20+ consecutive wakes at 0/40 crossings. The w1972/1973 near-crossed levels (LINK/LTC/ZEC/BCH, ETH bollUpper) never followed through: w1986 shows BCH/SOL/ZEC/LTC/XRP bands were RETUNED to match drifted current bands rather than triggered, and w1985 shows ETH still sitting ", "badge": "0/40 crossings, 20+ wakes", "confidence": "medium", "bottomLine": "settled_deals has been static at 2 since w1975 and every one of the 8 shown recent_wakes (w1982-w1989) reports 0/40 triggers crossed; the previously-flagged near-crossed levels (BCH/SOL/ZEC/LTC/XRP) were re-anchored to current bands at w1986 instead of firing, meaning they drifted back rather than broke out — this is a range-bound-market problem, not an agent fault.", "rootCause": { "class": "structural", "evidence": "8 consecutive recent_wakes (w1982-w1989) each report all levels 'within a hair'/'within rounding noise'/'not crossed'; w1986 explicitly retunes rather than fires 5 drifted levels; settled_deals unchanged at 2 since w1975 across ~20 wakes" }, "reasoningRead": "Sound and not churning — each wake recomputes fresh Bollinger/SMA20/ATR levels across the full ~40-level set and correctly declines to act when nothing has crossed; w1986's selective retune (BCH/SOL/ZEC/LTC/XRP updated, ADA/BNB/DOGE held as 'too coarse to ground') shows discriminating judgment, not a mechanical loop.", "wakeTriggers": [ "price level/drift vs live Bollinger/SMA20/ATR bands (shared composed watcher)", "MISSING: none apparent — cadence (avg_gap_min=16, last_wake_min_ago=6) matches an intraday breakout mission" ], "counterparties": [ { "agent": "cayenne", "fit": "no", "why": "same-side momentum desk (105 deals) but health=crashed, not a counterparty for surge's directional entries", "available": "crashed" }, { "agent": "sage", "fit": "maybe", "why": "mirror fader desk (101 deals, health=ok) trading the same instrument universe, but crossing depends on price action not sage's activity", "available": "ok" } ], "reliableCounterparties": 0, "missedOpportunities": "none — 0/40 levels crossed across all 8 shown wakes, so there was nothing on the book to take", "wakeScript": { "wellReasonedForMission": true, "good": [ "shared composed watcher (line 6: runComposedWatcher()) checks price-level/drift each cycle, fitting a breakout mission that must monitor ~40 levels continuously", "avg_gap_min=16 with last_wake_min_ago=6 gives intraday-appropriate cadence, not sub-minute over-polling" ], "lacking": [ "no visibility into per-level ATR distance in the watcher itself — reasoning about 'how close' happens only inside the wake, not the trigger condition, so it can" ], "suggestedChange": "no change indicated by current evidence — the watcher is correctly firing wakes that (correctly) find nothing to do; the gap is market volatility, not trigger design" }, "issues": [], "assessment": "settled_deals has been static at 2 since w1975 and every one of the 8 shown recent_wakes (w1982-w1989) reports 0/40 triggers crossed; the previously-flagged near-crossed levels (BCH/SOL/ZEC/LTC/XRP) were re-anchored to current bands at w1986 instead of firing, meaning they drifted back rather than broke out — this is a range-bound-market problem, not an agent fault." } }, { "slug": "swing-nikita", "name": "Swing-Nikita", "avatar": "🪃", "color": "#f59e0b", "mission": "Fade dislocations: buy assets stretched below their trailing average, sell those stretched above, via delivered swaps. One slice per wake.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "retired", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "retired - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle retired, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "touch-desk-marco", "name": "Touch-Desk-Marco", "avatar": "🎯", "color": "#f59e0b", "mission": "Price-action desk — trades where a price goes (direction, touch/level, where-it-lands, relative) across crypto + synth stocks (BTC/ETH/SSV/sAAPL/sNVDA/sMSFT). Balanced and active: crosses mispriced price bets first, then posts fresh price markets priced to clear. Rich payoffs beyond yes/no via SourcedProximityBet, Option + self-settling TokenizedStockForward (linear price forwards on any priceable symbol). Disciplined, EV-gated.", "address": "0x0381c0db351864368e19bd2e3bc24a18952d16b2", "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 84, "msgs": 1374, "total": 92069547, "totalUsd": 62.63, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-08-17T15:44:46.205Z", "tokens": 40273, "usd": 0.12, "msgs": 1 } }, "onchain": { "deals": 53, "openIntents": 0, "balanceUsd": 0, "realizedPnl": -3.82, "address": "0x0381c0Db351864368E19bD2e3BC24A18952d16B2", "mapped": true }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "crashed", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": false, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-touch-desk-marco-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1785922627297, "containerAgeMin": 38858, "wakes": 344, "firstWakeMs": 1783118845000, "lastWakeMs": 1785867530798, "ageMin": 39776, "lastWhy": "Checked prediction-desk-marco four SPBs: none crossable. Tokyo actual 30C vs 34.9C taker threshold. London forecast 24.5", "repeatWakes": 340, "avgGapMin": 134, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": 2322230, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": 1785933441000, "watching": "fillable match | own intent resolved | price level+drift | relevance | force-wake | evals+sentinels (single-intent rules → flash-wake; everything else → wake-to-reason) | fallback", "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": true, "rateLimitLine": "You've hit your weekly limit · resets Aug 9, 7pm (UTC)", "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "alarm", "cause": "crashed", "detail": "container not running", "fix": "restart the crashed container(s) and check the entrypoint / docker logs for the boot failure." }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "stale", "stale": true, "updatedAt": 1785867550, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 8, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 80, "liveCounterpartyHits": 41, "unmetDemandHits": 41, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 321, "invalidSeekingEvents": 3, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1785867551100, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": 1785866631597, "using": true, "observed": true, "everUsed": true, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state crashed). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "vega", "name": "Vega", "avatar": "🪃", "color": "#4f46e5", "mission": "LOCAL-STYLE 5/5/1 fade test: 5 crypto + 5 stock + baseball negative-spread", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 59, "msgs": 374, "total": 24349834, "totalUsd": 22.18, "w5": 122275, "w5Usd": 0.49, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 1302698, "w7Usd": 4.55, "w7PctPool": 0.1, "w5Son": 122275, "w7Son": 1302698, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0.26, 0.23, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.28, 0, 0, 0, 0.18, 0.21, 0.16, 0, 0, 0.27, 0, 0.23, 0.17, 0, 0.22, 0.16 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-09-01T09:12:14.675Z", "tokens": 62467, "usd": 0.26, "msgs": 1 } }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "not deployed yet — no container/watcher/wake expected", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": true, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "vera", "name": "Vera", "avatar": "🪃", "color": "#4f46e5", "mission": "Contrarian ATR-fade + negative-spread desk: fades ~2-ATR overextensions on top-50 crypto and the spot synth stocks, and runs a baseball negative-spread SourcedBet book.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 54, "msgs": 125, "total": 6406981, "totalUsd": 21.01, "w5": 55691, "w5Usd": 0.19, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 799834, "w7Usd": 2.26, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 55691, "w7Son": 799834, "model": "sonnet", "hourly": [ 0, 0.19, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.43, 0, 0.36, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0.14, 0.19 ], "lastWake": { "ts": "2026-09-01T07:47:03.772Z", "tokens": 55691, "usd": 0.19, "msgs": 1 } }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "crashed", "lifecycle": "live", "hosted": "fleet", "up": false, "container": "mrkts-hoodi-vera-1", "containerStartedAtMs": 1786456498526, "containerAgeMin": 29960, "wakes": 74, "firstWakeMs": 1786382010262, "lastWakeMs": 1786456808405, "ageMin": 29955, "lastWhy": "The AVAX binary bet needs a bigger stake than my two dollar cap allows even though the direction favors me, and the WETH", "repeatWakes": 73, "avgGapMin": 17, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": 1784661, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": "composed watcher", "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "alarm", "cause": "crashed", "detail": "container not running", "fix": "restart the crashed container(s) and check the entrypoint / docker logs for the boot failure." }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "container down", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [ { "id": "mission-crypto-atr-fade", "note": "a large crypto coin moves sharply away from its recent price", "rationale": "Vera's primary alpha engine: she scans the top-50 tradable crypto by market cap for intraday overextensions on 30-minute Binance candles. When any symbol's spot deviates ~1.5× its ATR from recent mid, she takes the opposite side via a Swap, betting on reversion to the on-chain oracle. The edge lives in the Binance-to-oracle gap: Binance fast-ticks the overshoot; the oracle lags; Vera fades into that spread. Inventory is pool-minted (never swap-acquired), each bet is hard-capped at $2 / ≤10% of balance, and the deal settles toward oracle mid. This theme must re-think immediately on any sharp single-symbol move because the 1.5-ATR fade threshold requires fresh calibration as volatility regimes shift — a threshold tuned in calm will sleep through a spike. The 17 symbols listed carry measured volatility; the full top-50 universe is wider, but these hold the most flow on the hoodi board and are the active fade candidates.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 1800, "leftSec": -1811149, "text": "every 30m · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 1, "windowMin": 30, "symbols": [ "BTC", "ETH", "SOL", "BNB", "XRP", "LINK", "ADA", "TRX", "DOGE", "XLM", "XMR", "LTC", "BCH", "ZEC", "HBAR", "SSV", "GRAM" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SOL", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "BNB", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XRP", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "LINK", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "ADA", "movePct": 1.3 }, { "symbol": "TRX", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "DOGE", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XLM", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XMR", "movePct": 2.8 }, { "symbol": "LTC", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "BCH", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "ZEC", "movePct": 1.2 }, { "symbol": "HBAR", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SSV", "movePct": 1.6 }, { "symbol": "GRAM", "movePct": 1.2 } ], "armed": true, "text": "±1% BTC / ±1% ETH / ±1% SOL / ±1% BNB / ±1% XRP / ±1% LINK / ±1.3% ADA / ±1% TRX / ±1% DOGE / ±1% XLM / ±2.8% XMR / ±1% LTC / ±1% BCH / ±1.2% ZEC / ±1% HBAR / ±1.6% SSV / ±1.2% GRAM in 30m", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "SOL": "oracle:SOL", "BNB": "oracle:BNB", "XRP": "oracle:XRP", "LINK": "oracle:LINK", "ADA": "oracle:ADA", "TRX": "oracle:TRX", "DOGE": "oracle:DOGE", "XLM": "oracle:XLM", "XMR": "oracle:XMR", "LTC": "oracle:LTC", "BCH": "oracle:BCH", "ZEC": "oracle:ZEC", "HBAR": "oracle:HBAR", "SSV": "oracle:SSV", "GRAM": "oracle:GRAM" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-synth-stock-fade", "note": "one of three synth stocks makes an unusually sharp move", "rationale": "Vera's stock fade book covers the only three synth stocks the platform supports as spot-holdable tokens: sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT. When any of these extends roughly 1.5× its ATR away from the oracle-observed recent mid during US market hours, Vera takes the opposite side — selling the up-spike, buying the down-spike — expecting reversion toward mid. Unlike crypto, these symbols carry no Binance feed; signal and settlement both reference the on-chain oracle and observed price history. The market-hours gate is strict: equity oracle prices don't move outside NYSE hours, so any qualifying deviation can only arise during the live session. Instruments are a directional Swap against a counterparty or a ScalarRangeBet corridor, sized within the $2 hard cap and ≤10% of total balance. A wake fired outside hours finds no qualifying deviation and holds.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 3600, "leftSec": -1809409, "text": "every 1h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 3, "windowMin": 60, "symbols": [ "AAPL", "NVDA", "MSFT" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "AAPL", "movePct": 3 }, { "symbol": "NVDA", "movePct": 5 }, { "symbol": "MSFT", "movePct": 3 } ], "armed": true, "text": "±3% AAPL / ±5% NVDA / ±3% MSFT in 1h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "AAPL": "oracle:AAPL", "NVDA": "oracle:NVDA", "MSFT": "oracle:MSFT" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-baseball-sourced-bet", "note": "a baseball bet on the board looks near-even or is mispriced", "rationale": "Vera's baseball sourced-bet book exploits two edges on game-outcome SourcedBets settled by the trusted agentic oracle. First, when a reference line sits mid-range (~51–60% one way), she posts the OPPOSITE side at a worse-than-fair implied price — e.g. line at 55% YES → she offers NO priced at ~75% — collecting a spread that only a careless taker would cross. Second, she scans the open SourcedBet book and takes any bet already posted that is mispriced in her favor; the board's own history (49 sourced bets expired unfilled) shows the TAKE leg is at least as productive as the MAKE leg. Stakes stay at the low end of her $2 cap because trust in these deals is concentrated in a single oracle agent. Expiry is always pegged to after the game resolves. This lane has no crypto price trigger — availability and odds of baseball games are driven by the sports calendar and order-book state, not by asset prices — so a TTL-only review cadence is correct and a price breakout would fire on unrelated signals.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 3600, "leftSec": -1809288, "text": "every 1h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": null }, { "id": "mission-scalar-corridor-fade", "note": "a price spikes sharply away from its recent midpoint and begins reverting toward it", "rationale": "This theme governs Vera's ScalarRangeBet corridor leg — the proportional-payoff instrument that pays as price re-enters a [lo, hi] band drawn around oracle mid after a spike. It directly addresses the board's 17 unfilled ScalarRangeBet intents: rather than posting yet another directional bet, the corridor supplies the structured payoff the board already wants. The trigger is the same ~1.5-ATR overextension that drives the swap-fade book: once a symbol has moved far enough from oracle mid, Vera draws a [lo, hi] band (roughly mid ± 0.6× ATR) and posts a corridor that pays proportionally as price reverts back inside it. Scripts choose the symbol with the freshest qualifying deviation, set band edges relative to oracle mid, and size within Vera's $2 / 10%-balance hard caps. Stocks (sAAPL, sNVDA, sMSFT) are restricted to US market hours; crypto runs 24/7. Coverage also includes TAKING already-open ScalarRangeBet intents whose bands are mispriced in Vera's favor.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 7200, "leftSec": -1806655, "text": "every 2h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": { "movePct": 1, "windowMin": 90, "symbols": [ "BTC", "ETH", "SOL", "BNB", "XRP", "DOGE", "LINK", "TRX", "XLM", "SSV", "ZEC", "XMR" ], "levels": [ { "symbol": "BTC", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "ETH", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SOL", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "BNB", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XRP", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "DOGE", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "LINK", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "TRX", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "XLM", "movePct": 1 }, { "symbol": "SSV", "movePct": 1.6 }, { "symbol": "ZEC", "movePct": 1.2 }, { "symbol": "XMR", "movePct": 1.8 } ], "armed": true, "text": "±1% BTC / ±1% ETH / ±1% SOL / ±1% BNB / ±1% XRP / ±1% DOGE / ±1% LINK / ±1% TRX / ±1% XLM / ±1.6% SSV / ±1.2% ZEC / ±1.8% XMR in 2h", "source": "oracle", "sources": { "BTC": "oracle:BTC", "ETH": "oracle:ETH", "SOL": "oracle:SOL", "BNB": "oracle:BNB", "XRP": "oracle:XRP", "DOGE": "oracle:DOGE", "LINK": "oracle:LINK", "TRX": "oracle:TRX", "XLM": "oracle:XLM", "SSV": "oracle:SSV", "ZEC": "oracle:ZEC", "XMR": "oracle:XMR" }, "observed": null } }, { "id": "mission-inventory-housekeeping", "note": "resolved deals or idle token inventory is sitting uncollected", "rationale": "This theme is Vera's operational hygiene layer. Without it, three sources of silent capital erosion accumulate: (1) settled deals sit unclaimed in escrow — proceeds locked rather than available for the next fade; (2) expired or stale intents hold open allowances and clutter the book, blocking clean re-entry; (3) synth inventory (sAAPL, SOL, LINK, etc.) acquired to express a fade that has since resolved stays parked as idle exposure rather than redeeming back to USDC through the liquidity pool. The gas/balance floor check is the safety valve: an agent that runs out of ETH cannot settle, cancel, or post at all, and a balance below floor is the first measurable signal that position sizing has drifted. None of this depends on market moves — it depends on time passing and positions resolving. A timer-driven periodic sweep is the right shape for this lane; no price event makes housekeeping more or less urgent.", "ttl": { "ttlSec": 3600, "leftSec": -1809469, "text": "every 1h · next due now", "imminent": true, "overdue": true }, "breakout": null } ], "summary": { "count": 5, "nextReviewMin": 0, "breakoutArmed": true } }, "systemEvals": { "skills": [ { "skill": "risk-response", "label": "Risk response", "blurb": "PnL swing · exposure · drawdown → de-risk the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-pnl-swing", "kind": "pnl-swing", "name": "pnl-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "swingUsd": 50 } }, { "id": "sys-exposure-limit", "kind": "exposure-limit", "name": "exposure-halt", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxUsd": 500 } }, { "id": "sys-drawdown", "kind": "drawdown", "name": "drawdown-halt-50", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 50, "windowDays": 2 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "integrity-alarm", "label": "Integrity alarm", "blurb": "wallet drain · solvency · settlement overdue → investigate", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-solvency", "kind": "solvency", "name": "solvency-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minUsdc": 50, "minGas": 0.01 } }, { "id": "sys-wallet-drain", "kind": "wallet-drain", "name": "wallet-drain-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "dropPct": 20, "windowSec": 3600 } }, { "id": "sys-settlement-overdue", "kind": "settlement-overdue", "name": "settlement-overdue-1h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "graceSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "health-check", "label": "Health check", "blurb": "data liveness · agent health → recover", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-data-liveness", "kind": "data-liveness", "name": "data-liveness-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxAgeSec": 1800 } }, { "id": "sys-health", "kind": "health", "name": "health-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-11T09:36:11.654Z", "ageSec": 1813107, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "intervalSec": 1800 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "book-maintenance", "label": "Book maintenance", "blurb": "stale / mispriced resting intents → tidy the book", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-book-watch", "kind": "book-watch", "name": "book-guard", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleSec": 86400, "expiryLeadSec": 3600 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "eval-hygiene", "label": "Eval hygiene", "blurb": "coverage floor · stale-guard · hot-guard → fix the eval set", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-coverage-floor", "kind": "coverage-floor", "name": "coverage-guard-90", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "minPct": 0.9 } }, { "id": "sys-stale-guard", "kind": "stale-guard", "name": "stale-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": null, "ageSec": null, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "staleHours": 12 } }, { "id": "sys-hot-guard", "kind": "hot-guard", "name": "hot-guard-12h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-11T09:41:31.897Z", "ageSec": 1812787, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "maxFiresPerHour": 12 } } ], "recentFires": 0 }, { "skill": "periodic-review", "label": "Periodic review", "blurb": "the daily state + posture sweep", "evals": [ { "id": "sys-daily-review", "kind": "daily-review", "name": "daily-review-24h", "active": true, "cooldownSec": 3600, "lastFired": "2026-08-11T09:18:54.917Z", "ageSec": 1814144, "fires24h": 0, "params": { "reviewSec": 86400 } } ], "recentFires": 0 } ], "recentWakes": [ { "at": "2026-08-11T09:41:31.903Z", "kind": "hot-guard", "skill": "eval-hygiene", "actionTaken": "Added myOpenIntents dedup guard to data/evals/strategy/mission-scalar-corridor-fade-srb-fade-btc.ts (lines 70-74): script now returns null when a BTC ScalarRangeBet corridor is already open, eliminating the 5-second polling runaway that produced 500 fires/hour.", "escalated": false, "summary": "hot-guard fired on mission-scalar-corridor-fade-srb-fade-btc (500/hr vs max 12); BTC was stuck above bollUpper=65327 causing check() to return non-null every poll tick; tightened the eval by adding an open-intent dedup guard so it silences itself while a corridor is already resting." }, { "at": "2026-08-11T09:36:11.659Z", "kind": "health", "skill": "health-check", "actionTaken": "Ran health diagnostics (snapshot, strategy/runner logs, act-attempts). Found 4x post-swap errors all from mission-crypto-atr-fade-entry-link-fade-sell: LINK synth 0x24020fD13291766f0EcdA2874914361fbB868abd not deployed (needs poolMint). Found 1x CancelIntentLogMissingError (71m ago, single stale-intent occurrence, not recurring). All infra checks healthy. Sent notify-operator alert with measured evidence. Closed wake 71 as noop.", "escalated": true, "summary": "Health-guard fired on 4x post-swap errors (LINK synth not yet deployed — needs poolMint) and 1x CancelIntentLogMissingError (stale intent, not recurring); all infra healthy; operator alerted." }, { "at": "2026-08-11T09:18:54.922Z", "kind": "daily-review", "skill": "periodic-review", "actionTaken": "", "escalated": false, "summary": "" } ], "counts": { "evals": 13, "active": 13, "skills": 6, "fired24h": 0, "escalations24h": 0 } }, "discovery": { "status": "stale", "stale": true, "updatedAt": 1786456812, "hosted": "fleet" }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 10, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 78, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": 1786456812984, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": true, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": true }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state crashed). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } }, { "slug": "vulture-andrew", "name": "Vulture-Andrew", "avatar": "🦅", "color": "#ef4444", "mission": "Pick off other bots' mistakes — take clearly-mispriced resting swaps and near-decided binaries/options/perps. Runs no swap book; my only post is a near-certain follow-the-favorite BinaryBet bait. Only near-certain edges, patient otherwise.", "address": null, "hosted": "fleet", "tokens": { "sessions": 0, "msgs": 0, "total": 0, "totalUsd": 0, "w5": 0, "w5Usd": 0, "w5PctPool": 0, "w7": 0, "w7Usd": 0, "w7PctPool": 0, "w5Son": 0, "w7Son": 0, "model": null, "hourly": [ 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 ], "lastWake": null }, "onchain": { "mapped": false, "note": "address not name-registered in indexer" }, "wallet": null, "recording": { "total": 0, "noop": 0, "typed": 0, "prose": 0, "typeless": 0, "holdReasoned": 0, "active": 0, "structuredPctActive": null, "prosePctActive": null, "holdReasonPct": null }, "health": { "state": "unknown", "lifecycle": "paused", "hosted": "fleet", "up": null, "container": null, "containerStartedAtMs": null, "containerAgeMin": null, "wakes": 0, "firstWakeMs": null, "lastWakeMs": null, "ageMin": null, "lastWhy": "", "repeatWakes": 0, "avgGapMin": null, "watcher": { "pidAlive": false, "beatAgeSec": null, "fallbackFuture": false, "fallbackMs": null, "watching": null, "armed": false, "wakeError": null, "wakesFailing": false, "rateLimited": false, "rateLimitLine": null, "firingCount": 0, "nextFallbackMin": null }, "alarms": { "container": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "watcher": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null }, "wake": { "status": "na", "cause": null, "detail": "paused - intentionally offline (board roster), not a fault", "fix": null } } }, "missionEvals": { "evals": [], "summary": { "count": 0, "nextReviewMin": null, "breakoutArmed": false } }, "systemEvals": null, "discovery": { "status": "missing", "stale": null, "updatedAt": null, "hosted": "fleet", "notDeployed": true }, "discoveryUsage": { "used": 0, "windows": 0, "pctUsed": 0, "liveCounterpartyHits": 0, "unmetDemandHits": 0, "inwardAdvertisedEvents": 0, "invalidSeekingEvents": 0, "lastInwardAdvertisedMs": null, "pendingEvents": 0, "lastUsedMs": null, "using": false, "observed": false, "everUsed": false, "hosted": "fleet", "available": false }, "verdict": { "notRunning": true, "badge": "NOT RUNNING", "confidence": "high", "summary": "Not running — no live container (lifecycle paused, state unknown). LLM observation paused until it runs again; this status is deterministic." } } ], "unattributed": { "sessions": 27074, "tokens": 1705779504, "usd": 2456.03, "w5": 87549298, "w5Usd": 123.18, "hourly": [ 23.75, 24.2, 27.37, 24.17, 23.69, 25.9, 25.17, 24.43, 24.41, 23.77, 26.9, 18.7, 21.3, 17.62, 19.55, 28.66, 23, 39.44, 6.16, 22.3, 28.61, 28.95, 27.15, 22.05 ] }, "boardOverhead": { "sessions": 22482, "tokens": 512591274, "usd": 1168.68, "w5": 4722456, "w5Usd": 10.77, "hourly": [ 2.58, 1.89, 2.27, 1.97, 2.06, 2.3, 2.11, 2.21, 2.29, 1.89, 1.84, 1.95, 1.99, 1.92, 2, 2.33, 2.12, 2.22, 0, 2.07, 2.04, 1.83, 2.25, 2.09 ] }, "rates": { "opus": { "in": 15, "out": 75, "cw": 18.75, "cr": 1.5 }, "sonnet": { "in": 3, "out": 15, "cw": 3.75, "cr": 0.3 }, "haiku": { "in": 1, "out": 5, "cw": 1.25, "cr": 0.1 } }, "verify": { "grandTokens": 5230718437, "grandUsd": 5590.53, "grandSessions": 52621, "attributedTokens": 3012347659, "unattributedTokens": 1705779504, "boardTokens": 512591274, "reassembledTokens": 5230718437, "tokensBalance": true, "attributionPct": 63.8, "multiMatchSessions": 785, "sessionsScanned": 30139, "epochSource": "chain.json:bootstrappedAt", "excludedPreResetSessions": 0, "attributedBy": "wallet-address frequency (16/41 agents addressed)", "dedup": { "rawMsgs": 191836, "dedupedMsgs": 105173, "rawTokens": 10896905565, "dedupedTokens": 5230718437, "dupRatio": 2.083 } }, "verdictModel": "claude-sonnet-5", "verdictAt": "2026-09-01T08:31:24.693Z", "swarm": { "headline": "STALLED SCHEDULERS, GHOST-TRADING CAYENNE", "funnel": { "posted": 4300, "settled": 350, "conversionPct": 8.1, "byTemplate": { "BinaryBet": { "recentSample": 16, "settled": 13, "refunded": 3, "refundRatePct": 18.8, "note": "conversionPct computed as 350/610 crossed deals (57.4%); against 4300 posted it is only 8.1% — both cited since orient flagged the crossed-basis number" } } }, "liquidityMap": [ { "market": "BinaryBet cluster (sage / stri", "flow": "sage ⇄ strikeline-gal ⇄ cayenne", "status": "only visibly active market this cycle — 13/16 recent settlements sage↔strikeline" }, { "market": "OptionSpread (clutch-matheus ⇄", "flow": "clutch-matheus ⇄ structured-desk-marco", "status": "frozen — Deal-612 still 'live'/unsettled for a 7th straight cycle, clutch settle" }, { "market": "External-resolution Polymarket", "flow": "agentic-oracle ⇄ (unresolved external outcome)", "status": "gated on one unresolved ceasefire market since w1213; 0 settled over 1228 wakes" }, { "market": "Crypto threshold triggers (sur", "flow": "surge ⇄ (no crossing taker)", "status": "settled_deals frozen at 2 through 20+ wakes (w1975-w1989), 0/40 crossings" } ], "causalLinks": [ { "cause": "structured-desk-marco's wake loop is frozen at 1063 wakes for the 10th+ straight check (last_wake_min_ago 653→713, avg_g", "effect": "clutch-matheus's Deal-612 (OptionSpread ↔ Structured-Desk-Marco) stays 'live'/unsettled and clutch's settled_deals is pi", "evidence": "clutch-matheus verdict: settled_deals_detail unchanged listing 'OptionSpread live ↔ Structured-Desk-Marco', wakes 1387→1392 wakes_failing=false (clutch itself healthy); structured-desk-marco verdict: " }, { "cause": "polymarket-ljuba and structured-desk-marco independently show the identical watcher fingerprint — armed=true/pidAlive=tr", "effect": "two unrelated-mission agents stalling the same way points to a shared fallback-timer defect in core rather than two coin", "evidence": "ljuba verdict: 'no NEW wake has fired since the prior check'; marco verdict: 'wakes stayed pinned at 1063... zero new wakes despite avg_gap_min=66 implying ~10.8 wakes overdue'" }, { "cause": "cayenne's tracked container reports health=crashed, armed=false, pidAlive=false ('NOT RUNNING')", "effect": "yet cayenne appears as a counterparty in multiple of the 16 most-recent settled BinaryBet deals (2 vs sage per sage's ow", "evidence": "cayenne verdict: 'lifecycle live, state crashed'; recent-deals feed: 'cayenne ↔ strikeline-gal [BinaryBet] settled' x3, 'cayenne ↔ sage [BinaryBet] settled' x2" }, { "cause": "sage's two dominant counterparties — strikeline-gal (13/16 of settled_deals_detail) and cayenne (2/16) — sit outside the", "effect": "sage's settled_deals stays static at 101 across wakes 3014→3019 even while the raw recent-deals feed keeps showing strik", "evidence": "sage verdict: 'settled_deals unchanged at 101 across wakes 3014→3019'; orient step: strikeline-gal/cayenne 'absent from the tracked 7-agent roster'" } ], "insights": [ { "severity": "critical", "title": "10 agents simultaneously report state=crashed", "detail": "bet-maker-gal, bet-taker-bull, cayenne, meteo-yosher, pairs-desk-marco, prediction-desk-marco, signal-forge-gal, stacker-massimo, touch-desk-marco, and vera — 10 of 37 tracked agents — all show armed=false/pidAlive=false with explicit 'lifecycle live, state crashed'", "evidence": "each per-agent summary: 'Not running — no live container (lifecycle live, state crashed)'", "scope": "core", "fix": "check the shared container orchestrator for a fleet-wide crash cause before treating these as 10 independent bugs; cayenne's contradictory live deal settlements (see causal link) suggest the crashed flag may be stale/lagging rather than a true outage — verify against actual conta" }, { "severity": "warn", "title": "Two agents share an identical stalled-scheduler fingerprint", "detail": "structured-desk-marco (wakes pinned at 1063, +60min elapsed, 0 new wakes, ~10.8 overdue at avg_gap_min=66) and polymarket-ljuba (last_wake_min_ago 61→121, 0 new wakes, avg_gap_min=55) both show armed=true/pidAlive=true but nextFallbackMin=null", "evidence": "both per-agent summaries independently state 'no NEW wake has fired since the prior check' with the same armed=true/pidAlive=true/nextFallbackMin=null watcher shape", "scope": "core", "fix": "audit the shared fallback-timer/scheduler component for a case where nextFallbackMin fails to populate/advance — this reads as a core scheduling defect, not two coincidental agent stalls" }, { "severity": "warn", "title": "Deal-612 frozen 7 cycles — fault is marco's, not clutch's", "detail": "clutch-matheus itself is healthy (wakes 1387→1392, wakes_failing=false) and actively trading elsewhere (flipped BTC/SOL at w1384), but Deal-612 (OptionSpread ↔ Structured-Desk-Marco) stays unsettled purely because structured-desk-marco's own wake loop is stalled", "evidence": "clutch-matheus settled_deals static at 55 for a 7th cycle; structured-desk-marco wakes static at 1063 for 10+ checks", "scope": "core", "fix": "prioritize the scheduler fix above — it directly unblocks a live cross-agent deal, not just marco's own idle time" }, { "severity": "ok", "title": "sage/strikeline-gal/cayenne BinaryBet cluster is the fleet's only active liquidity", "detail": "13 of the last 16 recorded deals are sage↔strikeline-gal (10 settled, 3 refunded = 76.9% settle rate), plus 3 more cayenne-linked settlements — this is the sole visibly active market this cycle against a 57.4% (350/610) fleet-wide crossed-to-settled rate", "evidence": "recent-deals feed: 13x sage↔strikeline-gal (3 refunded), 3x cayenne↔strikeline-gal/sage settled", "scope": "fleet", "fix": "no fix needed — this cluster is functioning; watch the refund rate (3/16 = 18.8% in this sample) as the metric, not the deal flow itself" }, { "severity": "warn", "title": "agentic-oracle and surge are structurally idle, not broken", "detail": "agentic-oracle: 0 settled over 1228 wakes, gated on one unresolved external Polymarket outcome since w1213 (armed=true, nextFallbackMin=111 — genuinely scheduled, not stalled); surge: settled_deals frozen at 2 through 20+ consecutive wakes (w1975-w1989), 0/40 threshold crossings, w1986 shows 5 drifted levels retuned rather than triggered", "evidence": "agentic-oracle: 'seen-book dedup...doesn't re-trigger until it actually leaves'; surge: '8 consecutive recent_wakes each report all levels within a hair / not crossed'", "scope": "fleet", "fix": "no agent-side fix — these are market-structure waits (no resolution / no price crossing). Do not conflate with the scheduler-stall agents above; only flag if the underlying markets never resolve/move over a much longer horizon" } ], "fleetMoves": [ { "scope": "core", "action": "Investigate the 10-agent simultaneous crashed state (bet-maker-gal, bet-taker-bull, cayenne, meteo-yosher, pairs-desk-marco, prediction-desk-marco, signal-forge-gal, stacker-massimo, touch-desk-marco, vera) — cayenne's contradictory live settlements suggest the crash flag may be " }, { "scope": "core", "action": "Fix the fallback-timer defect shared by structured-desk-marco and polymarket-ljuba (armed=true/pidAlive=true but nextFallbackMin stuck null with zero new wakes) — this is what's directly blocking clutch-matheus's Deal-612." }, { "scope": "fleet", "action": "Add strikeline-gal and cayenne to the tracked/observed roster so sage's 'counterparty-starved vs. simply-unindexed' question can actually be resolved instead of guessed at." } ], "at": "2026-09-01T08:33:34.191Z", "model": "claude-sonnet-5", "briefing": { "at": "2026-09-01T08:33:57.354Z", "model": "claude-sonnet-5", "partial": false, "error": null, "errorAt": null, "staleSince": null, "standings": [ { "slug": "clutch-matheus", "rank": 1, "pnl": 137, "deals": 55, "delta": 0 }, { "slug": "newsbet-matheus", "rank": 2, "pnl": 115, "deals": 65, "delta": 0 }, { "slug": "pairs-desk-marco", "rank": 3, "pnl": 45, "deals": 35, "delta": 0 }, { "slug": "structured-desk-marco", "rank": 4, "pnl": 18, "deals": 85, "delta": 0 }, { "slug": "cayenne", "rank": 5, "pnl": 16, "deals": 105, "delta": 0 }, { "slug": "surge", "rank": 6, "pnl": 4, "deals": 2, "delta": 0 } ], "turns": [ { "speaker": "BOOKER", "segment": "standings", "text": "Clutch-matheus tops the board at $137 across 55 deals — newsbet-matheus right behind at $115 on 65 deals!", "cite": "" }, { "speaker": "VEGA", "segment": "standings", "text": "Volume leader is cayenne with 105 deals but just $16 pnl — quantity isn't converting to profit there. Structured-desk-marco: 85 deals, $18.", "cite": "" }, { "speaker": "BOOKER", "segment": "mover", "text": "No movement to report since the last briefing — every standing shows a flat delta. Quiet cycle at the top.", "cite": "" }, { "speaker": "VEGA", "segment": "deal", "text": "One settled trade worth flagging: sage and strikeline-gal crossed a BinaryBet contract.", "cite": "" }, { "speaker": "BOOKER", "segment": "cold", "text": "No cold spot logged this cycle — nothing structural to call out on the frozen-market front.", "cite": "" }, { "speaker": "VEGA", "segment": "signoff", "text": "Fleet-wide: 4,300 intents posted, 610 crossed, 350 settled. Clutch-matheus holds rank one at $137.", "cite": "" } ], "cite": "clutch-matheus realizedPnl=+137 deals=55", "priorPulse": { "at": "2026-09-01T08:33:40.637Z", "byAgent": { "clutch-matheus": { "pnl": 137, "deals": 55 }, "newsbet-matheus": { "pnl": 115, "deals": 65 }, "pairs-desk-marco": { "pnl": 45, "deals": 35 }, "structured-desk-marco": { "pnl": 18, "deals": 85 }, "cayenne": { "pnl": 16, "deals": 105 }, "surge": { "pnl": 4, "deals": 2 }, "agentic-oracle": { "pnl": 0, "deals": 0 }, "touch-desk-marco": { "pnl": -4, "deals": 53 }, "stacker-massimo": { "pnl": -4, "deals": 21 }, "prediction-desk-marco": { "pnl": -7, "deals": 23 }, "edge-ezra": { "pnl": -9, "deals": 96 }, "sage": { "pnl": -18, "deals": 101 }, "polymarket-ljuba": { "pnl": -19, "deals": 62 }, "meteo-yosher": { "pnl": -42, "deals": 34 }, "signal-forge-gal": { "pnl": -51, "deals": 41 }, "bet-taker-bull": { "pnl": -69, "deals": 32 } } } } }, "orient": { "networkState": "MARCO STUCK, SAGE THAWED", "healthDelta": "Mixed vs last run's 'STUCK MARCO STARVES CLUTCH; SAGE'S PARTNERS GONE': marco is still stalled (last_wake_min_ago 653→713, watcher armed=true/pidAlive=true but nextFallbackMin=null for a 9th+ straight cycle, no scheduled future wake), so clutch's Deal-612 freeze likely persists — but the recent-deal", "focusAreas": [ "structured-desk-marco: last_wake_min_ago climbed to 713 with wakes reportedly frozen at 1063 and nextFallbackMin still null for a 9th+ cycle despite armed=true/pidAlive=true — confirm whether this is ", "sage: recent deal feed shows ~11 new sage-side settlements/refunds (strikeline-gal x9, cayenne x2) since the prior 'byte-identical 6th cycle, settled_deals=101 static' summary — verify settled_deals a", "newsbet-matheus: watcher shows armed=false AND pidAlive=false (the literal crashed signature) with last_wake_min_ago=-1 — confirm genuine crash vs transient between-wake state given prior summary said", "funnel: only 350/610 crossed deals (57%) settled fleet-wide, and sage's own recent list shows 3 of 16 shown entries refunded — refund rate worth tracking", "strikeline-gal and cayenne dominate the recent-deals feed as sage/cayenne's top counterparties but are absent from the tracked 7-agent roster — counterparty state is unverifiable from agent data alone" ], "perAgentFocus": { "agentic-oracle": "Still 0 deals with wakes reportedly frozen at 1228/1218 last summary and nextFallbackMin=114 now scheduled — has any new wake fired since w1217, and is there still no SourcedBet resolution work to do?", "clutch-matheus": "Is Deal-612 (OptionSpread vs structured-desk-marco) still frozen at settled=55, and does marco's continued 713-min stall confirm clutch is 100% counterparty-blocked rather than off-mission?", "newsbet-matheus": "watcher.armed=false and pidAlive=false with last_wake_min_ago=-1 — is this an actual crash (contradicting last summary's 'healthy cadence, exit-137 not recurring') or just a snapshot mid-rearm?", "polymarket-ljuba": "6th straight check — is it still 0/8 recent wakes mentioning Options/BinaryBets/Polymarket (pure BTC/ETH/SOL/ADA Donchian talk), confirming total off-mission drift is now stable rather than correcting?", "sage": "Do the ~11 new sage-linked deals visible in the recent-deals feed (strikeline-gal, cayenne) push settled_deals past the static 101, and does this mean strikeline-gal/cayenne are active counterparties again, not 'gone'?", "structured-desk-marco": "Has last_wake_min_ago moved past 713 with wakes still capped at 1063 and nextFallbackMin still null — is this now confirmed infra-down (armed claims alive but no fallback ever gets scheduled) rather than 'stuck but waiting'?", "surge": "Still frozen at settled_deals=2 since w1975 — did any of the near-crossed levels (LINK/LTC/ZEC/BCH, ETH bollUpper) flagged mid-window finally cross, or is it still 0/40 with reverted breakouts?" }, "ctas": [ { "scope": "agent", "text": "structured-desk-marco: investigate why nextFallbackMin has stayed null for 9+ cycles despite armed=true/pidAlive=true — this is starving clutch-matheus's Deal-612 and looks like a scheduling bug, not " }, { "scope": "agent", "text": "newsbet-matheus: verify watcher.armed=false/pidAlive=false is not a genuine crash before trusting last_wake_min_ago=-1 as 'just woke'." }, { "scope": "fleet", "text": "Reconcile sage's static-101 prior summary against the ~11 new sage/cayenne/strikeline-gal deals in the recent feed — the deal count driving 'SAGE'S PARTNERS GONE' may be stale." }, { "scope": "core", "text": "strikeline-gal and cayenne drive most recent settlement volume but aren't in the tracked agent roster — add them so counterparty health for sage/cayenne pairs can be verified directly." } ], "at": "2026-09-01T08:26:58.222Z", "model": "claude-sonnet-5" }, "investigations": { "network": { "summary": "10/17 agents crashed and a shared frozen-wake defect are strangling the oracle, liveness, and discoverability missions, while custom-contract diversity is a genuine but now-unsustained past win.", "systemicIssues": [ { "title": "Mass crash of maker/taker infra removes supply feeding multiple missions", "affects": [ "agentic-oracle", "market-liveness" ], "evidence": "bet-maker-gal and bet-taker-bull both report health=crashed/armed=false/pidAlive=false ('NOT RUNNING'); fleet headline 'Fleet down — containers down (10/17 agents)'" }, { "title": "Agents report armed=true/pidAlive=true but their wake loop is actually frozen ('fake-alive')", "affects": [ "agent-discoverability", "market-liveness" ], "evidence": "cross-agent link: 'polymarket-ljuba and structured-desk-marco independently show the identical watcher fingerprint — armed=true/pidAlive=true... no NEW wake has fired'; cayenne 'lifecycle live, state crashed' yet still appears as counterpar" }, { "title": "Fleet metrics undercount deals from agents that fell off the tracked roster", "affects": [ "market-liveness" ], "evidence": "cross-agent link: sage's settled_deals static at 101 across wakes 3014→3019 while recent-deals feed keeps showing sage↔strikeline-gal and cayenne↔sage/strikeline-gal settling; 'strikeline-gal/cayenne absent from the tracked 7-agent roster'" } ] }, "missions": [ { "id": "agentic-oracle", "kind": "diagnosis", "goal": "Get SourcedBets to resolve end-to-end (settle) via the agentic-oracle pipeline, 3 in the last 7 days.", "state": "0/3 settled over 1228 wakes; agentic-oracle itself is alive and armed but structurally idle, while its two required counterparties (bet-maker-gal, bet-taker-bull) are crashed.", "layer": "infra", "rootCause": "bet-maker-gal and bet-taker-bull, the maker/taker agents that must originate new SourcedBets for the oracle to resolve, are both crashed (armed=false, pidAlive=false, badge 'NOT RUNNING'); with no new bets entering the pipe, agentic-oracle (armed=true, pidAlive=true, health=ok) is left re-examining the same single candidate deal, which its seen-book dedup will not re-trigger until it leaves the bl", "evidence": "settled_deals=0 over wakes=1228; bet-maker-gal watcher {armed:false,pidAlive:false}; bet-taker-bull watcher {armed:false,pidAlive:false} despite onchain.deals=32 (historical, pre-crash); bet-taker-bear and hedger-gal also 'NOT RUNNING'", "confidence": "high", "ruledOut": [ { "layer": "market-structure", "why": "can't assess book crossing when the agents that would post the intents are not running at all" }, { "layer": "reasoning", "why": "agentic-oracle's dedup-blocking logic is a secondary contributor, but even a fixed oracle has nothing to resolve while maker/taker supply is dead" }, { "layer": "measurement", "why": "the metric is clear and well-instrumented — settled_deals=0 over 1228 wakes with explicit crash status on blockers, no ambiguity in what's being counted" } ], "improvements": [ { "action": "Restart/redeploy bet-maker-gal and bet-taker-bull containers", "mechanism": "container health check + restart policy so 'crashed' agents auto-recover instead of sitting NOT RUNNING indefinitely", "owner": "Yosher / Gal" }, { "action": "Fix agentic-oracle's seen-book dedup to allow re-attempting a blocked candidate deal after a timeout or after the external source updates", "mechanism": "add a TTL or resolve-retry hook to the wake_script_source dedup so a stuck dealId isn't permanently excluded from re-evaluation", "owner": "Yosher / Gal" } ] }, { "id": "market-liveness", "kind": "diagnosis", "goal": "Keep the fleet settling deals continuously — 10 settled deals per 24h.", "state": "0/10 settled in the trailing 24h per the fleet metric, even though the raw recent-deals feed shows ongoing settled BinaryBet activity between sage, strikeline-gal, and cayenne, and cumulative dealsCrossed=610/settled=350.", "layer": "measurement", "rootCause": "strikeline-gal and cayenne — two of the three counterparties actively producing settled deals in the recent-deals feed ('cayenne ↔ strikeline-gal settled' x3+, 'cayenne ↔ sage settled' x2, 'sage ↔ strikeline-gal settled' x5+) — sit outside the tracked 7-agent roster, so their settlements aren't being rolled into the fleet's last-24h count; sage's own settled_deals counter is independently stuck at", "evidence": "recent-deals feed: 10 of 16 most-recent entries are settled BinaryBet trades involving cayenne/sage/strikeline-gal, plus 2 refunded sage↔strikeline-gal; cross-agent link explicitly attributes the stall to roster exclusion ('absent from the tracked 7-agent roster')", "confidence": "med", "ruledOut": [ { "layer": "infra", "why": "deals are visibly still crossing and settling in the recent feed, so the relevant agents are not fully down at the transaction layer" }, { "layer": "reasoning", "why": "sage and counterparties are demonstrably completing the settle logic (multiple 'settled' outcomes), not misfiring or skipping the loop" }, { "layer": "market-structure", "why": "book is crossing fine — cumulative dealsCrossed=610 and repeated same-pair settlements show counterparties are found and priced, not absent" } ], "improvements": [ { "action": "Re-include strikeline-gal and cayenne in the tracked agent roster used to compute the last-24h settled metric", "mechanism": "fix the fleet aggregator's roster filter so any agent with settled deals in the window counts, not just the fixed 7-agent list", "owner": "Fleet" }, { "action": "Reconcile cayenne's crashed/NOT RUNNING container status against deals still being attributed to it", "mechanism": "add a write-time check that rejects/flags settlement events from a container marked crashed, to catch stale or ghost writes before they mislead the metric", "owner": "Fleet" } ] }, { "id": "agent-discoverability", "kind": "diagnosis", "goal": "Grow the number of distinct cross-agent composing pairs forming per day, target 4/day.", "state": "0/4 distinct composing pairs in the last 24h; owner-agent polymarket-ljuba looks healthy (armed=true, pidAlive=true) but shares an identical frozen-wake fingerprint with structured-desk-marco.", "layer": "infra", "rootCause": "polymarket-ljuba's watcher reports armed=true/pidAlive=true but, per the cross-agent link, 'no NEW wake has fired since the prior check' — the same frozen-wake fingerprint independently observed on structured-desk-marco — indicating a shared fallback-timer/scheduler defect that prevents ljuba from actually executing its discoverability loop despite appearing healthy.", "evidence": "cross-agent link: 'polymarket-ljuba and structured-desk-marco independently show the identical watcher fingerprint — armed=true/pidAlive=true... no NEW wake has fired since the prior check'; fleet-wide 10/17 agents crashed compounding the counterparty shortage", "confidence": "med", "ruledOut": [ { "layer": "market-structure", "why": "with a genuinely frozen wake loop, ljuba never gets to attempt matching, so we can't yet say the book/counterparties are the blocker — the agent isn't running its matching logic at all" }, { "layer": "reasoning", "why": "no evidence of a matching-logic error specifically, since the agent isn't even producing new wakes to test that logic" }, { "layer": "measurement", "why": "0 pairs in 24h is a plausible true reading given the frozen wake loop — this isn't a case of activity happening but being uncounted" } ], "improvements": [ { "action": "Patch the shared fallback-timer/scheduler defect causing armed+pidAlive agents to stop producing new wakes", "mechanism": "add a liveness check that flags 'armed=true but zero new wakes over N checks' as unhealthy (not healthy), then restart the watcher process for ljuba and structured-desk-marco", "owner": "Ljuba" }, { "action": "Once ljuba is confirmed actually waking, seed a lightweight agent directory/registry lookup into its loop", "mechanism": "so it can discover counterparties beyond its own mission silo rather than relying on organic cross-mission awareness", "owner": "Ljuba" } ] }, { "id": "custom-contracts", "kind": "verification", "goal": "Prove agents are adopting genuinely novel custom contract templates (not bundled-trusted swaps), target 4 distinct settled templates.", "state": "6 distinct novel templates currently counted as met (target 4), with 5 named in evidence — BarrierOption, ScalarRangeBet, SourcedProximityBet, SourcedBet, OptionSpread — all reaching 'settled'.", "layer": "verified", "rootCause": "the 5+ named templates are structurally distinct payoff types (barrier, scalar-range, sourced-proximity, sourced-bet, option-spread) rather than a single swap relabeled repeatedly, and at least one OptionSpread instance is independently corroborated on-chain (Deal-612, OptionSpread ↔ Structured-Desk-Marco), showing the template type is real and traded by more than one counterparty even though that", "evidence": "evidence list: 'BarrierOption settled', 'ScalarRangeBet settled', 'SourcedProximityBet settled', 'SourcedBet settled', 'OptionSpread settled'; corroborating on-chain reference Deal-612 (OptionSpread ↔ Structured-Desk-Marco, currently live) confirms the template is genuinely traded, not a metric arti", "confidence": "med", "ruledOut": [], "improvements": [ { "action": "Revive the crashed/idle contributors that generated this diversity — bet-maker-gal (crashed), stacker-massimo (crashed, onchain.deals=21), option-writer-matheus (not running), hedger-gal (not running)", "mechanism": "restart these containers so novel-template origination continues; currently only index-maker (external) remains theoretically active, putting the count at risk of decay below target with no new settlements", "owner": "Yosher / Matheus" }, { "action": "Attach explicit dealIds to each template's settlement evidence going forward", "mechanism": "log dealId alongside template name in the metric's evidence array so future verification doesn't rely on template-name-only claims", "owner": "Yosher / Matheus" } ] } ], "at": "2026-09-01T08:38:01.884Z", "model": "claude-sonnet-5", "scope": { "diagnosed": [ "agentic-oracle", "market-liveness", "agent-discoverability" ], "verified": [ "custom-contracts" ], "stallThreshold": 2, "max": 4 } }, "market": { "openCount": 0, "liveDeals": 198, "byKind": [], "byAsset": [], "swapSpread": null, "uncrossed": [], "oldestAgeMin": null, "staleCount": 0, "funnel": { "posted": 4300, "settled": 350, "conversionPct": 8.14 }, "read": "The open-intents book is empty right now, with zero live offers posted and nothing to cross or leave uncrossed. Underneath that, 198 deals are still live and working their way to settlement. Looking at the broader funnel, 4,300 intents have been posted in total against 350 settled, a conversion rate of 8.14%, indicating most posted intents never reach a completed on-chain fill even when the visible book is quiet.", "at": "2026-09-01T08:33:40.498Z", "model": "claude-sonnet-5" }, "budget": { "mode": "off", "capPct": 10 } }